Advanced Power Strips IR-Sensing, Home Entertainment Provisional UES Josh Rushton Research and Evaluation Subcommittee September 22, 2015.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Introduction Build and impact metric data provided by the SGIG recipients convey the type and extent of technology deployment, as well as its effect on.
Advertisements

Residential Refrigerators and Freezers UES Measure Update Regional Technical Forum October 14, 2014.
Direction on Guidelines Savings Definition Path Results of straw vote and proposed decisions for elements of the savings definition Regional Technical.
Residential LED UES Measure Update Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013.
The Saga Continues: Measure Interactions for Residential HVAC and Wx measures Regional Technical Forum April 23, 2014.
Grocery Measure: LEDs for Reach-In Display Cases Regional Technical Forum July 21 st, 2015 Mohit Singh-Chhabra.
Manufactured Homes Calibration: Existing and New Homes Mohit Singh-Chhabra & Josh Rushton RTF Update March 17, 2015.
Industrial Pump Motor VFDs: Provisional Standard Protocol Christian Douglass Regional Technical Forum 5/12/2015.
Manufactured Homes Calibration: Existing and New Homes Mohit Singh-Chhabra & Josh Rushton RTF Update May 12, 2015.
Thermostatic Shower Restriction Valve UES Measure Ryan Firestone Regional Technical Forum 7/21/2015.
Commercial Showerhead UES Measure Update Regional Technical Forum Staff Update June 18, 2013.
Research Strategy Review: Heat Pump Water Heaters Thermostatic Restriction Valves Jennifer Anziano RTF R&E Subcommittee July 8, 2015.
Night Covers on Open Vertical Cases Provisional UES Proposal Presentation to the Regional Technical Forum August 30,
Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013.
Pump VFD Provisional Standard Protocol Regional Technical Forum June 18, 2013.
Residential UES: Smart Plug Power Strips Josh Rushton Regional Technical Forum Aug 18, 2015.
Plans to bring Out-of-Compliance UES Measures back into Compliance: 1. Agricultural Irrigation Hardware UES 2. Agricultural Motors UES Regional Technical.
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Measure Proposal Presentation to the.
Provisional Protocol and Research Plan: Non-Residential Lighting Retrofits Regional Technical Forum November 18, 2014.
Provisional Protocol and Research Plan: Non-Residential Lighting Retrofits Nonresidential Lighting Subcommittee November 6, 2014.
Overview of the Regional Technical Forum Guidelines January 22, 2013.
Non-Residential Network Computer Power Management UES Measure Update Regional Technical Forum July 16, 2013.
Pre-Rinse Spray Valve Small Saver UES Measures Regional Technical Forum September 17, 2013.
DHP for Houses with Electric FAF Research Plan: Revisions Adam Hadley, Ben Hannas, Bob Davis, My Ton R&E Subcommittee February 25, 2015.
Residential UES: Smart Plug Power Strips Josh Rushton Regional Technical Forum Aug 18, 2015.
Residential Behavior Programs RTF Subcommittee Ryan Firestone September 17, 2015.
Agricultural Irrigation Pump Variable Frequency Drive Provisional Standard Protocol Proposal Regional Technical Forum April 16, 2013.
Out-Of-Compliance Grocery UES Measure Recommendations Regional Technical Forum March 18, 2014.
Commercial Showerhead UES Measure Update Regional Technical Forum Staff Update June 18, 2013.
Delivery Verification Jennifer Anziano Regional Technical Forum March 17, 2015.
Grocery Measure: EC Motors for Display Cases Regional Technical Forum July 21 st, 2015 Mohit Singh-Chhabra.
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Smart Power Strips in Commercial Office Applications RTF October 4, 2011.
Grocery Measure: EC Motors for Display Cases Regional Technical Forum June 16 th, 2015 Mohit Singh-Chhabra.
Residential Single Family and Manufactured Home Heat Pump Water Heaters Christian Douglass Regional Technical Forum 4/14/2015.
