The Ross Island Meteorology Experiment (RIME): An International Collaborative Investigation of Antarctic Meteorology and Climate David Bromwich Polar Meteorology.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
NOAA in the Antarctic James H. Butler, Director Global Monitoring Division Earth System Research Laboratory National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Advertisements

AR Science Gaps/Objectives Duane Waliser on behalf of Calwater 2 SSG Jet Propulsion Laboratory/Caltech Pasadena, CA CalWater 2015 – ACAPEX Campaign Planning.
Overview of AMPS-Polar MM5 real-time forecasting for Antarctica and plans for the assimilation of EOS data David H. Bromwich Polar Meteorology Group, Byrd.
Atmosphere & Climate Change
Outstanding Questions in Recent Antarctic Climate Change and their Relevance to the Paleoclimate Record Dr. John Turner British Antarctic Survey Cambridge,
Climate change in the Antarctic. Turner et al, Significant warming of the Antarctic Winter Troposphere. Science, vol 311, pp Radiosonde.
S. E. Stammerjohn, M. R. Drinkwater, R. C. Smith, and X. Liu Presented by Brad Goodwin Atmospheric Science Graduate Student.
Climatology and Variability of Mesoscale Cyclones in the Western Antarctic Peninsula Region Dan Lubin Scripps Institution of Oceanography Rob Wittenmyer.
El Niño Southern Oscillation [ENSO] NORMAL: - Easterly trade winds between ± 30° latitude (Coriolis Force) - Sea Surface Height slant to west - Warm basin.
Climatological Estimates of Greenland Ice Sheet Sea Level Contributions: Recent Past and Future J. E. Box Byrd Polar Research Center Understanding Sea-level.
The influence of extra-tropical, atmospheric zonal wave three on the regional variation of Antarctic sea ice Marilyn Raphael UCLA Department of Geography.
Recent performance statistics for AMPS real-time forecasts Kevin W. Manning – National Center for Atmospheric Research NCAR Earth System Laboratory Mesoscale.
Review of Northern Winter 2010/11
THORPEX-Pacific Workshop Kauai, Hawaii Polar Meteorology Group, Byrd Polar Research Center, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio David H. Bromwich.
Validating the moisture predictions of AMPS at McMurdo using ground- based GPS measurements of precipitable water Julien P. Nicolas 1, David H. Bromwich.
Implementation of the Ross Island Meteorology Experiment (RIME) Implementation of the Ross Island Meteorology Experiment (RIME) David H. Bromwich 1, John.
Focus on High Latitudes State of the Antarctic & Southern Ocean Climate System Authors: P. A. Mayewski, M. P. Meredith, C. P. Summerhayes, J. Turner, A.
Ocean Response to Global Warming William Curry Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Wallace Stegner Center March 3, 2006.
Weather: The state of the atmosphere at a given time and place, with respect to variables such as temperature, moisture, wind velocity and direction,
Climate and Climate Change
Climate and Climate Change. Climate Climate is the average weather conditions in an area over a long period of time. Climate is determined by a variety.
SIO 210: ENSO conclusion Dec. 2, 2004 Interannual variability (end of this lecture + next) –Tropical Pacific: El Nino/Southern Oscillation –Southern Ocean.
Question and Answer Session Related to the Weather photo: D. Martin Douglas K. Miller Professor and Chair Atmospheric Sciences Department UNC Asheville.
Are Exceptionally Cold Vermont Winters Returning? Dr. Jay Shafer July 1, 2015 Lyndon State College 1.
El Niño/Southern Oscillation Major climatic perturbation on the planet Coupled atmosphere ocean process Key is the western tropical Pacific – Ascending.
By Anthony R. Lupo Department of Soil, Environmental, and Atmospheric Science 302 E ABNR Building University of Missouri Columbia, MO
Atmosphere and Climate ChangeSection 1 Climate average weather conditions in an area over a long period of time. determined by factors that include: latitude,
Atmosphere and Climate ChangeSection 1 Section 1: Climate and Climate Change Preview Bellringer Objectives Climate Latitude Atmospheric Circulation Global.
Water Year Outlook. Long Range Weather Forecast Use a combination of long term predictors –Phase of Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) –Phase of Atlantic.
