U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook December 2010 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council
Macroeconomic Environment
U.S. Real GDP Growth
U.S. Crude Oil Spot Price
U.S. #2 Diesel, Gulf Coast
Civilian Unemployment Rate
U.S. Federal Budget Surplus (CBO Projection)
CBO Ag Baseline Spending
Real GDP Growth in Selected Countries
Euro (Currency per U.S. Dollar)
Real Exchange Rate Index (Other Important Trade Partners, Source – Federal Reserve )
Ag Prices Received Index
U.S. Net Farm Income
U.S. Cotton Supply
December Cotton Futures Cents per Pound
December Corn Futures Cents per Bushel
November Soybean Futures Cents per Bushel
Southeast1,891 2, Mid-South 1,627 1, Southwest5,243 5, West ALL UPLAND 9,008 10, ALL ELS ALL COTTON9,150 11, Southeast1,891 2, Mid-South 1,627 1, Southwest5,243 5, West ALL UPLAND 9,008 10, ALL ELS ALL COTTON9,150 11, U.S. Cotton Plantings % Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change % Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change Thousand Acres *USDA June Acreage Report - Revised *USDA June Acreage Report - Revised
Southeast765 1, Mid-South Southwest2,122 2, West ALL UPLAND 3,645 4, ALL ELS ALL COTTON3,703 4, Southeast765 1, Mid-South Southwest2,122 2, West ALL UPLAND 3,645 4, ALL ELS ALL COTTON3,703 4, U.S. Cotton Plantings % Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change % Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change Thousand Hectares *USDA June Acreage Report - Revised
U.S. Cotton Production
U.S. Cotton Supply
U.S. Cotton Demand
Net Domestic Fiber Consumption
Cotton’s Share of Fiber Consumption
U.S. Cotton Retail Consumption
Components of Retail Cotton Consumption
U.S. Cotton Textile Imports
U.S. Cotton Content in Textile Imports
U.S. Trade With Mexico
U.S. Trade with CBI
U.S. Imports from China
U.S. Cotton Mill Use (Calendar Year, Million Bales)
U.S. Cotton Mill Use
U.S. Cotton Mill Use (Crop Year, Million Bales)
U.S. Cotton Production & Use
The World Market & U.S. Cotton Exports
China Cotton Supply & Use
World Cotton Production
World Fiber Mill Use *PCI
Fiber Prices
World Cotton Mill Use
Foreign Cotton Production & Use
U.S. Cotton Exports
World Cotton Ending Stocks
Cotton Stocks/Use (World less China)
U.S. Supply and Demand Million Bales Beginning Stocks Production Imports Total Supply Mill Use Exports Total Offtake Ending Stocks Stocks-to-Use Ratio19.0%9.8% 2009/10e2010/11p
U.S. Supply and Demand Million Metric Tons Beginning Stocks Production Imports Total Supply Mill Use Exports Total Offtake Ending Stocks Stocks-to-Use Ratio19.0%9.8% 2009/10e2010/11p
Beginning Stocks Production Imports Mill Use Exports Ending Stocks Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.2%37.3% Beginning Stocks Production Imports Mill Use Exports Ending Stocks Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.2%37.3% World Supply and Demand Million Bales 2009/10e2010/11p
Beginning Stocks Production Imports Mill Use Exports Ending Stocks Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.2%37.3% Beginning Stocks Production Imports Mill Use Exports Ending Stocks Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.2%37.3% World Supply and Demand Million Metric Tons 2009/10e2010/11p
Merchants Ginners Cottonseed Producers Cooperatives Warehouses Manufacturers