A Performance Model for Enrollment Expansion and Funding November 4, 2010.

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A Performance Model for Enrollment Expansion and Funding November 4, 2010

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Previous Steps Fostering Greater Accountability Raised admission standards Established Academic Boot Camps All campuses participate in National Voluntary System of Accountability Established Five Years of Retention & Graduation Goals for each campus beginning Funded additional counselors and advisors Working jointly with the Community Colleges to project and plan enrollment and degree production Raised admission standards Established Academic Boot Camps All campuses participate in National Voluntary System of Accountability Established Five Years of Retention & Graduation Goals for each campus beginning Funded additional counselors and advisors Working jointly with the Community Colleges to project and plan enrollment and degree production

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Examples of Five-Years of Targets: Retention UNC Freshman-to-Sophomore Retention Rates Institution Actual 2008 (2009) Goals 2003 (2004) 2004 (2005) 2005 (2006) 2006 (2007) 2007 (2008) 2009 (2010) 2010 (2011) 2011 (2012) 2012 (2013) GoalActualDifference NCSU90.7%89.2%89.4%89.2%89.6% 90.5%90.9%0.4% 91.0% 91.5% UNC-CH95.4%96.6% 96.5%96.2% 96.5%95.7%-0.8% 96.5% ECU78.8%75.9%78.7%77.3%75.9% 79.0%78.8%-0.2% 81.0%82.0%82.5%83.0% UNCG77.0%77.5%76.3%75.9%76.0% 76.6% 0.0% 77.4%78.3%79.1%80.0% UNCC77.1%78.7%77.4%77.0%78.1% 78.0%77.9%-0.1% 79.0%80.0%81.0%82.0% NCA&T73.1%72.5%68.9%71.7%73.6% 72.0%77.1%5.1% 74.0%76.5%77.0%80.0% ASU84.4%85.8%84.5%85.6%87.4% 86.0%86.4%0.4% 87.0%88.0%90.0% UNCW85.7%83.2%83.1%84.5%85.4% 86.0%84.7%-1.3% 87.0%88.0%89.0%90.0% WCU73.9%70.9%71.3%66.5%71.5% 69.0%76.2%7.2% 72.0%73.0%74.0%75.0% NCCU77.8%76.4%71.0%77.3%71.6% 76.0%77.0%1.0% 77.0%78.0%79.0%80.0% FSU72.7%75.4%70.8%73.3%69.2% 74.0%73.6%-0.4% 76.0%77.0%78.0%80.0% WSSU77.7%75.3%73.0%68.0%73.4% 71.0%77.8%6.8% 73.0%75.0%78.0%80.0% UNCP67.1%72.3%67.5%71.5%67.3% 70.8%67.5%-3.3% 72.0%73.0%74.0%75.0% ECSU76.3%74.7%72.3%79.4%76.7% 76.0%76.3%0.3% 77.0%78.0%80.0% UNCA79.9%76.4%80.5%76.3%78.5% 80.0%81.9%1.9% 81.5%82.0%83.0%84.0% UNCSA76.9%73.9%76.6%81.1%77.5% 76.0%77.4%1.4% 77.0% 78.0% UNC System81.8%81.3%80.6%81.0%81.3% 82.7% Note: Numbers represent the retention rates of first-time full-time freshmen enrolled in the fall semester of the indicated years. The years in parentheses are the measuring years.