Objectives Explain the difference between weather and climate.
“Effects of Pacific Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomalies on the Climate of Southern South Carolina and Northern Coastal Georgia ” Whitney Albright Joseph.
El Nino and La Nina opposite phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. The ENSO cycle describes the changes in temperature between the ocean.
Teleconnections Current Weather Current Weather Finish ENSO Finish ENSO North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations Pacific.
Polar Prediction The Scientific Challenges - Antarctica John Turner British Antarctic Survey Cambridge, UK.
Ocean Circulation.
Climate and Climate Change Environmental Science Spring 2011.
HYDRANT: The role of clouds in Antarctic hydrologic cycle Project scientist: Irina Gorodetskaya, LGGE (France)/KU-Leuven Project leader: Nicole van Lipzig,
Bellringer. Climate Climate is the average weather conditions in an area over a long period of time. – determined by a variety of factors including: latitude,
Day one Chapter 13 Atmosphere and Climate Change
Atmosphere and Climate ChangeSection 1 Section 1: Climate Preview Classroom Catalyst Objectives Climate Latitude Global Air Circulation Areas of High and.
Regional Modeling of Antarctic Clouds Keith M. Hines 1 and David H. Bromwich 1,2 1 Polar Meteorology Group Byrd Polar Research Center The Ohio State University.
Autonomous Polar Atmospheric Observations John J. Cassano University of Colorado.
International Workshop on Antarctic Clouds Columbus, OH Polar Meteorology Group, Byrd Polar Research Center, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio.
Atmosphere and Climate ChangeSection 1 Atmosphere & Climate Change Georgia Performance Standards SEV3a: Describe interconnections between abiotic and biotic.
Climate -Climate is the average weather conditions in an area over a long period of time. -Climate is determined by a variety of factors that include latitude,
Antarctic Regional Interactions Meteorology Experiment (RIME) Antarctic Regional Interactions Meteorology Experiment (RIME) David H. Bromwich 1, John J.
Climate Variability and Extremes: Is Global Warming Responsible? Chip Konrad Associate Professor Department of Geography, UNC – Chapel Hill Director of.
The Ross Island Meteorology Experiment (RIME): An International Collaborative Investigation of Antarctic Meteorology and Climate David Bromwich Polar Meteorology.
RIME A possible experiment for Advancing Antarctic Weather Prediction David H. Bromwich 1, John J. Cassano 1, Thomas R. Parish 2, Keith M. Hines 1 1 -
Climatology of the Río de la Plata Basin: short and long term variability Mario Bidegain Facultad de Ciencias Universidad de la Republica Uruguay Workshop.
Teleconnections Current Weather Current Weather Finish ENSO Finish ENSO North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations Pacific.
A surface climatology of the Ross Island, Antarctica region using a high-resolution mesoscale atmospheric model A surface climatology of the Ross Island,
DAY ONE Chapter 13 Atmosphere and Climate Change Section 1: Climate and Climate Change.
AMPS Update – July 2010 Kevin W. Manning Jordan G. Powers Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division NCAR Earth System Laboratory National Center for.
Tropical dynamics and Tropical cyclones
Day one Chapter 13 Atmosphere and Climate Change
Seasonal Forecast of Antarctic Sea Ice
Static Stability in the Global UTLS Observations of Long-term Mean Structure and Variability using GPS Radio Occultation Data Kevin M. Grise David W.
Oliver Elison Timm ATM 306 Fall 2016
Air-Sea Interactions The atmosphere and ocean form a coupled system, exchanging heat, momentum and water at the interface. Emmanuel, K. A. 1986: An air-sea.
El Niño and La Niña.
Anthony R. Lupo, Professor
University of Colorado – Boulder
EL NINO Figure (a) Average sea surface temperature departures from normal as measured by satellite. During El Niño conditions upwelling is greatly.
Day one Chapter 13 Atmosphere and Climate Change
Day one Chapter 13 Atmosphere and Climate Change
Notepack 30 Chapter 13 Atmosphere and Climate Change
Day one Chapter 13 Atmosphere and Climate Change
Bellringer.
Presentation transcript:

