Mixing Height (MH) National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting 2015 10/20/20152 The height above the surface that aerosols vertically disperse.

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Presentation transcript:

Mixing Height (MH) National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/20152 The height above the surface that aerosols vertically disperse. Also referred to as boundary layer depth. Important in fire weather as it is used to predict how well smoke from a fire will ventilate. Important to air pollution by providing the depth pollutants will disperse to.

Motivation National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/20153 R20 – Research from Desert Research Institute shows that there are likely more accurate methods to calculate mixing height. Currently no standard method to calculate mixing height. No verification data readily available to verify mixing height. Highlight a potential new dataset.

Methods of Calculating MH National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/20154 Holzworth Method - (Parcel Method). WR Parcel Method – Same as Holzworth, but 2 degrees added to surface temperature. Stull Method – Similar to Holzworth but uses Virtual Potential Temperature. Bulk Richardson Number – Uses a combination of convective/shear turbulence Utilized data from NCEI Integrated Global Radiosonde Archive for upper air analysis.

National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/20155

National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/20156 Holzworth Stull WR Holzworth Richardson

Mesowest Above Surface Networks National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/20157

Verification Method National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/20158 Ceilometer data from Viasala CL31. Persistent Cold-Air Pool Study (PCAPS) and University of Utah. Multiple methods for calculation of mixing height from data. Used the Idealized Profile method for this study. Ceilometer not co-located with upper air site.

Ceilometer Time/Height National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/20159

Ceilometer Time/Height National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/ Holzworth Stull WR Holzworth Richardson

Ceilometer Time/Height National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/ Holzworth Stull WR Holzworth Richardson

Verification National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/ Holzworth WR Holzworth Stull Richardson

Verification (Spring) National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/ * Below 2000 m

Verification PCAPS (Winter) National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/201514

Verification (Year) National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/ * Below 2000 m

Verification (Year) National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/ * Below 2000 m

Summary National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/ Initial verification shows there is significant uncertainty in the sounding approach compared to the ceilometer. Of the sounding approaches blending the methods seems to be the most skillful. Caveats – Dataset too small to be statistically significant. – Most useful method may be geographically dependent. – Ceilometer data is only useful if aerosols are present. – Verification method for calculating mixing height is not as robust as one would hope for. R20 – Apply method to models through SmartInits.

Acknowledgements National Weather Association’s 40th Annual Meeting /20/ John Horel – University of Utah Joseph Young – University of Utah/Mesowest Persistent Cold Air Pool Study (PCAPS)