CBRFC May 2009 Water Supply Webinar 1pm MDT, May 7, 2009 Brent Bernard These slides: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/present/present.cgi.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Updated Utah Flood Potential Salt Lake City Weather Forecast Office National Weather Service Tuesday, May 3, 2011.
Advertisements

CBRFC May 2014 Water Supply Webinar May 6, 2014 Greg Smith These slides:
Animas River Current Conditions (as of 5/3/13)  Review snow conditions and seasonal precipitation  Comparison of daily flows along the Animas River 
CBRFC Peak Flow Forecast Webinar April 9th, 2014 Greg Smith & Ashley Nielson These slides: Presentation are available.
Brian McInerney Hydrologist National Weather Service Hydrologic Outlook April 2006.
CBRFC Updates CRFS November 14, 2012 Michelle Stokes Hydrologist in Charge, CBRFC.
Yellowtail Dam & Bighorn Lake Water Supply & Operations Meeting Billings, Montana October 8, 2009 RECLAMATION Managing Water in the West.
IDWR Water Supply Meeting May 12, 2011 NRCS Snow Survey Measuring Lost Lake SNOTEL Site, elevation 6,110 feet, along the NF Clearwater and St Joe Divide.
2007 Water Supply Summary Idaho Department of Water Resources.
Mid-Range Streamflow Forecasts for Water Supply Management in the Puget Sound Region Matthew Wiley Richard Palmer October 26, 2005.
NWS ~ NorthWest River Forecast Center Seasonal Volume Forecasts Using Ensemble Streamflow Prediction for the 2006 Water Year Kevin Berghoff, Hydrologist.
Idaho's Climate and Water Resource Forecast for the 2008 Water Year Sponsored by: The Climatic Impacts Group at the University of Washington and the.
June 23, 2011 Kevin Werner NWS Colorado Basin River Forecast Center 1 NOAA / CBRFC Water forecasts and data in support of western water management.
CBRFC April 2014 Water Supply Webinar April 7, 2014 Greg Smith These slides:
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Water Supply Forecasting Method Michelle Stokes Hydrologist in Charge Colorado Basin River Forecast Center April 28,
CBRFC June 2014 Water Supply Webinar June 5, 2014 Paul Miller These slides:
CBRFC March 2014 Water Supply Webinar March 6, 2014 Greg Smith These slides:
CBRFC April 2013 Peak Flow Forecast Webinar 11 am, April 18, 2013 Greg Smith & Ashley Nielson These slides:
2011 Peak Flows and Daily Forecasts CBRFC 2011 Stakeholder Forum November 3, 2011.
Temperature and Precipitation Data CBRFC Stakeholder Forum July 31, 2012.
CRFS Technical Committee Fall Meeting LC Operations Update November 20, 2014.
CRFS November 20, CBRFC Model Soil Moisture November 1, 2013 SEP-DEC PRECIPITATION.
CRFS November 20, JUL-SEP PRECIPITATION Good monsoon - except San Juan… September 2014 not quite as wet as 2013, but close! Precipitation above.
Water Supply Forecast using the Ensemble Streamflow Prediction Model Kevin Berghoff, Senior Hydrologist Northwest River Forecast Center Portland, OR.
NWS Headquarters August 10, 2011 Kevin Werner NWS Colorado Basin River Forecast Center 1 CBRFC Decision Support for Colorado River Water Management.
CRFS March 30, Virgin River NWS-SWS: 90 NWS-ESP: (+8-15% El Nino weighted) NRCS daily: 80 NRCS statistical: 78 Coordinated: 80 / 195% median.
CBRFC April 2014 CUWCD Briefing/Meeting 1:30pm April 8, 2014 Ashley Nielson.
Great Basin Verification Task 2008 Increased Variability Review of 2008 April through July Period Forecast for 4 Selected Basins Determine what verification.
Jan 1-9 SNOTEL Precipitation ranges from
Southwest Hydrometeorology Symposium Tempe, AZ September 28, 2011 Kevin Werner NWS Colorado Basin River Forecast Center : A Year of Extremes.
Idaho Water Supply Committee March 16, 2012 Rain on snow Pine Creek Pass ~6,700 ft (between Idaho Falls & Victor) April 12, 2012 Jeff Anderson NRCS Snow.
Idaho Water Supply Outlook IDWR State Water Supply Meeting Jan 11, 2013.
A Perspective on Today’s Colorado River Issues. Upper Colorado Region River Basins.
Missouri River Basin Forecast Brian Anderson Wyoming Area Office Meeting, January 20, 2010.
