American Government and Organization PS1301 Tuesday, 21 September.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

1992 Presidential Campaign. 3 Way Race The 1992 Presidential race was between three people: The 1992 Presidential race was between three people: Bill.

Advertisements

VOTING BEHAVIOR THEORIES In the United States, 1940s to today.

2008 Latino Voter Survey in Key Battleground States Produced by The NALEO Educational Fund and Latino Decisions, Sponsored by AARP October 23, 2008.

January 6-8, 2002 / N=1,000 Registered “Likely”Voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Battleground 2002 (XXI)

Third Parties : “They Ain’t Got a Chance” Ross Perot: 1992, 1996 Ralph Nader: 2000, 2004.

POLI 300 STUDENT POLITICAL ATTITUDES SURVEY FALL 2008 (with Fall 2007)

How People Voted The Election of Clearly Communicated Learning Objectives Understand the decision making process for why people vote as they do.

Still the biggest factor in vote choice

Strategic Politicians. Number of House seats held by President’s party,

Voting Behavior II. Campaigns in Voting Theories VotersRole of Campaigns IgnorantTo manipulate.

Strong Two Party Politics in the Industrial Heartland.

How do voters make decisions???. Campaigns in Voting Theories VotersRole of Campaigns IgnorantTo manipulate.

Introduction to the American Political Process Elections.

Elections and Direct Democracy 31 October Who decides who the party nominee will be? In the past, party activists made the decision at the national.

Political Parties Are groups of people with broad, shared interests. They join together to help candidates they support with elections. They work to shape.

Voting 11/9/2011. Clearly Communicated Learning Objectives in Written Form Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: – discuss and critically.

Development of American Political Parties

The U.S. in 2008: The Election and the Economy I. Demographic data II. U.S. political process III election IV. State of U.S. economy.

Voting Behavior POLS 21: The American Political System “Always vote for principle, though you may vote alone, and you may cherish the sweetest reflection.

Elections and Direct Democracy 4 November The 2010 Midterm Election An Historic Election? Republicans recapture the House for the first time since.

Issues, the Economy and Character in Campaigns March 23, 2011.

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296.

The Election Process Pathway to the Presidency Nomination (primary season) and election (general election); two separate steps, two strategies.

Direct Democracy 3 November A word about the essays…

July 30 - August 3, 2000 / N=500 registered “likely” voters daily A Tracking Survey of National Voter Attitudes for the Republican National Convention.

POSTER LAYOUT. THE LIFE OF T HE PARTIES THE LIFE OF T HE PARTIES RepublicanDemocrat.

American Government and Organization PS1301 Monday, 29 March.

Campaigns and Elections U.S. Government POL 110. Topics Political participation and what people think they are achieving by participating in the electoral.

The Voters’ Side of the Story PS 426 February 26 and March 3.

Campaigns and Elections. The Structure of American Elections Structured to limit popular control and minimize chances of factions controlling government.

Political Parties “Linkage Institution”. Student Expectations Analyze the different points of views of political parties and interest groups on contemporary.

Political Parties & Elections. Political Parties Political Parties are organizations of people who want to influence government by getting people elected.

August , 2000 / N=500 registered “likely” voters daily A rolling sample of N=1,000 Margin of Error +3.1% A Tracking Survey of National Voter Attitudes.

Bell ringer We have 20 electoral votes in the electoral college, how many U.S. Representatives do we have in the United States House of Representatives?

American National Election Studies ANES studies have been held in conjunction with every Presidential election since 1952 (and most off-year) Congressional.

Voter Turnout Accounting for Voter Turnout Demographic Socioeconomic Psychological.

2 February, Office hours  Georgios Tuesdays 1-2; 4-5 (A236B)  Siim Thursday 2pm-3pm (A232) Friday 10am-11am (A232)

July 30 - August 3, 2000 / N=500 registered “likely” voters daily A Tracking Survey of National Voter Attitudes for the Democratic National Convention.

Empirical support—U.S. Wisconsin For example, Hedlund and Watts (1986) find that, in the open primaries of Wisconsin from 1968 to 1984, around 30% to 40%

American Government and Organization PS1301 Wednesday, 29 October.

1. Elections are ultimately about the voter’s decisions. What factors do you think influence voters’ decisions? What are some considerations that voters.

Third Parties Causes Effects Types Challenges. Purpose and Effects Form when People feel their views are not adequately represented by the 2 majority.

Electoral College PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS. So… What is the electoral college?  When you vote for the President you are actually voting for an ELECTOR.

American Government and Organization PS1301 Monday, 27 October.

POLI 300 STUDENT POLITICAL ATTITUDES SURVEY FALL & SPRING 2009.

AP US Government & Politics Review Part II. II. Political beliefs and behaviors of individuals (10-20%) Beliefs that citizens hold about their government.

Elections and Voting Chapter 13.

1.We can identify the purpose of political parties.

Presidential Election

Presidential Election

Campaigns and Elections

Political party-organized group which seeks to win elections in order to influence the activities of government Democrat-federalist party, symbol is the.

Chapter 6-Section 4 Voter Behavior

Campaigns and Elections

What is a political party and what are its major functions?

Inspiring the Vote: A Simulation Election

What is a political party and what are its major functions?

Chapter 6: Voters and Voter Behavior

Voting Behaviour March 5, 2007.

Third Parties: “They Ain’t Got a Chance”

Do Campaigns Matter?.

Minor Parties Political Parties.

American Government and Organization

American Government and Organization

American Government and Organization

AP US Government & Politics Review Part II

Chapter 6-Section 4 Voter Behavior

The Partisan Sort Chapters 1 and 2.

Chapter 8 Political Participation

Presentation transcript:

American Government and Organization PS1301 Tuesday, 21 September

Announcements Midterm scheduled for Thursday Please do not forget scantrons Also bring a photo id

How do people decide who to vote for? Prospective Model (Michigan) Party identification Party identification Candidate characteristics Candidate characteristics Issue positions Issue positions Retrospective Model Party identification Party identification Evaluation of the past Evaluation of the past

Party Identification “Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, and Independent, or what?” Persons who call themselves Republicans or Democrats are then asked: “Would you call yourself a strong (Republican, Democrat) or a not very strong (Republican, Democrat). Persons who call themselves Independents, answer “no preference,” or name another party are asked : “Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or to the Democratic party?”

Distribution of Partisans

Ideology and Partisanship

Functions of Party Identification Helps you organize and categorize information Perceptual Screen Helps you make value judgments. Is George Bush competent? Could Bill Clinton be trusted? Helps you make value judgments. Is George Bush competent? Could Bill Clinton be trusted? Influence Political Behavior Persons who are party identifiers are more interested in politics, more concerned about who wins the election, and more likely to vote. Persons who are party identifiers are more interested in politics, more concerned about who wins the election, and more likely to vote. party id is the most important determinant of the way people vote party id is the most important determinant of the way people vote

Partisanship over time

Influence of Party Id

Dynamics of 2000 Presidential Campaign Source: Johnston and Hagen (APSA 2003) “Priming and Learning: Evidence from the 2000 Annenberg Study”

Character

Perception of Gore’s Honesty

Traits of Candidates

Requirements for Issue Voting Aware of the issue Care about the issue Perceive difference between the candidates Correct about the difference

Criteria for Issue Voting

Retrospective Voting Party identification Evaluation of the past economic indicators, “It’s the economy, stupid” economic indicators, “It’s the economy, stupid” Wars WarsIncumbency