Scenario Comparison Which are the most effective scenarios for the BE-AWARE project regions? BE-AWARE II Final Conference, November, Rönneby, Sweden Co-financed by the EU – Civil Protection Financial Instrument

Concept for analytical scenario comparison Concept for analytical scenario comparison Costs are given as order of magnitudes and include investment cost, lifetime, maintenance and running costs

Concept for analytical scenario comparison Introducing two key terms: 1) Effectiveness (regarding damage for a given scenario compared to the 2020 reference scenario) In brief: "How much is the env. and soc.-eco. damage reduced in a sub- region by introducing a given scenario?" In brief brief: "How much does it help" 2) Cost-efficiency (regarding damage for a given scenario compared to the 2020 reference scenario) In brief: "How much reduction in env. and soc.-eco. damage is achieved per invested EUR in a sub-region by introducing a given scenario?" In brief brief : "How much do I get per EUR"

Concept for analytical scenario comparison Environmental and socio-economic damage Effectiveness expressed by env. and soc.eco damage is qualitatively confirmed by effectiveness expressed by thee independent parameters

BE-AWARE Sub-Regions

Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic Ireland and UK

Effectiveness in reducing damage impact Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic

Cost-efficiency in reducing damage impact

Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic

Summary Sub-region 1 (first 3 ranks are colored) Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic 3) VTS 4) TSS 5) AIS alarms 6) E-navigation 7) ETV in Ireland 8) Visibility 9) Dispersants 10) +50%, 1 ves. DK Effectivity6 *) 5213NA74 Cost-efficiencyNA *) Spill-over effect from neighbouring sub-regions

Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea Norway and UK

Effectiveness in reducing damage impact Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea

Cost-efficiency in reducing damage impact

Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage

Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea Summary Sub-region 2 (first 3 ranks are colored) 3) VTS 4) TSS 5) AIS alarms 6) E-navigation 7) ETV in Ireland 8) Visibility 9) Dispersants 10) +50%, 1 ves. DK Effectivity2 *) 451NA673 Cost-efficiencyNA *) Spill-over effect from neighbouring sub-regions

Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak Denmark, Germany, Norway and Sweden

Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak Effectiveness in reducing damage impact

Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak Cost-efficiency in reducing damage impact

Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak

Summary Sub-region 3 (first 3 ranks are colored) 3) VTS 4) TSS 5) AIS alarms 6) E-navigation 7) ETV in Ireland 8) Visibility 9) Dispersants 10) +50%, 1 ves. DK Effectivity2153NA674 Cost-efficiency3124NA576

Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Belgium, France, Germany, Netherlands and UK

Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Effectiveness in reducing damage impact

Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Cost-efficiency in reducing damage impact

Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage

Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Summary Sub-region 4 (first 3 ranks are colored) 3) VTS 4) TSS 5) AIS alarms 6) E-navigation 7) ETV in Ireland 8) Visibility 9) Dispersants 10) +50%, 1 ves. DK Effectivity2351NA674 Cost-efficiency5314NA276

Sub-Region 5: Channel France and UK

Sub-Region 5: Channel Effectiveness in reducing damage impact

Sub-Region 5: Channel Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage

Sub-Region 5: Channel Summary Sub-region 5 (first 3 ranks are colored) 3) VTS 4) TSS 5) AIS alarms 6) E-navigation 7) ETV in Ireland 8) Visibility 9) Dispersants 10) +50%, 1 ves. DK Effectivity26 *) 51NA473 Cost-efficiency4NA *) Spill-over effect from neighbouring sub-regions

Concept for analytical scenario comparison Environmental values at stake: Sub-region 1: (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 2: (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 3: (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 4: (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 5: (tonnes oil weighted)

Concept for analytical scenario comparison Concept for analytical scenario comparison Costs are given as order of magnitudes and include investment cost, lifetime, maintenance and running costs

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