Demographic Study Results April 2012 Andrew J. Browne Vice President, Corporate Secretary

“To call me a clerk is a disservice to those who really keep good records. I was just a guy with a pen who took notes/minutes about 15 years ago when no one else would. Our records are a mess.” Survey Comment – an unidentified clerk of session 2

Cross-Functional Team Andy Browne, Office of the President Beth Zornick, Office of the President Peter Sime, Assistance Sharon Castillo, Benefits Todd Ingves, Benefits Mark Frey, Church Relations Lisa Guzzardo, Information Technology Peter Maher, Investments 3

Goals of Demographic Study To create a profile of those serving the church from multiple perspectives to produce a more accurate picture of the changing face of ministry. To verify/challenge some of the recent discussions regarding shifts in the Church. To utilize the findings in the analysis of pension and medical plan assumptions and plan design. The data collected and the conclusions drawn from it may inform decisions regarding whether current benefit levels and plan design will meet future needs. This demographic study will be presented to the 2012 General Assembly. 4

Report Outline Methodology Two Significant Trend Lines Declining Numbers Aging Populations Results of Note The Number of Small Employers The Value Proposition Potential Implications Q & A 5

Methodology: Data Sources Worked with Research Services to develop six different surveys Worked with Board IT staff to track 18 categories of internal data Compared GA Congregational Statistics against Board billing reports 6

A Few Surveys 7

Surveys Who surveyed Number surveyed Response rate Traditional Program Members1,50059% Affiliated Benefits Program Members1,20045% Non-Installed Pastoral Leaders1,20060% Candidates for Ministry1,16851% Congregations1,20056% Middle Governing Body (Mid-council) Leaders 18968% 8

Methodology: Internal Data Active, retired, & new members Ordained, lay, ABP Age, gender, marital status Mandated positions 9

Methodology: GA Congregational Statistics Compared OGA’s Congregational Statistics to Board billing data As of 12/31/2004 & 1/01/2005 As of 12/31/2009 & 1/01/

Report Outline Methodology Two Significant Trend Lines Declining Numbers Aging Populations Results of Note The Number of Small Employers The Value Proposition Potential Implications Q & A 11

Declining Numbers

A 50,000 ft View of PC(USA) and Benefits Plan Membership 13

Mandated Pastoral Positions 14

Aging Populations

Average Age - All Active Members 16

Average Age at Plan Entry 17

Age Distribution - Ministers 18

Report Outline Methodology Two Significant Trend Lines Declining Numbers Aging Populations Results of Note The Number of Small Employers The Value Proposition Potential Implications Q & A 19

The Number of Small Employers

Employing Organizations and Billed Members 21

Value Proposition

Value of the Benefits Plan (Congregations) Satisfied or Very Satisfied Not Satisfied Amount they pay for the Medical Plan57%9% Value of what they receive from the Board 74%3% Likely or Very Likely Not Likely Seek to find or investigate alternative medical coverage 32% 38% 23

Value of the Benefits Plan (Plan Members) Value of what they receive from the Board Satisfied or Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Not Satisfied Traditional74%15%2% Affiliated Benefits Program (ABP) 62%19%4% 24

Report Outline Methodology Two Significant Trend Lines Declining Numbers Aging Populations Results of Note The Number of Small Employers The Value Proposition Potential Implications Q & A 25

Potential Implications

Age Distribution

BOP Plan Age Distribution vs. U.S. Workforce – December

Medical Costs by Age

Medical Costs by Age – Four-Year Average 30

Ordinations and New Plan Members

Ordinations vs. New Minister Plan Members 32

Retirement Age and Social Security

Retirement Age Breakdown: Ministers 34

Retirement Age Breakdown: Ministers 35

Churches of Different Sizes

37

Churches, Church Membership, and Plan Members by Congregation Size 38

Report Outline Methodology Two Significant Trend Lines Declining Numbers Aging Populations Results of Note The Number of Small Employers The Value Proposition Potential Implications Q & A 39

Questions... and maybe some answers and your comments and observations 40