To represent, lead and serve the airline industry Aviation insight through analysis ICAN World Statistics Day, 20 th October 2015 James Wiltshire, Senior.

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Presentation transcript:

To represent, lead and serve the airline industry Aviation insight through analysis ICAN World Statistics Day, 20 th October 2015 James Wiltshire, Senior Economist In one year of commercial aviation…

2 The real world wide web?

In one year of commercial aviation… billion passengers 33.6 million flights 6.2 million passenger kilometres cities connected directly

Aviation: world trade 4

© ATAG 2014WWW.AVIATIONBENEFITS.ORG 5 Aviation and tourism 53% of international tourists travel by air

City-pairs doubled – transport costs halved IATA Economics Source: IATA, ICAO, OAG

Air travel boom continues IATA Economics

Business travel also linked to trade activity IATA Economics Source: IATA, CPB Netherlands

Propensity to travel increases with income 9IATA Economics

Demand for air travel to double over 20 years 10 Source: IATA/Tourism Economics ‘Air Passenger Forecasts’ IATA Economics

Which will require significant investment 11IATA Economics

Paying investors (for 1st time!) IATA Economics Source: IATA, McKinsey

But only some airlines are paying investors IATA Economics Average cost of capital Source: The Airline Analyst, IATA

The industry remains fragmented Market share of top-4 airlines/JVs IATA Economics Source: SRS Analyser

Competitiveness: A global challenge 15 Source: World Economic Forum Travel & Tourism Competitiveness Index

Thank you! IATA Economics A joint partnership between: Check out our new passenger forecast service :