Refrigerator Decommissioning: Measure Status Update Regional Technical Forum October 16, 2013.
EvergreenEcon.com ESA 2011 Impact Evaluation Draft Report Public Workshop #2 August 7, 2013 Presented By: Steve Grover, President.
Update: Grocery Refrigeration Provisional Standard Protocol for Site Specific Savings RTF Meeting June 28,
BPA M&V Protocols Overview of BPA M&V Protocols and Relationship to RTF Guidelines for Savings and Standard Savings Estimation Protocols.
Path for Multi-Family (MF) Weatherization and NC Measures Christian Douglass 8/18/2015.
Commercial Showerhead UES Measure Update Regional Technical Forum April 16, 2013.
Research Strategy Review: Advanced Power Strips MH HVAC Related Measures Jennifer Anziano RTF R&E Subcommittee August 6, 2015.
Integration Issues for RTF Guidelines: Savings, Lifetimes and Cost/Benefit October 24, 2012 Regional Technical Forum Presented by: Michael Baker, SBW.
Implementer’s Group July 2015 RTF Meeting Debrief and Upcoming Meeting Prep July 29, 2015.
Slide 1 B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Extension of Provisionally Deemed Smart Strip in Commercial Applications RTF March 2,
RTF Management Update Jennifer Anziano Regional Technical Forum February 18, 2015.
PTCS Commissioning, Controls & Sizing Update of UES Measure Category and/or Status Regional Technical Forum July 15, 2014.
Ductless Heat Pumps (DHP) in Single Family Homes with Zonal Electric Heat UES Measure Update Regional Technical Forum March 18, 2014.
Barriers to Implementing Energy Efficiency at Small and Rural Utilities Jennifer Anziano and Ryan Firestone August 19, 2015.
Scientific Irrigation Scheduling Subcommittee Thursday, August pm – 3pm, PDT.
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Smart Power Strips in Commercial Office Applications RTF August 30, 2011.
Proposed 2015 Work Plan and 3 Year Look Back September 18, 2014.
Research Strategy: New-Construction Manufactured Home Measures Research and Evaluation Subcommittee Josh Rushton November 19, 2015.
Planning UES Measures: Prescriptive Duct Sealing SF Performance-based Duct Sealing SF Performance-based Duct Sealing MH Adam Hadley & Josh Rushton Regional.
RTF Management Update Jennifer Anziano Regional Technical Forum July 21, 2015.
Non-Residential Network Computer Power Management Christian Douglass Regional Technical Forum January 21, 2016.
Guidelines Overview Michael Baker January 20, 2016.
Non-Proven Residential Duct Sealing Measures: Research Strategy Josh Rushton and Adam Hadley Research and Evaluation Subcommittee October 7, 2015.
Defining the RTF’s Role in Research Jennifer Anziano Regional Technical Forum May 15, 2015.
Residential Single Family Clothes Washer UES Measure Update Regional Technical Forum September 16, 2014.
Exterior LED Area Lights
Implementer’s Group October 2015 RTF Meeting Debrief and Upcoming Meeting Prep October 29, 2015.
Commercial Efficient Tank Water Heater UES Measure Update Regional Technical Forum December 17, 2013.
Residential Behavior-based Programs Measure Development Update Ryan Firestone Regional Technical Forum March 15, 2016.
RTF’s Engagement with Research Jennifer Light RTF Policy Advisory Committee February 19, 2016.
IR-sensing Advanced Power Strips; Weatherization for Existing Multi-family homes Research and Evaluation Subcommittee Josh Rushton March 4, 2016.
Research Strategy: Residential Ductless Heat Pumps Research and Evaluation Subcommittee Christian Douglass and Josh Rushton January 8, 2016.
Formation of a Market Analysis Subcommittee Charlie Grist and Jennifer Light RTF Policy Advisory Committee February 19, 2016.
RTF Delivery Verification Guidance Batch 3 Jennifer Light Regional Technical Forum November 10, 2015.
Behavior Modification Report with Peak Reduction Component
Presentation transcript:

