I/1 Atmospheric transport and ozone chemistry Lecture SS 2008 Mark Weber S4350 Tel Lecture material of today:

I/2 Introduction (today) Atmospheric dynamics Radiative transfer, heating, and vertical transport Trace gases General middle atmospheric chemistry Ozone chemistry and catalytic cycles Heterogeneous chemistry, stratospheric particles, and the ozone hole The tropical tropopause Solar (decadal) variability and dynamical coupling Greenhouse gasses and climate-chemistry interaction Lecture schedule

I/3 Andrews, D. G., J. R. Holton, and C.B. Leovy, Middle Atmosphere Dynamics, Academic Press, Orlando, Holton, J. R., An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology, 3rd ed., Academic Press, San Diego, Brasseur G., et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Global Change, Oxford University Press, Oxford, Seinfeld, J. H., Pandis, S. N., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics – From Air Pollution to Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, New York, Wayne, R. P., Chemistry of Atmospheres, 3rd Ed., Clarendon Press, Oxford, Brasseur, G., and Solomon, S., Aeronomy of the Middle Atmosphere, 3rd ed., Springer, Dordrecht, Literature

I/4 student presentations about WMO ozone assessment 2006 Summary of selected chapters/sections from WMO Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion minute presentations at the end of the semester

I/5 WMO ozone assessment and Montreal Protocol

I/6 WMO ozone assessment and Montreal Protocol

I/7 Important issues in the assessment ozone recovery expected from leveling off of stratospheric chlorine (Montreal Protocol and ammendments), but role of stratospheric bromine/shortlived substances may become more important How does climate change affect the ozone layer (Antarctic ozone hole anomaly in 2002? changes in atmpospheric transport and chemistry?) Preface WMO O3 Assessment 2006:

I/8 Student presentations

I/9 student presentations about WMO ozone assessment 2006 Select a topic or subsection until May 8 after personal consultation in my office Presentation shall be brief, just – summarise important findings (scientific summary in the beginnning of each chapter) supported by figures from the chapters – discuss open scientific questions – no more than 8-10 viewgraphs per presentations!

I/10 IPCC Report 2007 IPCC assessment – climate impacts from changes in greenhouse gases, note: O3 is (but a minor) greenhouse gas – major focus: (surface) temperature, hydrological cycle (precipitation, ice sheets) IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) Fourth Assessment published in February

I/11 I.Introduction

I/12 Climate and chemistry Brasseur et al., 1999 Only parts are covered in this lecture

I/13 Climate and chemistry Brasseur et al., 1999 Only parts are covered in this lecture Introduction: Stratosphere-troposphere exchange Distribution and variability of stratospheric ozone Climate change

I/14 Troposphere-stratosphere coupling

I/15 Stratospheric circulation and strat-trop exchange after Holton et al planetary wave driving by momentum and heat flux transfer from the troposhere

I/16 Chemistry & transport of short-lived species

I/17 Stratospheric chemistry Brasseur et al., 1999

I/18 Tropospheric chemistry Up to 50% of free tropospheric ozone may be from the stratosphere Free troposphere ranges from abt. 2 km (above planetary boundary layer) to the tropopause Brasseur et al., 1999

I/19 Annual cycle in total ozone GOME / ERS II: derives total ozone columns (TOZ) from absorption signals in the backscattered UV solar radiation

I/20 wave driven transport Photochem. summer decay ozone hole (chemical ozone loss) Annual cycle in total ozone Transport (dynamics) and chemistry leads to seasonal ozone variability in tropics, middle and high latitudes Latitude

I/21 The global picture: middle atmosphere dynamics

I/22 The global picture: middle atmosphere dynamics ozone production by photochemistry downward transport of ozone, photochemically stable photochemical decay ozone hole, chemical ozone loss

I/23 Inter-annual ozone variability 63°N-90°N 63°S-90°S Northern polar latitudes spring Southern polar latitudes spring ‚ozone hole‘: TOZ < 200 DU

I/24 Inter-annual ozone variability 63°N-90°N 63°S-90°S chemical ozone loss inter-hemispheric differences in transport inter-annual variability in ozone chemistry & transport in each hemisphere

I/25 Ozone hole and polar vortex, southern hemisphere GOME total ozone above Antarctica Low inter-annual ozone variability in SH winter/spring  cold Antarctic stratospheric winters with low ozone („hole“) and large polar vortex every year  exception 2002, rather warm with higher ozone, but 2003 and 2004 are cold again like before (not shown)

I/26 Ozone hole and polar vortex, southern hemisphere GOME/SCIAMACHY October total ozone above Antarctica Low inter-annual ozone variability in SH winter/spring  cold Antarctic stratospheric winters with low ozone („hole“) and large polar vortex every year  exception 2002, rather warm with higher ozone.