Idaho Water Supply Outlook IDWR State Water Supply Meeting Jan 12, 2012 Current Conditions & New Normals Maybe new normals also means new peaks and new.
Colorado Plateau Colorado Dust-on-Snow Program (CODOS) Chris Landry Center for Snow and Avalanche Studies Silverton, CO.
Water Year 2012: Review of Water Supply Forecasts in the Colorado River Basin CRFS November 14, 2012.
Division Engineer Water Supply Report Gunnison State of the River Meeting June 1, 2015 Bob W. Hurford, P.E. Division Engineer Water Division 4.
Statistical Water Supply (SWS) Mathematical relationships, in the form of regression equations, between measurements of observed climate conditions (predictor.
Physical Map of Utah The following map is a map of the major physical features of Utah. Physical Features are items that are created by nature, like mountains,
CBRFC Stakeholder Forum Kevin Werner Service Coordination Hydrologist Colorado Basin RFC November 3, 2011 Denver, CO.
CBRFC Stakeholder Forum Kevin Werner Service Coordination Hydrologist Colorado Basin RFC July 31, 2012 SLC, UT.
CBRFC March Peak Flow Forecast Webinar March 11, 2014 Greg Smith & Brenda Alcorn These slides: Presentation.
Yellowtail Dam & Bighorn Lake Water Supply & Operations Meeting Billings, Montana October 9, 2008 RECLAMATION Managing Water in the West.
Basin Conditions River Forecasts Water Supply CBRFC April 2009 Water Supply Webinar 1:00pm MDT, April 8, 2009 William B. Reed.
Water Year 2009 Forecast Review: Green River Basin CRFS November 19, 2009.
CRFS November 20, Green River Basin Upper Green  Near record February precipitation  Large increases in forecasts on March 1  Much above average.
 Water supply procedures (annual & first of month)  Basin water supply procedure documentation material (what works best)  Data gathering, processing,
February SNOTEL Precipitation as % of Average Idaho SNOTEL Precipitation March 1-14 compared to normal March Total are: 130% in Weiser % north,
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center and Drought Related Forecasts Kevin Werner.
CBRFC WFO Call December 14, Outline Water Supply Forecast Program Updates CBRFC Stakeholder Forum Output CBRFC Projects Update SH Activities.
CBRFC April 2011 mid-month Peak Flow Forecast Webinar 11am, April 27, 2011 Kevin Werner These slides:
2 009 W ater S upply F orecasting William B. Reed Senior Hydrologist Colorado Basin RFC September 18, W ater S eminar “Dust in the Wind and.
CBRFC April 2010 Water Supply Webinar 1pm, April 7, 2010 Kevin Werner These slides: PLEASE MUTE YOUR PHONES.
CBRFC April 2010 Water Supply Webinar 10am, May 7, 2010 Kevin Werner These slides: PLEASE MUTE YOUR PHONES.
CBRFC June 2010 Water Supply Webinar 1 pm, June 7, 2010 Greg Smith These slides: PLEASE MUTE YOUR PHONES.
CBRFC April 2011 Peak Flow Forecast Webinar 1pm, April 7, 2011 Kevin Werner These slides:
Rain on Snow up to 7, ,000 feet in Clearwater Basin above Dworshak Reservoir Jan 26, 2015 IDWR State Water Supply Meeting Feb 13, 2015 Ron Abramovich.
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Greg Smith Senior Hydrologist National Weather Service Colorado Basin River Forecast Center January 25, 2011 Navajo.
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Research and Development in Water Supply Forecasting Andy Wood Development & Operations Hydrologist CBRFC.
CRFS Technical Committee Fall Meeting LC Operations Update December 8, 2015.
Overview of CBRFC Flood Operations Arizona WFOs – May 19, 2011 Kevin Werner, SCH.
CRFS Technical Meeting LC Operations Update November 14, 2012.
CRFS Technical Meeting LC Operations Update March 27, 2014.
Yuma Agriculture Water - Rights and Supply Terry Fulp Director, Lower Colorado Region Yuma Agriculture Water Conference January 13, 2016.
CRFS Technical Committee Spring Meeting LC Operations Update March 15, 2016.
Kevin Berghoff, Senior Hydrologist
Upper Snake Reservoir Operations October 13, 2015
2017 Snowpack Status and Streamflow Outlook for Walker Basin
Presentation transcript:

