Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Germany’s Green Energy Transition Arne Jungjohann, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Washington DC Durban, December 2011

Washington, DC. Mexico City. San Salvador. Rio de Janeiro. Santiago de Chile. Lagos. Cape Town Nairobi. Addis Ababa. Berlin. Brussels. Warsaw. Prague. Sarajevo. Belgrade. Zagreb. Istanbul Kiev. Moscow. Tbilisi. Kabul. Lahore. New Dheli. Chiang Mai. Phnom Penh. Beijing

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Part 1 Reaction in Germany after Fukushima driven by… Foto: Anti-Atom-Treck Concerns on Nuclear 2. Credibility of Renewables 3. Politics

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA German reaction after Fukushima driven by Chernobyl 1986 new risk assessment 17 old NPP, 80 Million Germany ½ the size of Texas

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Source:BMUBMU

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA 6 Jobs: Renewable Energy vs. Lignite Coal Germany,

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Part 2 Gradual Phase-Out by 2022

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Power Generation in Germany (2010) Friday, May 28, 2010 Source: AG Energiebilanzen

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Before Fukushima: 17 NPP operating up to 2032 providing 22% of power ~20 GW installed capacity After Fukushima: Immediate shutdown of 8NPP gradual phase-out by 2022 of remaining 9 NPP Nuclear Phase-Out by 2022…

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Part 3 So what about… …energy costs? …power shortages & imports? … CO2 emissions?

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Expensive Renewable Energy? No, but modest price tag for ratepayers InstituteCommissioned byEstimated rate increase SRU-0,4 ECent/kWh Eco-InstituteWWF0,5 ECent/kWh RWI/EWIFed Government0,5 ECent/kWh PrognosFed of Bavarian Industry 0,6 ECent/kWh R2BBDI/Chamber of C0,9 ECent/kWh DIW-1,2 ECent/kWh Source: MdB Hans-Josef Fell

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Friday, May 28, 2010 Nuclear is costly: (Subsidy Billions of Euros since 1970) Hard CoalNuclear Power LigniteRenewables Source: Green Budget Germany

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Increasing electricity imports? Not as a net exporter

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Increasing emissions? Not with carbon cap on power sector Friday, May 28, 2010 Mio t CO 2 Source: BMU

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Increasing emissions? Not with long-term climate targets Friday, May 28, 2010 GHG Emissions Source: BMU

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Part 4 Outlook 2020 – 2050 On the Way to a Renewable Energy Economy

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Key Climate and Energy Policies Ecological tax reform ( ) Renewable Energy Act (2000) Nuclear Phase Out ( ) Cap and trade (2005) Integrated Climate and Energy Program (2007) Renewable Energy Action Plan (2010) Energy concept 2050 (2010) 17

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Goal: 80% to 100% Renewable Energies by 2050

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Energy concept 2050: The road to the renewable era Source:BMUBMU

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA Thank you for your attention! 20 Arne Jungjohann Heinrich Boell Foundation, Washington DC