I/27 Ozone variability in northern hemisphere 63°N-90°N

I/28 Ozone variability High inter-annual ozone variability in winter/spring NH  Cold (stratospheric) Arctic winters with low ozone:  1996, 1997, 2000, (2003), 2005  Warm Arctic winters with high ozone  1998, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2004

I/29 Polar stratospheric temperature anomalies Correlation of stratospheric temperatures and polar ozone, e.g. low temperatures and low ozone  analysis data  satellite data  radiosondes Note: here are anomalies shown (differences to long-term mean) Polar stratospheric T are lower in SH winter than in NH winter (about 15 K) 50 hPa/ ca. 18 km altitude

I/ km 8-15 km km Ozone minihole „dynamics“ ozone inside polar vortex „dynamics and chemistry“ Eichmann et al Height resolved ozone from GOME

I/31 Transport and changes in chemical composition Transport and chemical composition: subtropical streamer (high tropopause) in NH mid latitudes  low ozone above Europe (mini-hole) Geopotential height in dekameter at 300 hPa (ca. 9 km altitude)

I/32 Tropospheric weather patterns and stratospheric ozone North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the normalised (surface) pressure difference between Lisbon (Portugal) and Stykkisholmur (Island) for the winter months December-March Connection between tropospheric weather patterns (surface) and stratospheric ozone (~22 km altitude) 90% of ozone in stratosphere  total ozone mainly stratospheric ozone

I/33 Climate change: evolution of greenhouse gases Note today: [CO2]  380 ppmv [CH4]  1700 ppbv IPCC 2001

I/34 Climate change: evolution of greenhouse gases Note today: [CO2]  380 ppmv [CH4]  1700 ppbv Mouna Loa Hawaii Ahrens 1999

I/35 Climate change: evolution of greenhouse gases Note today: [CO2]  380 ppmv [CH4]  1700 ppbv Buchwitz et al., 2007

I/36 Can we learn from the past? Note today: [CO2]  380 ppmv [CH4]  1700 ppbv Age in kyears

I/37 Surface temperature from the past to the future Mann et al, 1998 Mann et al., 1998: temperature proxy data ECHO-G1: climate model result Cubash

I/38 Relationship between climate elements energy budget temperature wind, cloud, precipitation, atmospheric waves & circulation atmosphere solar radiation heat flux from ocean topography, geography soil composition, vegetation, albedo human activities, natural emission, volcanism Impact on trace gases chemistry transport

I/39 Atmospheric scales turbulence, lightning, tornadoes < 100 kmmicro mountain winds, foehn, hurricanes ~100 km regional sea wind circulation, frontal systems, gravity waves <1000 km mesoscale cyclonic waves planetary waves global, > 1000km Synoptic phenomenasscaleterminology

I/40 Atmospheric scales turbulence, lightning, tornadoes < 100 kmmicro mountain winds, foehn, hurricanes ~100 km regional sea wind circulation, frontal systems, gravity waves <1000 km mesoscale cyclonic waves planetary waves global, > 1000km Synoptic phenomenasscaleterminology troposphere stratosphere

I/41 Atmospheric space and time scales Glossary: planetarische Wellen=planetary scale waves, Wolken Cluster=cloud cluster, kleinräumige Turbulenz= small scale turbulence, Schwerewellen=gravity waves, Schallwellen=sound waves, kleinräumig=micro scale, grossräumig=synoptic time scale spatial scale Warneke 1997

I/42 Chemical time scales

I/43 Chemical composition and global change What causes the large chemical ozone depletion in SH spring? High stratospheric chlorine (halogen) loading from CFC emissions Cold temperatures inside the polar vortex However, past and future stratospheric temperatures depend on climate changes Global warming emissions deforrestation pytoplancton destruction tropospheric ozone formation stratospheric ozone depletion modification of tropospheric chemistry CFCs equivalent effective stratospheric chlorine (EESC)