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Examples of Five-Years of Targets: Six-year Graduation Rate UNC Six-Year Graduation Rates Institution Actual 2003 (2009) Goals 1998 (2004) 1999 (2005) 2000 (2006) 2001 (2007) 2002 (2008) 2004 (2010) 2005 (2011) 2006 (2012) 2007 (2013) GoalActualDifference NCSU66.9%70.5%70.3%69.6%71.5% 72.0%73.2%1.2% 72.5%73.0%73.5%74.0% UNC-CH81.7%83.8% 82.6%86.1% 83.5%84.9%1.4% 84.5%86.0%87.0% ECU53.3%54.4%56.4%54.4%54.3% 56.5%56.8%0.3% 57.0%58.0%59.0%60.0% UNCG50.2%51.1%52.0%49.8%52.5% 51.8%51.6%-0.2% 53.9%55.9%58.1%60.0% UNCC46.6%48.7%49.8%50.5%50.6% 50.0%53.9%3.9% 51.0%52.0% 53.0% NCA&T42.5%39.5%38.0%41.4%37.7% 43.0%37.2%-5.8% 45.0%46.0%48.0%50.0% ASU60.3%64.0%61.6%62.5%63.9% 64.0%64.4%0.4% 65.0%66.0%67.0%68.0% UNCW61.2%63.5%65.1%64.8%67.1% 67.0%68.5%1.5% 68.0%69.0%70.0%71.0% WCU46.0%47.3%46.7%47.4%49.5% 48.5%48.8%0.3% 49.5%51.5%53.0%55.0% NCCU50.8%44.9%49.3%48.3%47.9% 50.0%44.4%-5.6% 51.0%52.0%53.0%55.0% FSU34.9%42.2%37.0%35.6%38.0% 40.0%31.5%-8.5% 42.0%45.0%46.0%47.0% WSSU44.1%47.9%44.1%45.1%39.3% 46.0%36.5%-9.5% 47.0%48.0%50.0%52.0% UNCP41.6%34.9%37.6%34.0%33.4% 36.0%34.1%-1.9% 37.0%38.0%40.0%42.0% ECSU45.4%49.1%49.3%50.7%42.8% 43.0%45.8%2.8% 45.0%47.0%49.0%52.0% UNCA51.5%53.1%53.3%53.6%59.6% 56.0%58.7%2.7% 56.0%58.0%60.0% UNCSA49.6%57.0%54.2%51.4%55.6% 53.0%61.2%8.2% 55.0% 58.0% UNC System57.9%59.1%59.3%58.7%58.8% Note: Numbers represent the retention rates of first-time full-time freshmen enrolled in the fall semester of the indicated years. The years in parentheses are the measuring years.

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Examples of Five-Years of Targets: AA/AS Transfer Four-Year Graduation Rate Four-Year Graduation Rates of NCCCS Associate Degree Recipients Who Transferred to UNC Institutions Institution Actual ( ) Goals ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) GoalActualDifference Native Jr Grad Rates ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) NCSU65.0%79.0%72.0%74.0%72.0% 75.0% % 72.5%73.0%73.5% UNC-CH71.0%75.0%72.0%71.0%68.0% 69.0%68.0%92.0% 69.0% ECU63.0%72.0%70.0%69.0%68.0% 71.0%68.0% % 72.0%72.5%73.0%74.0% UNCG66.0%69.0%67.0%65.0% 67.0%63.0% % 67.0% 68.0% UNCC60.0%63.0% 64.0%66.0% 62.5%68.0% % 63.0%63.5%64.0%65.0% NCA&T46.0%58.0%54.0%56.0%50.0% 51.0%53.0% % 51.0%52.0%53.0%54.0% ASU76.0%74.0%75.0% 78.0%74.0% % 78.0%79.0% 80.0% UNCW75.0%79.0%77.0%79.0% 78.0%81.0% % 79.0% 80.0%81.0% WCU76.0% 73.0%75.0%74.0% 76.5%73.0% % 77.0%77.5%78.0%79.0% NCCU61.0%60.0%63.0%64.0%58.0% 63.0%55.0% % 64.0%65.0%66.0%67.0% FSU55.0%45.0%54.0%61.0%64.0% 58.0%63.0% % 60.0%62.0%64.0%65.0% WSSU72.0%43.0%53.0%48.0%56.0% 65.0%57.0% % 66.0%67.0%68.0% UNCP70.0%73.0%71.0%67.0%64.0% 71.0%59.0% % 72.0%73.0%74.0%75.0% ECSU69.0%58.0%63.0%62.0%64.0% 66.0%61.0% % 67.0%68.0%69.0%70.0% UNCA58.0%60.0%68.0%59.0%63.0% 67.0%60.0% % 68.0%69.0%70.0% UNCSAN/A100.0%33.0%60.0%43.0% N/A60.0%N/A33.0% N/A UNC System67.0%70.0%69.0%70.0%69.0% 70.0% 88.0% Note: Numbers represent the graduation rates of NC community college associate degree recipients who transferred to UNC institutions in the indicated 3 years. The years in parentheses are the measuring years in which those transfers graduating.

