Welcome to Introduction to Bioinformatics Monday, 2 May 2005 Probability Anything you like How to read text files
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Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers numbers
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers numbers 10 winners numbers per card (50¢ each)
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers numbers 10 winners 8 numbers per card (50¢ each) winners $1,000,000 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers numbers 10 winners 8 numbers per card (50¢ each) winners $1,000,000 Probability?
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers numbers 10 winners 8 numbers per card (50¢ each) winners $1,000,000 Probability? 5
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers numbers 10 winners 8 numbers per card (50¢ each) winners $1,000,000 Probability? 5 3
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers numbers 10 winners 8 numbers per card (50¢ each) winners $1,000,000 Probability? 5 3 3
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers numbers 10 winners 8 numbers per card (50¢ each) 4 winners $1,000,000 Probability?
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers How many possible cards? 10 How many winning cards? 6 Probability? 6 / 10 Probability The art of creative counting
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers Probability The art of creative counting But how to count when there’s too many to count?
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers How many total? How many possible cards of 3 from 5 numbers? x5 x4 x3 5!
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers How many cards? How many possible cards of 3 from 5 numbers? 5! · 3! (CHOOSE 5 3)
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers How many possible cards? 10 How many winning cards? 6 Probability? 6 / 10 Probability The art of creative counting (CHOOSE 5 3)
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers How many possible cards? How many winning cards? 6 Probability? 6 / 10 Probability The art of creative counting (CHOOSE 5 3) (CHOOSE 3 2)
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers How many possible cards? How many winning cards? 6 Probability? 6 / 10 Probability The art of creative counting (CHOOSE 5 3) (CHOOSE 3 2) *(CHOOSE 2 1)
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers numbers 10 winners 8 numbers per card (50¢ each) winners $1,000,000 Probability?
Problem 9 Probability of choosing four correct numbers 1000 numbers 10 winners 8 numbers per card (50¢ each) winners $1,000,000 Probability? Number of winning cards Number of total cards (CHOOSE 10 4) (CHOOSE ) (CHOOSE 990 4) Number of winning cards Probability of one winning card *