PUBLIC CHOICE AND GOVERNMENT FAILURES Miloš Fišar 20.10. 2015BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS.

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Presentation transcript:

PUBLIC CHOICE AND GOVERNMENT FAILURES Miloš Fišar BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

WHAT ARE WE GOING TO TALK ABOUT?  How does decision making in private and public sectors differ?  How to make a good decision in public sector?  Are there any influences?  Or paradoxes? BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

PRIVATE SECTOR  Equilibrium: demand curve and supply curve  Individuals reveal preferences about the private goods by buying them  Price reflects individual’s preferences BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

PUBLIC SECTOR  No demand x supply equilibrium  Price is not obvious  Decisions made by public agencies, not „customers“  Individuals vote to elect representatives who vote for public budget  Budget is spent by public agencies  No comparability to private sector BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

WHAT IS THE PUBLIC CHOICE?  “Public choice can be defined as the economic study of nonmarket decision making“, “Application of economics to political science” (Mueller, 2009)  Covers:  theory of the state  voting rules  voters behavior  bureaucracy  legislatures  etc BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

VOTING IN PUBLIC SECTOR  UNANIMITY  Time consuming  Leads to Pareto-preferred situation  Encounters strategic behavior  MAJORITY  Most used  Lower costs  Less time to make decision  Some individuals will be worse off BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

MAJORITY RULES:  Simple majority rule (>50%)  Runoff election (1st round >50% if not best 2 to 2nd round)  Plurality rule (most “popular” wins)  Approval voting (choose more options; most “popular” wins)  Borda count (n choices, give to each option points {1,2,…,n}, most popular n, least popular 1; most points wins)  Hare system (select best; in each round the least popular options leaves until there is only one)  Coombs system (select worse; in each round the least popular options leaves until there is only one) BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

WHAT CAN INFLUENCE THE VOTING?  Personal constrains attitudes  Physical, social, economic, moral, psychological, etc.  External influences  Politics, lobbying, corruption, international relations, legislation, economics, labor unions, etc.  Would you make voting compulsory? BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

TACTICAL VOTING  Compromising (what happens if the country has first-past-the- post election systems?)  Burying - very useful if some party has open primaries  Push-over – Imagine you are a French voter, who likes Sarkozy. Polls for first round say:  Sarkozy 24%, Hollande 18%, Le Pen 17%, lot of other candidates, the Left has a majority BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

CONDORCET CRITERION Used to measure efficiency of choices Pair-wise comparison of possible outcomes BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

TENNESSEE NEEDS A NEW CAPITAL, BUT WHERE? BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

THE PREFERENCES OF THE VOTERS 42% of voters (close to Memphis) 26% of voters (close to Nashville) 15% of voters (close to Chattanooga) 17% of voters (close to Knoxville) 1.Memphis 2.Nashville 3.Chattanooga 4.Knoxville 1.Nashville 2.Chattanooga 3.Knoxville 4.Memphis 1.Chattanooga 2.Knoxville 3.Nashville 4.Memphis 1.Knoxville 2.Chattanooga 3.Nashville 4.Memphis BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

MATRIX A MemphisNashville ChattanoogaKnoxville B Memphis [A] 58% [B] 42% Nashville [A] 42% [B] 58% [A] 32% [B] 68% Chattanooga [A] 42% [B] 58% [A] 68% [B] 32% [A] 17% [B] 83% Knoxville [A] 42% [B] 58% [A] 68% [B] 32% [A] 83% [B] 17% Ranking:4th1st2nd3rd BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

ARROW'S IMPOSSIBILITY THEOREM  Voting rule should fulfill:  Universality (all choices are allowed)  Non-dictatorship  Pareto efficiency  Independence of irrelevant alternatives.  But none of the rules does!  In other words: No voting rule is fair BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

THE PARADOX OF VOTING  Also called Downs paradox  Individual preferences in a group may lead to ineffective outcome therefore voting becomes  Decision of people to cast a vote is led not only by a human rationality BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

NOT ONLY HUMANS VOTE BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS The honeybee occasionally needs Find a new place for a nest. The swarm sends out scout bees To look for a new location

WHAT METHOD THE BEES USE?  First the researchers thought bees prefered unanimity.  Then they observed that only a quorum is sufficient – 30 bees out of 75 bees at a potential nest site BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

HOW TO REWARD BUREAUCRATS? BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

 There are huge differences between countries:  Top pay for elite work  Strict seniority  Project management BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

CAN WE OR GOVERNEMENT PUNISH BUREACRATS IF SOMETHING GOES WRONG?  Most projects end behind schedule.  Also more expensive and less useful then expected initially.  What exactly would we punish? BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS

WHAT TO DO WHEN A BUEROCRAT FAILS? Jay, Antony, and Jonathan Lynn. "A Question of Loyalty." Yes, Minister. Prod. Peter Whitmore. BBC. S02E07, 6 Apr Television BPV_APEC PUBLIC ECONOMICS