Professor David Cope Director Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology (POST) United Kingdom Parliament Westminster, England.

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Presentation transcript:

Professor David Cope Director Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology (POST) United Kingdom Parliament Westminster, England

The Devastation of the Loveliest of Lands Presentation to STOA Workshop on Avoiding Ash Disruptions, Brussels, 23 rd June 2010

Is Iceland the only problem?

Laacher See, Eifel, Germany ~13,000 BP

Chaîne des Puys, Massif Central, France ~4000 BP

Parícutin, Mexico,

Sakurajima volcano and Kagoshima City, Japan

Is “fire and ice” a lethal combination?

Future Eruptions?

Lakagigar Crater Chain, Iceland

“Supervolcanoes” Eyjafjallajökull, Iceland km 3 Mt St Helens, Washington USA km 3 Mt Pinatubo, Philippines km 3 Tambora, Indonesia km 3 Toba, Indonesia 70,000 BP800 km 3

What are the warnings?

Volcano hazard assessment always fails to answer the one question raised most frequently... namely, when and where the volcano will erupt next. In the absence of volcanic or seismic unrest, scientists can offer only statistical information — probabilities — about future volcanism. US Geological Survey

Thanks to: Carina Fearnley, University College London David Pyle and Tamsin Mather, University of Oxford And to you for listening