ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN ENTERTAINMENT TECHNOLOGY WELCOME!
TODAY’S AGENDA Financial Statements Review from Tuesday Financial Modeling Examples
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
MAIN TYPES Income Statement (P&L) Balance Sheet Cash Flow
FINANCIAL MODELS: DRIVERS, ASSUMPTIONS AND METRICS
FINANCIAL MODELS
What When How Why Who
FINANCIAL MODELS Simulation Rules + Assumptions + Initial Values
WHY? Test Scenarios Sustainable? Sensitivity Analysis Find Toxic Events Find Metrics
HOW? Hypothesize Test Iterate Try Different Models
DRIVERS AND METRICS Drivers Key factors that drive revenue and expenses Ratio Assumptions Numbers you plug into drivers Metrics A measurement of a Driver’s performance Ratio
EXAMPLE 1 – SUBSCRIPTION Drivers Revenue per Customer per Month Cost per Sales Lead Conversion Rate Churn Rate Metrics LCV/CAC Conversion rate (% leads who pay) Retention or churn (% repeat customers) Growth
EXAMPLE 2 – FREEMIUM GAMES Driver Conversion Rate Revenue per Paying User Churn Rate Hosting Cost per MAU Metrics LVC/CAC Growth Gross Profit Margin
SAMPLE FINANCIAL MODELS techcrunch.com/2010/10/10/teardown-13-ways-10-million-revenues/
EXAMPLE 3 – AD SUPPORTED Driver Revenue per Click Metrics Unique visitors Page views per visitor Conversion rate (% visitors who click)
EXAMPLE 4 – MARKETPLACE Driver Listings Closed Metrics New listings Conversion rate (% listings that close)
EXPENSE EXAMPLES Number of servers ← Pages served per minute Pages served ← Number of visitors Acquisition cost = Marketing cost per new customer R&D cost ← Number of products Customer support ← Number of customers
TEARDOWNS
ZYNGA Source: Public Filings
ANALYTICS ultichannel-funnels.html
WHITEBOARD EXERCISE
WHITEBOARD Revenue streams Costs of revenue (variable costs) Key drivers Key metrics Assumptions you’ll have to make Other important aspects of your model
NEXT CLASS
HOMEWORK Read techcrunch.com/2010/10/10/teardown-13-ways-10-million-revenues/ Financial Model for your market opportunity Meet with me to determine goal Excel spreadsheet Explicit detail on assumptions No company intro – just get straight to the data Due date: to Carl by Monday 2/25, 7pm
RESOURCES
Teardowns techcrunch.com/2010/10/10/teardown-13-ways-10-million-revenues/ techcrunch.com/2010/05/13/zynga-teardown/ techcrunch.com/2010/05/02/teardown-groupon/