CBRFC May 2009 Water Supply Webinar 1pm MDT, May 7, 2009 Brent Bernard These slides:

Outline April Weather Review Snow States Current Weather, Climate & Forecasts Water Supply Forecasts Web Reference:

Web Reference:

Current Snow Water Equivalent Conditions Web Reference :

Bear and Hams Fork Drainage 7-9k average to above average SWE Majority of GB, UC and Lower GN 7-9k SWE is below average. San Juan and Lower GB 9-10k Are below to Much below average SWE ~ 7-9K Feet SWE ~ 9-10k Feet

The current upper elevation San Juan Snowpack is below to much below average. The current >10k ft. snowpack is average to above average in the UC and Eastern Green River Basin. Overall SWE Above Feet Elevation

Website Link Reference: sknn&index=&dbsvr=&indextitle=Untitled Bear River, Weber River, Provo River Headwater SWE Peak SWE ~ 108%

Website Link Reference: =sknn&index=&dbsvr=&indextitle=Untitled Upper Colorado River Headwaters ~ SWE Peak SWE 2009 ~ 115%

Website Link monly=0&tavg=s&hsim=sknn&index=&dbsvr=&indextitle=Untitled Northern Great Basin SWE Peak SWE ~ 115%

Website Link avg s.0.png San Juan Basin SWE Peak SWE ~ 98%

Website Link Peak SWE ~ 105% Green River Headwaters SWE

First 7 days of May ~ Precipitation Web Reference: Departure from normal was 2 inches in the upper elevations regions

Forecast Precipitation Web References: and

Short Term Temperature Forecasts No Large Ridge Building Forecast, through May 20, Slow Steady Melts are the norm with these conditions

May, June, July Precip. Outlook May Precipitation Outlook Climate Forecasts

CBRFC Online Publications May

Web Reference: Web Publications Evolution Plots Median Forecasts Exceedance Probabilities

Upper Colorado Groups - Median Forecast

Gunnison & Dolores River Basins ~ Specifics Median Gunnison, 95% Avg. Median Dolores, 80% Avg.

San Juan Basin Median Forecasts Median May, April Through July Forecast 85% of Average

Green River Group ~ Median Forecasts

Virgin River Basin Median Forecasts

Great Salt Lake Basin Median Forecasts Median Bear River, 98% Avg. Median Weber Basin, 106% Avg.

Great Salt Lake Basin Cont ’ n Forecast Six Creeks,108% Forecast Utah Lake,102%

Beta Water Supply Map

San Juan ~ Navajo Reservoir 690kaf

Little Snake River ~ Nr Lily 490kaf

Green River Basin – Warren Bridge 250kaf

Gunnison – Blue Mesa Res kaf

Colorado River – Lake Powell 7300kaf

Weber River at Oakley 131kaf

More Resources No June webinar scheduled … Is there interest? Fall webinar will be scheduled to review this year ’ s forecasts, evaluate historical forecasts, and discuss the upcoming forecasts and improvements

Brent Bernard CBRFC Hydrologist Kevin Werner Service Coordination Hydrologist Phone: Feedback, Questions, Concerns always welcome….