2 March 2007 Input data needed by MATCH Magnuz Engardt Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institure (SMHI)

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Presentation transcript:

2 March 2007 Input data needed by MATCH Magnuz Engardt Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institure (SMHI)

2 March 2007 Three-dimensional meteorology Fields with area emissions, list of large point sources  Temporal variation of emissions, stackheight etc. of emissions Field of surface fysiography Boundary fields

2 March 2007 Three-dimensional meteorology Taken from meteorological models Plenty of information, take up large amount of disk-space (5-10 Gbyte year -1) ) The meteorology is valid for a certain time interval It is also possible to use forecasted meteorology, as well as data from climate models

2 March 2007 Meteorological data for MATCH From weather forecast or analysis model Use data from ECMWF’s global model Horizontal resolution (Δx×Δy): 100 km × 100 km, 50 km × 50 km Possible to interpolate to higher resolution (1–5 km) in MATCH Vertical resolution (Δz) ca meters near the surface, increasing to ~500 m at 10 km Temporal resolution 3 or 6 hours Interpolated to 1 hour in MATCH High resolution (25 km or better) can be used if running regional weather forecast models for the area. zz yy xx

2 March August, Z15 February, Z Illustration of Malé model domain and type of meteorology available

2 March 2007 Physiography Land or Sea Surface type (forest, pasture, …, urban, … etc) Surface roughness (z 0 ) Needed to (i) deduce near-surface turbulence in MATCH, including boundary layer height (ii) calculate drydeposition to different surfaces Etc. PastureArableSprucePineMountain Water z0z0

2 March 2007 Four surface types: (1) low vegetation; (2) forest; (3) dry land; (4) ocean

2 March 2007 Input meteorological data required by MATCH

2 March 2007 Boundary concentrations Boundary fields may be necessary when modelling chemistry in a limited region In some cases boundary concentrations can be neglected or are irrelevant

2 March 2007 Boundary concentrations in MATCH In MATCH boundary concentrations can be specified in a few different ways. They can be defined as:  constant for all boundaries  For each of the “five boundaries“ (the four sides and the top of the model domain) a concentration (ctop, cwest, ceast, csouth, cnorth) can be assigned. Ctop represents the concentration at the top surface boundary, while the four lateral boundary concentrations represent the ground level concentrations at the midpoints of the four sides. Linear interpolation is used to get boundary values between these points.  Latitude dependent boundary concentration profiles (height dependent) can also be specified  Three-dimensional boundary concentrations can be read from grib-files at arbitrary time-intervals  These values are also used for setting initial conditions

2 March 2007 Fields of oxidants Concentration of oxidants are needed for some of the chemical schemes  H 2 O 2 (and O 3 ) for aqueous sulphur chemistry  O 3 for NO X chemistry  OH for NO X and SO X chemistry  CO, CH 4, for O 3 chemistry

2 March 2007 Emissions in MATCH Two types: Areasources gridded data (interpolated to the same resolution as the transport model) Large Point Sources Pointsources are given with exact location, and other individual details, and may be followed in a separate plume model during a number of timesteps Several emission files (for each pollutant) are possible A particular area source has to be given one emission configuration (stackheight, effluent temperature and velocity etc.) Emissions may be released at different layers

2 March 2007 Example of results when only using a subset of the total emissions available Total NO X deposition in Malé domain, only emissions from Northern and Southern India, respectively

2 March 2007 Area sources Area sources immediately change the concentration in the whole gridbox: ΔxΔx ΔyΔy ΔzΔz Δc= ΔMΔM V = q [g/s] ×Δt [s] Δx Δy Δz [m 3 ] [ g m -3 ]

2 March 2007 Pointsource emissions vs. Area-emissions Emissions from point-sources may be traced separately in a plume model until the plume each the size of a grid-box The embedded plume models in MATCH are “time-consuming”. Only consider the largest pointsources. Treat the rest as area-emissions.

2 March 2007 Certain characteristics should be given to the Area- and Large Point source Characteristics include:  Height of emissions  Temporal variations  Volume, and temperature of gases…

2 March 2007 Plumerise h – Stackheight Δh – Plumerise H – Effective stackheight Δh dependent on the effluents exit temperature, velocity, volume flux; orifice diameter; ambient wind and stability; … Plume axis

2 March 2007 In MATCH, are the emissions distributed between different layers (with different plumerise) depending on ambient stability and source characteristics Fraction of emissions at different heights More stableLess stable

2 March 2007 Why is it important to distribute the emissions realistically in the vertical? More dilution if the emissions are released at higher heights (model layers are thicker aloft) Tracer in the lowest model layer may be drydeposited at the ground Different wind speed and direction at different heights

2 March 2007 Temporal variation of the emissions The emissions may have: Seasonal- Weekly- Diurnal- Each species may be emitted from a number of sectors, e.g.: Private cars Heavy duty transport (lorries etc.) Heating Factories Shipping Diffuse emissions from soils or landfills Natural emissions Etc. … variations

2 March 2007 Sectoral emissions Each sector may have different: Temporal variation Effective stack height In MATCH, we may treat the emissions in a simplified manner, i.e. read in the emissions once, then apply different scaling functions Alternative, read in new emissions every 1 hour after the appropriate temporal variation has already been applied. The emissions in each sector should be released at the appropriate level

2 March 2007 Emissions from EDGAR database (Inventory valid for 1995; includes all anthropogenic sources) Reduced nitrogenOxidised nitrogenTotal sulphur

2 March 2007 Horizontal distribution of total emissions in a country/region Area sources = Total emission – Point Sources Point source emissions have known positions Area sources can be distributed based on e.g. population density or land usage classification We can also scale new area-sources according to previous distribution From “workbook” or other sources

2 March 2007 How certain are the results? Modelled near-surface SO 2 concentration in Malé domain during January 2000 using EDGAR emissions valid for 1995

2 March 2007 Modelled monthly-mean concentrations of SO 2 and NO 2 using two different emissions inventories EDGAR emissions; 1°×1° resolution TRACE-P emissions; 0.5°×0.5° resolution

2 March 2007 EDGAR emissions; 1°×1° resolution TRACE-P emissions; 0.5°×0.5° resolution

2 March 2007 Sample results. Annual-mean concentration in precipitation (Kulshrestha et al., Atm. Environ. 2005, ) Measurements Model Sulphate (  Eq l -1 ) Ammonium (  Eq l -1 ) Nitrate (  Eq l -1 ) Precipitation (mm year -1 )

2 March 2007 Source-receptor calculations of anthropogenic sulphur in Southeast Asia using the MATCH model National emissions (Q) and depositions (D) in nine Southeast Asian countries during 2000 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q D D D D D D D D D

2 March 2007 Sensitivity tests Test the robustness of the results by varying model parameters and emission configurations