Jeffrey M. Christian CPM Group March 2008 The BRIC’s Impact on Commodity Markets
CPM Group Economic growth is diversifying It is not just the four countries. The economic expansion is much more widely dispersed worldwide. Globalization De-regulation Improved transportation and communication. Improved economic development models. More sophisticated work forces.
CPM Group Real Gross Domestic Product
CPM Group Consumption of commodities Initially the global market has viewed the emergence of the BRICs as consumers of goods and services. That is partially true, but misses the key aspect of them as producers.
CPM Group Per Capita Aluminum Consumption Annual, 2007 through July, Annualized through year-end
CPM Group Per Capita Copper Consumption Annual, 2007 through July, Annualized through year-end
CPM Group Sources of production “The China that can consume will be the China that produces” China has been mis-construed as a source of demand for European and U.S. products since the journeys of Marco Polo. China, as with other countries, are more a source of output than consumption.
CPM Group Production Vast stretches of un-explored lands full of natural resources Improved regulatory environment and enlightened management Rule of law
CPM Group Production The move to increase production of commodities in the BRICs and other developing countries has not been a function of the increased prices for commodities. The move to increase production began prior to the increase in prices. The price increases of recent years have accentuated trends already in place.
CPM Group Gold Production in South Africa & China
CPM Group Note: Aluminum mine production is bauxite mine production. China's role in the Base Metals Markets
CPM Group Monthly, data through Dec Chinese Unwrought Al & Al Products
CPM Group U.S. & Chinese Unwrought Al Output
CPM Group Monthly, Through December 2007 Chinese Unwrought Lead Trade
CPM Group Gold Production in Brazil
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