Advanced Power Strips IR-Sensing, Home Entertainment Provisional UES Josh Rushton Research and Evaluation Subcommittee September 22, 2015

Main Goal for Today Seeking RTF decision on moving Residential Advanced Power Strips: IR-Sensing, Home Entertainment from Planning to Provisional. RTF Research Plan: Based on ETO metering study – Is planned research sufficient for evaluating savings and moving the measure closer to Proven? – Are important research limitations clearly noted in the Research Plan? Savings and Cost: No changes since August Other APS applications to remain Planning 2

Measure Overview Sector:Residential Measure name:Advanced Power Strips Applications: Home entertainment (AV), load-sensing Home entertainment (AV), IR-sensing Home office, load-sensing Home office, motion-sensing Home office, PC interaction-sensing Installation: APS must be installed to control power to television, TV remote must use IR signals. Delivery channel:Any (UES value refers to properly installed APS) Category:Provisional (formerly Planning) Status:Active Baseline:Pre-conditions Sunset Date: 08/31/2016 (formerly 08/31/2018) Annual Savings:216 kWh (for properly installed APS) Measure life: 5 years B/C Ratio: 2.5 (direct-install), 3.0 (customer-install) 3 This one!

Measure Description IR-sensing APS for Home entertainment – IR sensor monitors remote-control signals; – After 1-2 hour period of inactivity, APS powers down controlled devices (user has chance to over-ride) – Typical controlled devices include TV, DVD player, and IR- controlled stereo equipment APS units have “stereo mode” to disable control function for several hours Controlled devices should not include set-top box, cable modem, DVR, some game consoles – Not appropriate for use with devices that have radio- frequency remote controls Most savings comes from turning off TV when no one’s watching (based on what’s known so far) 4

RTF Research Plan: R&E Review Research and Evaluation, September 3, 2015.September 3, 2015 Participants: Jennifer Anziano, RTFMike Bailey, ETO Josh Rushton, RTF CATLucinda Gilman, CLEAResult Charlie Grist, Council Mark Jerome, CLEAResult Christopher Frye, NEEABrad Acker, U. Idaho IDL Todd Blackman, Franklin PUDJim Perich-Anderson, PSE Dan Rubado, ETORachel Clark, Tacoma Andie Baker, Abacus ResearchJennifer Finnegan, Snohomish Mark Johnson, BonnevilleJim White, Chelan County PUD Based on the planned research, R&E subcommittee recommends moving this APS application to the Provisional category – Research is sufficient for evaluating savings – Research is likely to move measure closer to proven 5

RTF Research Plan: Overview Focus: How research products are expected to inform the RTF measure Objective: Reliably estimate average annual savings for properly-installed IR-sensing APS – For Provisional measure, rates of “proper installation” estimated through Delivery Verification – RTF may bake these rates into Proven UES values later – More on this later… Heavy lifting: Data collection and analysis funded by ETO, conducted by CLEAResult – Details in Metering Plan and Data Collection FormsMetering PlanData Collection Forms – RTF may modify final analysis to suit our needs 6

RTF Research Plan: ETO Study Sites recruited from past Energy Saver Kit recipients Meter data for 70 Embertec and 70 Tricklestar APS units (usable sample size will be smaller) – Half of sites metered pre/post, half post/pre – Metering is 4 weeks pre, plus 4 weeks post – WattsUp meters 15-minute interval data to permit balancing pre/post day types Power-strip-level data (aggregate kWh of connected equipment) Field technicians survey device configuration, occupancy, viewing habits at each visit – Try to detect major viewing events, changes from pre to post Average annual savings – First, estimate site-level daily savings as observed change in average daily kWh: [mean daily kWh (pre) ‒ mean daily kWh (post)] – Final savings estimate is 365 times mean of the site-level daily savings estimates 7

Installation Rates UES value refers to properly-installed IR-sensing APS units – Installation rate estimated through delivery verification Was unit installed properly to begin with? Is the unit still in place six months later? DV guidance: “Determine whether APS is properly installed… Verification should occur 3 to 9 months after customer receives the APS” – Installation rate affects first-year savings – Removals that occur at least six months after delivery are accounted for in measure life, don’t affect first-year savings RTF may opt to publish UES values with installation rates “baked-in” for some program designs – Staff recommends looking into this when we bring back proposal for a Proven UES next summer – Known sources include survey data from SnoPUD, PSE, and ETO (study referenced above, plus a separate leave-behind study). 8

