2008 Cyclone Season in Madagascar Results of the Assessment

11 May 2008GFDRR2 Contents 1.Damage and Loss Assessment Methodology 2.Effects of the 2008 Cyclone Season 3.Assessment of Damage and Losses 4.Macro-Economic Impact 5.Impact on Households

Damage and Loss Assessment Methodology

11 May 2008GFDRR4 Damage and Loss Assessment Methodology Methodology developed in the Latin America and Caribbean Region, and used since 1972 Adapted for use in other regions of the World Utilized by the WB in several major disasters in the Asian region: Gujarat, Tsunami, etc

11 May 2008GFDRR5 Concepts and Definitions Damage Total or partial destruction of physical assets Occur during the event itself Measured in physical units and valued at replacement cost Losses Changes in economic flows Occur after the natural event, and over a relatively long time period Valued at current prices Total Effects : Damage + Losses Immediate Effects Medium-Term Effects

11 May 2008GFDRR6 The Timing of Disaster Effects Time, months Damage Losses 5 yrs Full Reconstruction and Economic Recovery

Effects of the 2008 Cyclone Season

11 May 2008GFDRR8 Some significant figures Human impact:Human impact: –93 deaths and 176 missing persons –639 injured persons –332,391 persons affected –191,182 persons in shelters at peak time Houses affected: 125,990Houses affected: 125,990 –Fully destroyed: 90,093 –Partially destroyed: 35,896 6 hospitals and 167 health centers affected6 hospitals and 167 health centers affected Schools affected: 657Schools affected: 657 –Fully destroyed: 411 –Partially destroyed: 246

11 May 2008GFDRR9 Other Important Issues Water supply and sanitation systems in urban and rural areas were affectedWater supply and sanitation systems in urban and rural areas were affected Electricity supply disrupted for 1 to 2 weeks and isolated areas still without power after 2 monthsElectricity supply disrupted for 1 to 2 weeks and isolated areas still without power after 2 months Communications interrupted for different time periodsCommunications interrupted for different time periods A total of 11 national roads, and many secondary and communcal roads were cut or damaged, including several key bridges and other drainage worksA total of 11 national roads, and many secondary and communcal roads were cut or damaged, including several key bridges and other drainage works Railway traffic interrupted and railways were damagedRailway traffic interrupted and railways were damaged Ports and airports sustained damage and traffic was interruptedPorts and airports sustained damage and traffic was interrupted

11 May 2008GFDRR10 Disruption of productive activities Production of rice and other cash crops for domestic consumption and for exports was negatively affected by the flooding; and irrigation infrastructure works were damagedProduction of rice and other cash crops for domestic consumption and for exports was negatively affected by the flooding; and irrigation infrastructure works were damaged Livestock died and the production of eggs, meat and milk was negatively affectedLivestock died and the production of eggs, meat and milk was negatively affected Equipment and boats in the fishery and aquaculture sector were destroyed, and the volume of catch was negatively affected as wellEquipment and boats in the fishery and aquaculture sector were destroyed, and the volume of catch was negatively affected as well Industrial and commerce establishments sustained damage to their installations and equipment, and production and sales were interruptedIndustrial and commerce establishments sustained damage to their installations and equipment, and production and sales were interrupted Tourism infrastructure was damaged and the arrival of foreign tourists declined after the cyclonesTourism infrastructure was damaged and the arrival of foreign tourists declined after the cyclones

11 May 2008GFDRR11 Breakdown of Agriculture Sector

Assessment of Damage and Losses

11 May 2008GFDRR13 Results of the Assessment The estimated total amount of damage and losses caused by the cyclones in 2008 is 595 milliard Ariary or US$ 360 million Equivalent to about 4.3% of 2007 gross domestic product

11 May 2008GFDRR14 Ownership of Disaster Effects An indication of post-disaster efforts

11 May 2008GFDRR15 Damage and Losses Breakdown Estimated Value of Disaster Effects Milliard Ariary Damage Losses Total 595.1

11 May 2008GFDRR16 Summary of Damage and Losses

11 May 2008GFDRR17 Sector-by-Sector Effects

11 May 2008GFDRR18 Geographical Distribution of Effects

Macro-Economic Impact

11 May 2008GFDRR20 Macro-Economic Impact The economy of Madagascar, prior to the cyclone season of 2008, was expected to growth at an annual rate of 7.3% Taking into consideration the losses that have been estimated, the growth rate of the country´s gross domestic product is expected to slow down by 0.2 per cent Due to the reduction of exports and increase in imports of goods, plus the reduction of income from tourism services, the current account of the balance of payments would decline 10%, from to million SDR Due to increased post-disaster current expenditures and lower tax revenues, fiscal sector overall balance would decline from 5.0 to 4.9% of GDP

Impact at the Household or Personal Level

11 May 2008GFDRR22 Most Affected Regions in Per Capita Effects

Thank You!!!