SOCIAL AND POLITICAL SITUATION IN TURKEY ‘‘ DAVOS CRİSİS ” -JANUARY 2009- RESEARCH TEAM Prof. Dr. Özer SENCAR & Dr. Sıtkı YILDIZ MetroPOLL Strategic ve.

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SOCIAL AND POLITICAL SITUATION IN TURKEY ‘‘ DAVOS CRİSİS ” -JANUARY RESEARCH TEAM Prof. Dr. Özer SENCAR & Dr. Sıtkı YILDIZ MetroPOLL Strategic ve Social Research Centre Cinnah Street 67/ 18 Çankaya- ANKARA Phone: Fax:

2MetroPOLL Research Centre GOALS The goal of the survey is to find out how the heated debate at the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos over Israel's offensive in the Gaza is perceived by the Turkish public.

3MetroPOLL Research Centre METHOD The poll was conducted at Jan. 30 by telephone among a random national sampling of 1002 adults residing in cities, towns and villages. The margin of error for the overall poll is 3 percentage points, at a 95 percent confidence level.

4MetroPOLL Research Centre SAMPLE Number% Adana353,5 Ağrı131,3 Ankara787,8 Antalya353,5 Aydın222,2 Balıkesir222,2 Bursa454,5 Denizli222,2 Diyarbakır131,3 Erzurum161,6 Gaziantep282,8 Hatay404,0 Mersin212,1 İstanbul17317,3 İzmir626,2 Number% Kastamonu171,7 Kayseri343,4 Kocaeli494,9 Konya313,1 Malatya252,5 Manisa383,8 Mardin202,0 Ordu242,4 Samsun313,1 Tekirdağ232,3 Trabzon202,0 Şanlıurfa131,3 Van141,4 Zonguldak151,5 Kırıkkale232,3 TOTAL

5MetroPOLL Research Centre SAMPLE Distribution of participants by area of residence Number% City-Village (%) ‏ City Centre62362,2 78,7 Town16516,5 Village21421,4 TOTAL

6MetroPOLL Research Centre Did you approve or disapprove of the remarks of Prime Minister Recep Tayip Erdoğan and the policies pursued by the Turkish government during Israel’s Gaza offensive? OPINIONS ABOUT DAVOS

7MetroPOLL Research Centre How do you perceive PM Erdoğan’s walkout during the WEF session in Davos? OPINIONS ABOUT DAVOS

8MetroPOLL Research Centre Was PM Erdoğan’s angrily leaving a debate at the WEF in favor of or against Turkey? OPINIONS ABOUT DAVOS

9MetroPOLL Research Centre Did Erdoğan’s move and discourse against the Israeli assaults in Gaza increase the current wave of hostility against Jews? OPINIONS ABOUT DAVOS

10MetroPOLL Research Centre How will PM Erdoğan’s walkout during the WEF session after exchanging harsh remarks with Israeli President Shimon Peres influence ties between Turkey and Israel? OPINIONS ABOUT DAVOS

11MetroPOLL Research Centre All things considered, do you approve of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s overall job performances? RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN’S IMAGE

12MetroPOLL Research Centre All things considered, do you approve of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s overall job performances? (Between December 2007 and January 2009) December 2007 June January January 2009 %% Approve 73,757,155,074,0 Disapprove 24,740,440,022,2 No idea 1,62,55,03,9 RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN’S IMAGE

13MetroPOLL Research Centre What do you think about the overall discourse of PM Erdoğan? RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN’S IMAGE

14MetroPOLL Research Centre ApproveDisapprove Don’t know / No idea Honesty and trustworthiness 75,019,15,9 Democratic and pro- freedom 81,814,85,7 A strong and decisive leader 7024,43,4 Mark the box that you agree with on assessing Erdoğan RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN’S IMAGE

15MetroPOLL Research Centre Mark the box that you agree with on assessing Erdoğan (December 2007 – January 2009 Comparison %) ApproveDisapprove December January January 2009 December January January 2009 Honesty and trustworthiness 73,859,675,021,835,819,1 A strong and decisive leader 81,871,881,815,925,714,8 Democratic and pro-freedom 67,3157,37026,238,624,4 RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN’S IMAGE

16MetroPOLL Research Centre All things considered, how would you rate the overall performance of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan between 1 and 10? Average Score Recep Tayip Erdoğan7,5 RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN’S IMAGE

17MetroPOLL Research Centre All things considered, how would you rate the overall performance of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan between 1 and 10? (December 2007 – June January 2009 Comparison %) Average December 2007 Average June 2008 Average January 2009 Average 30 January 2009 R.Tayyip Erdoğan7,66,36,87,5 RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN’S IMAGE

18MetroPOLL Research Centre If parliamentary elections were held today, which party would you vote for? POLITICAL SITUATIO N

19MetroPOLL Research Centre If parliamentary elections were held today, which party would you vote for? (Between April January 2009 Comparison %) April 2008 May 2008 June 2008 August 2008 Sept Octo Novem January January 2009 AKP 50,244,640,441,950,935,032,638,949,3 CHP 12,412,014,413,99,515,512,515,911,5 MHP 7,26,67,68,46,68,67,69,05,3 DTP 0,60,31,01,82,63,43,02,00,4 SP 1,20,7 0,61,01,11,41,1 DP 1,41,81,11,31,01,5--0,9 Other 3,3 4,23,22,43,83,04,21,5 Undecided 10,411,813,612,511,313,919,515,915,4 I will vote an invalid ballot 2,45,38,97,27,0 9,05,02,7 I won’t go to the ballot box 1,73,92,53,82,02,12,01,6 No answer/no idea 9,28,25,75,45,38,29,66,110,3 POLITICAL SITUATIO N

20MetroPOLL Research Centre Number% Gender Female49149,0 Male51151,0 Age , , , , ,2 Education Illiterate313,1 Only literate 292,9 Graduated from primary school 33933,9 Graduated from secondary school 11911,9 Graduated from junior high school 30030,0 Graduated from university 18418,4 TOTAL DEMOGRAPHIC PROPERTIES OF THE SAMPLE