Www.metalexpert-group.com Reasons for price growth in the world market and prospects for their correction /the long product market/ Alexander Markov Chief.

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Presentation transcript:

Reasons for price growth in the world market and prospects for their correction /the long product market/ Alexander Markov Chief Analyst Metal Expert CIS Steel in the World Markets April 2007, Kiev, Ukraine

Growth factors Supply decrease: China: uncertainty as to export taxes Russia: scrap exports decrease – fundamental change Brazil: seasonal cut in pig iron production EU: seasonal cutback in steel output USA: lingering low utilization of production capacities Other market factors set up by sellers Demand increase: Relatively mild winter Inertia of the growing market Inflation Growing prices in the real estate market SUPPLYDEMAND< Average world prices, fobJan 06Apr 07changeJul 08 Steel scrap times Square billet times

Growth factors China: Net export of steel products and semi-finished products

Growth factors Russia: Scrap collection and distribution

Growth factors Brazil: Pig iron production

Growth factors EU-15: Average daily steel production

Growth factors US: raw steel production

Real estate prices USA and Russia: price dynamics in comparison USA: Median Price of Houses Sold including Land Price

Steel prices Steel scrapBillet

Steel prices Steel scrapBillet

Thank you for your attention CIS Steel in the World Markets April 2007, Kiev, Ukraine