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Performance Measures: Three Categories Retention Rates: Freshmen-to-sophomore Graduation Rates: First-time freshmen six-year rates AA transfer rates All-undergraduate graduation rates Degree Production & Efficiency: Targets for degree production (TBD) Efficiency of degree production Retention Rates: Freshmen-to-sophomore Graduation Rates: First-time freshmen six-year rates AA transfer rates All-undergraduate graduation rates Degree Production & Efficiency: Targets for degree production (TBD) Efficiency of degree production

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Comparisons in Each Category Retention: Compared to targets and to peers Graduation: Six-year compared to targets and peers AA/AS CC transfer compared to targets Efficiency: Degrees produced compared to targets Degrees per 100 FTE undergraduate enrollment compared to peers Retention: Compared to targets and to peers Graduation: Six-year compared to targets and peers AA/AS CC transfer compared to targets Efficiency: Degrees produced compared to targets Degrees per 100 FTE undergraduate enrollment compared to peers

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Degrees per 100 FTE Undergraduate Enrollment Compared to Peers 2008 Bachelor's Degrees per 100 FTEs (average of 6 years undergraduate enrollment: 2003 to 2008) CampusUNC Campus Public Peer Average UNC Difference from Peer Average UNCCH UNCW WCU UNCC UNCA UNCG NCSU ASU ECU WSSU FSU UNCP ECSU NCCU NCA&T

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Enrollment Expansion in Relation to Performance Enrollment Growth/ChangeOptions for Growth/Change* Freshman EnrollmentNone, Restricted, Normal Retention Improvement EnrollmentNone, Restricted, Normal AA Transfer EnrollmentNone, Restricted, Normal Other Transfer EnrollmentNone, Restricted, Normal Graduate Enrollment Change in Relation to Undergraduate Performance None, Restricted, Normal * Growth rates at different campuses vary, so this depends on past growth/change levels. The overall budgetary situation in the State may require redefinition of normal.

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Funding in Relation to Performance Adjust Enrollment Expansion Funding Model to incorporate performance Focus on Cost Factors Adjust Enrollment Expansion Funding Model to incorporate performance Focus on Cost Factors

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Funding Model Template SCH Enrollment-Change Funding Model Regular Term Request Campus:UNC-ABC ProgramStudent Credit HoursSCH per Instructional PositionInstructional Positions Required Category UGMastersDoctoralUGMastersDoctoralUGMastersDoctoral Category I4, Category II6, Category III2, Category IV Total12,6631, Total All SCHs14,172 Subtotal Positions % of Total89.4%10.6%0.1% Campus UG Cost Factor 10.0%2.284 Total Positions Required Instructional Salary Rate of Campus $75,000 Instructional Salary Amount $2,447,625 Other Academic Costs 44.89%$1,098,739 Total Academic Requirements $3,546,364 Library Rate 11.48% Library Amount $407,123 Gen'l Instit. Support Rate 54.05% Neg. Adj't Factor: 50.00% Gen'l Instit. Support Amount $1,916,810 Total Requirements at UNC-ABC$5,870,297

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Current Cost Factors Service to disadvantaged student population: More than one-third Pell Grant recipients (5%): [ECSU, FSU, NCA&T, NCCU, UNCP, and WSSU] Diseconomies of Scale (5%) [ECSU and UNCA] Public Liberal Arts Mission (10%) [UNCA] Non-Doctoral Mission (10%) [ASU, ECSU, FSU, NCCU, UNCA, UNCP, UNCW, WCU, WSSU] Service to disadvantaged student population: More than one-third Pell Grant recipients (5%): [ECSU, FSU, NCA&T, NCCU, UNCP, and WSSU] Diseconomies of Scale (5%) [ECSU and UNCA] Public Liberal Arts Mission (10%) [UNCA] Non-Doctoral Mission (10%) [ASU, ECSU, FSU, NCCU, UNCA, UNCP, UNCW, WCU, WSSU]

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Propose to Drop Two Cost Factors and Add Three Performance Factors Drop: Liberal arts Non-doctoral mission Add: Retention performance factor Graduation performance factor Productivity and efficiency performance factor Drop: Liberal arts Non-doctoral mission Add: Retention performance factor Graduation performance factor Productivity and efficiency performance factor

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Summary of Proposed Cost and Performance Factors Service to disadvantaged student population: More than one-third Pell Grant recipients (5%) [ECSU, FSU, NCA&T, NCCU, UNCP, and WSSU] Diseconomies of scale (5%): [ECSU and UNCA] Retention performance factor (5%): [ Depends on performance] Graduation performance factor (5%): [ Depends on performance] Productivity and efficiency performance factor (5%): [ Depends on performance] Service to disadvantaged student population: More than one-third Pell Grant recipients (5%) [ECSU, FSU, NCA&T, NCCU, UNCP, and WSSU] Diseconomies of scale (5%): [ECSU and UNCA] Retention performance factor (5%): [ Depends on performance] Graduation performance factor (5%): [ Depends on performance] Productivity and efficiency performance factor (5%): [ Depends on performance]

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ High Performance Seek a pool of funds that would reward high performance Persistent high levels of performance Significant Improvement A fund of $1 million for this purpose will be sought from the General Assembly. If the General Assembly does not fund it, the President will pledge funds from the strategic initiatives reserve. Seek a pool of funds that would reward high performance Persistent high levels of performance Significant Improvement A fund of $1 million for this purpose will be sought from the General Assembly. If the General Assembly does not fund it, the President will pledge funds from the strategic initiatives reserve.