The Ross Island Meteorology Experiment (RIME): An International Collaborative Investigation of Antarctic Meteorology and Climate David Bromwich Polar Meteorology Group Byrd Polar Research Center The Ohio State University Columbus, Ohio

Topics Covered: Introduction to Antarctica Motivation for RIME Climate Interactions Emphasizing the Ross Sea Sector Approach Process-based Studies Modeling Research RIME Activities and Timelines Proposed HIAPER Aircraft Program Conclusions

Northern HemisphereSouthern Hemisphere McMurdo Palmer South Pole Introduction to Antarctica: Location and Size

Introduction to Antarctica - continued Highest Coldest Driest Windiest Antarctic Ice Sheet Stores the Equivalent of 73 m (240 ft) of Global Sea Level. …continent on Earth

Introduction to Antarctica: Topography McMurdo

Introduction to Antarctica: Annual Mean Surface Temperature

Introduction to Antarctica: Annual Accumulation

Introduction to Antarctica: Mean Winds

Introduction to Antarctica: Cyclonic Activity

Introduction to Antarctica: The Ross Sea and Ross Ice Shelf

Introduction to Antarctica: The Ross Sea and Ross Ice Shelf

Phote courtesy BPRC Figure 1. McMurdo Station, Antarctica Introduction to Antarctica: McMurdo Station

Motivation for RIME We have good knowledge of the basic aspects of many processes, but detailed understanding is lacking. This is required for understanding the role of Antarctica in the global climate system, for example via sensitivity studies with global climate models. One needs to get the cloud-radiation interactions correct for this. Also logistical activities in USAP are increasingly relying on numerical weather forecasts to allow expansion to year-round operations. E.g., rescue of Dr. Shemenski from South Pole in April 2001 and the collection of personnel from McMurdo around the same time.

Antarctica is unique in that it represents the cold, dry, and pristine limits to the troposphere. The study area is representative of the processes that take place in all parts of Antarctica. This area is where strong interactions with the global climate system take place. More details to follow. Ease of collaboration with Italy, France, and New Zealand. RIME planning workshop in Bologna, Italy during July Logistics available for a field program. Timescales will be decided by the dominant atmospheric circulation modes. Most significant atmospheric modeling uncertainties occur at high latitudes, particularly the planetary boundary layer and the atmospheric hydrologic cycle. Motivation for RIME

Teleconnections with middle and low latitudesTeleconnections with middle and low latitudes El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impactsEl Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impacts Hemispheric mass exchangeHemispheric mass exchange Climate Interactions Emphasizing the Ross Sea Sector

Teleconnections Hines and Bromwich 2002 (in press)

MAM 1997 (El Nino) MAM 1999 (La Nina) Key Points: Warmer than normal temperatures over West Antarctica during El Nino Cooler than normal temperatures over West Antarctica during La Nina Marked Differences and very tight gradients Dipole observed ENSO Impacts Polar MM5 Potential Temperature Anomaly ( o K) Bromwich et al 2003 (in preparation)

Hemispheric Mass Exchange Parish and Bromwich 1998

Need regional focus to help to study processes and for forecasting purposes. This allows the collaboration with our friends from Italy and France. Aircraft, regional AWS, satellite products, wind profilers, enhanced upper air program, etc. are needed. Need a local focus. Parameterization testing and development. Primarily must be concentrated in a limited area to get enough equipment in place. Also can do testing and development of satellite products that are required for the process-based studies and forecasting purposes. Ground-based equipment, aircraft measurements, plus???. Approach:

Katabatic Winds Mesoscale Cyclogenesis Barrier Winds Approach: Process-Based Studies

Katabatic wind surge blowing across the Ross Ice Shelf. McMurdo Station, Ross Island Katabatic Winds Carrasco and Bromwich 1993

