Cost benefit analysis (COBA) is a technique for assessing the monetary social costs and benefits of a capital investment project over a given time period.

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Presentation transcript:

Cost benefit analysis (COBA) is a technique for assessing the monetary social costs and benefits of a capital investment project over a given time period. The principles of cost-benefit analysis (CBA) are: Appraisal of a project Incorporates externalities into the equation Time matters! COBA can take account of the economics of time – known as discounting

The Stages in the Cost Benefit Analysis Approach Stage 1(a) Calculation of social costs & social benefits. This would include calculation of: – Tangible Benefits and Costs – Intangible Benefits and Costs Stage 1(b) Sensitivity analysis of events occurring Stage 2: Discounting the future value of benefits Stage 3: Comparing the costs and benefits to determine the net social rate of return Stage 4: Comparing net rate of return from different projects

What are the main disadvantages of cost benefit analysis?

Disadvantages of COBA 1 Problems in attaching valuations to costs and benefits: Some costs are easy to value such as the running costs (e.g. staff costs) + capital costs (new equipment). Other costs are more difficult – not least when a project has a significant impact on the environment. The value attached to the destruction of a habitat is to some “priceless” and to others “worthless”. Costs are also subject to change over time – I.e. the construction costs of a new bridge over a river or the introduction of electronic road pricing

2 The COBA may not cover everyone affected (i.e. all third parties) – inevitably with major construction projects such as a new airport or a new road, there are a huge number of potential “stakeholders” who stand to be affected (positively or negatively) by the decision. COBA cannot hope to include all stakeholders – there is a risk that some groups might be left out of the decision process a. Future generations – are they included in the analysis? b. What of “non-human” stakeholders?

3 Distributional consequences: Costs and benefits mean different things to different income groups - benefits to the poor are usually worth more (or are they?). Those receiving benefits and those burdened with the costs of a project may not be the same. Are the losers to be compensated? To many economists, the equity issue is as important as the efficiency argument.

4 Social welfare is not the same as individual welfare - What we want individually may not be what we want collectively. Do we attach a different value to those who feel “passionately” about something (for example the building of new housing on greenfield sites) contrasted with those who are more ambivalent?

5 Valuing the environment: How are we to place a value on public goods such as the environment where there is no market established for the valuation of “property rights” over environmental resources? How does one value “nuisance” and “aesthetic values”?

6 Valuing human life: Some measurements of benefits require the valuation of human life – many people are intrinsically opposed to any attempt to do this. This objection can be partly overcome if we focus instead on the probability of a project “reducing the risk of death” – and there are insurance markets in existence which tell us something about how much people value their health and life when they take out insurance policies.

7 Attitudes to risk – e.g. a cost benefit analysis of the effects of genetically modified foods?