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Proposed Implementation of Performance Measures Biennium Retention Efficiency High Performance Biennium Graduation Biennium Retention Efficiency High Performance Biennium Graduation

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Enrollment Expansion Based on Retention Performance Data If retention performance is at or above 80%: No restriction If retention performance is less than 80%: If Performance either is more than 1 percentage point below target or is below peers: Restricted Growth If Performance both is more than 1 percentage point below target and is below peers: No growth Otherwise no restriction If retention performance is at or above 80%: No restriction If retention performance is less than 80%: If Performance either is more than 1 percentage point below target or is below peers: Restricted Growth If Performance both is more than 1 percentage point below target and is below peers: No growth Otherwise no restriction

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Impact on Campuses University Retention Performance Above/Below Target Above/Below Peers Growth (Freshman) UNC-CH95.7%-0.8AboveNormal NCSU90.9%0.4AboveNormal ASU86.4%0.4AboveNormal UNCW84.7%-1.3AboveNormal UNCA81.9%1.9BelowNormal ECU78.8%-0.2AboveNormal UNCC77.9%-0.1AboveNormal WSSU77.8%6.8AboveNormal UNCSA77.4%1.4AboveNormal NCA&T77.1%5.1AboveNormal NCCU77.0%1AboveNormal UNCG76.6%0BelowRestricted ECSU76.3%0.3AboveNormal WCU76.2%7.2BelowRestricted FSU73.6%-0.4AboveNormal UNCP67.5%-3.3BelowNone

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Funding Based on Retention Performance Data Criterion: Meets retention target and at or above public peers.

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Impact on Campuses University Retention Performance Above/Below Target Above/Below Peers Qualify for Performance Factor UNC-CH95.7%-0.8AboveNo NCSU90.9%0.4AboveYes ASU86.4%0.4AboveYes UNCW84.7%-1.3AboveNo UNCA81.9%1.9BelowNo ECU78.8%-0.2AboveNo UNCC77.9%-0.1AboveNo WSSU77.8%6.8AboveYes UNCSA77.4%1.4Above (All)Yes NCA&T77.1%5.1AboveYes NCCU77.0%1AboveYes UNCG76.6%0BelowNo ECSU76.3%0.3AboveYes WCU76.2%7.2BelowNo FSU73.6%-0.4AboveNo UNCP67.5%-3.3BelowNo

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Funding Based on Efficiency Performance Data Criterion: Efficiency performance must be at or above public peers.

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Impact on Campuses University Efficiency Performance Peer Performance Above/Below Peers Qualify for Performance Factor UNC-CH Above Yes UNCW Above Yes WCU Above Yes UNCC Above Yes UNCA Above Yes UNCG21.0 At Yes NCSU Below No ASU Below No ECU Above Yes WSSU Above Yes FSU Below No UNCP Below No ECSU Below No NCCU Below No NCA&T Below No

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Summary of Impact University Enrollment Expansion (Freshman) Retention Performance Factor Efficiency Performance Factor Disadvantaged Student Population Diseconomies of Scale Factor ASUNormalYesNo(NA * )(NA) ECUNormalNoYes(NA) ECSUNormalYesNoYes FSUNormalNo Yes(NA) NCA&TNormalYesNoYes(NA) NCCUNormalYesNoYes(NA) NCSUNormalYesNo(NA) UNCANormalNoYes(NA)Yes UNC-CHNormalNoYes(NA) UNCCNormalNoYes(NA) UNCGRestrictedNoYes(NA) UNCPNoneNo Yes(NA) UNCWNormalNoYes(NA) UNCSANormalYes(NA) WCURestrictedNoYes(NA) WSSU NormalYes (NA) * NA = not applicable.

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/ Performance Model Discussion, Issues, and Questions Next Steps Discussion, Issues, and Questions Next Steps

The University of North Carolina General Administration UNC-GA Academic Planning/ARM-wmd/