Mesoscale Cyclones Carrasco et al (in press)

Barrier Winds O’Connor et al Bromwich et al (in press)

Cloud-Radiation Interaction Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Moist Processes Approach: Modeling Research Parameterization Improvements Forecast Improvements Effective Assimilation of Conventional and Novel Data Sources (e.g., AWS, Satellite Imagery, GPS/Met. Data, etc…) Forecast Sensitivity Studies/Adjoint Modeling

Cloud-Radiation Interaction Cassano et al. 2001

PBL Parameterization Bromwich et al. 2001

Pre-RIME (June 2003-June 2005)Pre-RIME (June 2003-June 2005) RIME Proposals due at NSF-OPP June 2003 and possibly June 2004 as wellRIME Proposals due at NSF-OPP June 2003 and possibly June 2004 as well RIME Phase I (Field Study; December 2005-March 2006)RIME Phase I (Field Study; December 2005-March 2006) RIME Analysis Phase (March 2006-September 2007)RIME Analysis Phase (March 2006-September 2007) RIME Phase II (Field Study; September-December 2007)RIME Phase II (Field Study; September-December 2007) RIME Final Analysis Phase (January 2008-June 2010)RIME Final Analysis Phase (January 2008-June 2010) RIME Activities and Timelines – Your active participation is solicited!

AWS DeploymentAWS Deployment Early Instrument DevelopmentEarly Instrument Development Satellite Algorithm DevelopmentSatellite Algorithm Development Model Evaluation and ValidationModel Evaluation and Validation Model Initialization/Data IngestionModel Initialization/Data Ingestion Pre-RIME Activities

Surface energy budgetSurface energy budget Vertical structure of the atmosphereVertical structure of the atmosphere Radiation, cloud microphysics studiesRadiation, cloud microphysics studies Regional airborne observingRegional airborne observing Local airborne observingLocal airborne observing Satellite productsSatellite products ModelingModeling RIME Activities

HIAPER: An exciting opportunity for studies of Antarctic Meteorology and Climatology Unique Aspects:Unique Aspects: Can operate in Antarctica in late winter / early spring when other research aircraft cannot.Can operate in Antarctica in late winter / early spring when other research aircraft cannot. Range – can fly out of New Zealand, perform Antarctic studies, and return home.Range – can fly out of New Zealand, perform Antarctic studies, and return home. Can operate at high (max 51,000 ft, 100 hPa) and low altitudesCan operate at high (max 51,000 ft, 100 hPa) and low altitudes Sophisticated instrumentation.Sophisticated instrumentation. Anticipated Usage:Anticipated Usage: 2 nd RIME Field Season (Sep-Dec 2007).2 nd RIME Field Season (Sep-Dec 2007). Possible Investigation Topics:Possible Investigation Topics: Intense cyclonic forcing – interactions with sub-polar latitudes and the stratosphere.Intense cyclonic forcing – interactions with sub-polar latitudes and the stratosphere. Circumpolar Vortex dynamics.Circumpolar Vortex dynamics. Local Antarctic processes and circulations – Polar Direct Cell.Local Antarctic processes and circulations – Polar Direct Cell. Study Applications:Study Applications: Model validation.Model validation. Satellite algorithm validation.Satellite algorithm validation.

Maximum Range12,046 kmMaximum Range12,046 km Maximum Payload2,948 kgMaximum Payload2,948 kg Payload with Maximum Fuel726 kgPayload with Maximum Fuel726 kg Maximum Cruise Altitude15.5 kmMaximum Cruise Altitude15.5 km Cabin Length15.3 mCabin Length15.3 m Cabin Width2.2 mCabin Width2.2 m Cabin Height1.9 mCabin Height1.9 m NCARHIAPER Gulfstream V

Conclusions: Wide atmospheric science community participation is essential to the success of RIME. Little detailed study has been performed in the data-sparse Antarctic region and there are tremendous possibilities for ground-breaking discoveries. Participation of other funding agencies (e.g., NASA, NOAA, DOE) is being considered because of the scope of the proposed work. RIME project website: