12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER IUMI 2010 ZURICH Facts and Figures Committee Report Cedric CHARPENTIER Chairman, F&F Committee C.U.O. Cargo AXA Corporate Solutions.

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Presentation transcript:

12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER IUMI 2010 ZURICH Facts and Figures Committee Report Cedric CHARPENTIER Chairman, F&F Committee C.U.O. Cargo AXA Corporate Solutions September 13, 2010

2 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER Dieter Berg- Germany Cédric Charpentier - France, Chairman Darren Farr- U.K. Pamela Frood- U.K. Philip Graham- U.K. Patrizia Kern- Switzerland Henry Newman- U.S.A. Astrid Seltmann- Nordic, Secr. & Vice Chairman Massimo Spadoni- Italy Report of the F&F Committee Committee Members

3 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER Report of the F&F Committee Committee Members Javier Alonso- Spain Dieter Berg- Germany Darren Farr- U.K. Pamela Frood- U.K. Philip Graham- U.K. Vivian Ho- Hong Kong Patrizia Kern- Switzerland, Chairman Patrick Lecerf- France Henry Newman- U.S.A. Astrid Seltmann- Nordic, Secr. and Vice Chairman Massimo Spadoni- Italy

4 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER Spring Statistics Spring meetingSpring Statistics Spring meeting Report of the F&F Committee Documentations Hull, Energy and Cargo Fact Sheets ConferenceHull, Energy and Cargo Fact Sheets Conference Global shipping market trends ConferenceGlobal shipping market trends Conference Global marine insurance report ConferenceGlobal marine insurance report Conference Hull repair cost index Working GroupHull repair cost index Working Group

5 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER Global Shipping Market Trends Cedric CHARPENTIER Chairman, F&F Committee C.U.O. Cargo AXA Corporate Solutions September 13, 2010

6 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER Conclusion 2009 = Intro 2010 Global tradeGlobal trade: –2009 hit the bottom –2010 weak recovery Sustainable recovery?Sustainable recovery? –still not clear where from and when Shipping industry:Shipping industry: –fighting for survival with at least 2 year expected depressed market ahead –deep modification of the face of the world fleet expected –but medium and long term prospects are intact Numerous and deep impacts on the marine insurance industryNumerous and deep impacts on the marine insurance industry

7 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER After the sharpest decline for more than 70 years, global economy is on its way to recovery…

8 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER Sharp recovery of Global Economy expected in 2010… but already a peak?

9 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER World Trade in volume is set to vigorously rebound in

10 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER..combined with the recent resurgence in Commodity prices…

11 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER …result in a positive outlook for Global Trade in value terms: return to pre-crisis level in 2011?

12 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER The shipping industry reacted strongly to 2009 turmoil but short term prospects remain challenging…

13 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER Whilst World Trade collapsed, world fleet grew by 7% in 2009 generating strong overcapacity…

14 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER …and World Fleet is still expected to grow in 2010 by another 7%.

15 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER The market will have to absorb 40% of existing fleet in the next 3 years…

16 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER …resulting in a quite gloomy and unstable freight market.

17 12 TO 15 SEPTEMBER Conclusion Worldwide economy and Global Trade: Worldwide economy and Global Trade: Stronger recovery in 2010 than expected… …but uncertainty beyond : a strong recovery, a long lasting crisis or a double-dip? or all of them depending on the geographical area? At least 2 years to reach pre-crisis level Shipping industry Despite strong reactions… …overcapacity is here to stay and casts a cloud over the years to come for the shipping industry Numerous and deep impacts marine insurance