RTF Research Plan: Limitations The R&E subcommittee identified specific limitations in the mapping from expected research products to the RTF measure workbook. Limitations related to installation rate and/or measure life: Research does not seek to estimate installation rates. Installation rates accounted for through delivery verification. CLEAResult will note whether proper installation persists through the study period, and will ask participants whether they plan to continue using the APS. This data, and other sources, may lead to RTF-approved installation rates in future. Research does not seek to estimate measure life. This will remain an RTF judgment call. Timing affects whether APS removal counts against first-year savings. DV guidance suggests programs estimate installation rates that reflect conditions six to nine months after customer receives the APS. 9

RTF Research Plan: Limitations The R&E subcommittee identified specific limitations in the mapping from expected research products to the RTF measure workbook. Limitations related to first-year savings: Sample bias towards homes with at-home adult. Partially addressed by relatively generous participation reward ($75 and a free APS). Study will not be able to discern age-related effects (e.g., small children or retirees). Metering in fall will not capture full range of seasonal effects. Study planners chose the fall period in hopes that it would reflect “shoulder” viewing patterns, somewhere between what prevails in summer and winter. Presence of a field technician may influence installation configurations. Technicians will provide instructions similar to those provided in the APS installation materials. These instructions are not very complicated. The critical element is that the television must be controlled by the APS, and failures in this regard count against the installation rate. 10

Proposed Motion “ I, _________, move that for the Residential Advanced Power Strips IR-Sensing Application, the RTF: Approve the measure and RTF Research Plan as presented; Change measure category from Planning to Provisional; Retain Active status; Set the sunset date to August 31, 2016.” 11

Additional Slides 12

Planning vs Provisional Planning Sponsors not yet identified (or specific, funded research plan not yet written) RTF develops a Research Strategy RTF approval means RTF: Agrees with research goals Believes proposed method of data collection and analysis provides a reasonable path forward Acknowledges that sponsors might alter research design Evaluation: Treated as Other UES (i.e. RTF UES estimate not used) Provisional Sponsors identified (a specific, funded research plan has been written) RTF develops an RTF Research Plan RTF approval means RTF: Agrees RTF Research Plan meets some or all of the research goals Agrees Plan captures potential limitations for advancing measure Anticipates research results will be sufficient for evaluating savings Evaluation: Evaluated savings to be based on research results, as available (or treated as Other UES) 13

RTF Decision: Approval to “Planning” Category RTF Decision: Approval to “Provisional” Category RTF Decision: Approval to “Proven” Category 14 August, 2015 September, 2015 That’s today! Around mid-2016

ETO Research: Metering Sites metered 4 weeks with ordinary power strip (“pre”) and 4 weeks with APS (“post”) Pre-post metering for half (35 Embertec and 35 TrickleStar), post-pre metering for other half; Watts-Up meters to record at 1-minute intervals – No time stamps Field technician to record install and removal times Power outages can throw off timing – May help balance week-end and week-day counts between pre and post periods as needed – Plan does not include any detailed time series analysis 15 - ETO Plan

ETO Research: Site Visits At first visit, the technician… – Directs participant on how to install initial power strip (APS or standard) – Installs power meter – Records time, configuration of connected devices, number of occupants, estimated typical viewing hours At second visit, the technician… – Asks about changes to device configuration, occupancy, or viewing habits – Conducts APS User Survey if APS was installed at first visit – Directs participant on how to install second power strip (standard or APS) – Downloads meter data, resets meter, re-installs meter – Records time, configuration of connected devices, number of occupants, estimated typical viewing hours At third visit, the technician… – Asks about changes to device configuration, occupancy, or viewing habits – Conducts APS User Survey if APS was installed at second visit – Downloads meter data, records the time, and removes the meter – Asks if participant intends to continue using the APS in the future 16 - ETO Plan

ETO Research: Analysis For each site, calculate average daily kWh, separately pre- and post – Try to balance number of weekend days and weekdays between the site’s pre and post periods – Result is two numbers per site Average across sites to get sample-mean daily kWh pre and post – Result is two numbers for entire sample (or two numbers for Embertec sample and two for TrickleStar sample) – Ratio of the two sample means estimates average percent reduction in kWh – Difference in the two sample means estimates average absolute reduction in daily kWh 17 - ETO Plan