1  Trend/gap detection of changing environments Quantity/extremes, characteristics/cause/attribution.

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Presentation transcript:

1  Trend/gap detection of changing environments Quantity/extremes, characteristics/cause/attribution Hydro-meteorological and other variables Share information and statistical tool Integrate knowledge all over the monsoon Asia  Feasibility studies on seasonal prediction data Hindcast/forecast data from the APCC/MME Assessing/evaluating current & potential values for social application in each region with downscaling  water resources management, reservoir, agriculture, … Crosscutting theme/Common Targets (1)

2 Crosscutting theme/Common Targets (2)  Exchange ideas, experiences, … Diagnosis: lows, vortexes, tropical cyclones, … Case studies: extraordinary storms and floods  Training seminar for operational staffs & students?  To synthesize and submit a special scientific article to an international journal? Long term trend all over monsoon Asia Special issue on the application of seasonal forecasting information for society

3  application is all right, but more basic research should be also relevant.  Examine the role of dynamic downscaling in the seasonal forecast with quantifying uncertainties.  Roadmap, due dates of jobs to be done.  Set the final target: journal paper, datasets, …  Fully utilize GAME datasets.  Sub-project “regional re-analysis” (over land) run LSMs-HMs by long-term “forcing data” Crosscutting theme/Common Targets (3)

4 Personal Enthusiasm Social Expectation Funding Support For successes of research projects Scientific Significance Honorable Reputation Continuous Dedication Let’s Challenge to the Focal Point!!

5 Historical Record Hindcast Telemetering, Remote Sensing Nowcast Coupled Land surface Model & Hydrological Model Surface Parameters precipitation, temperature, radiation, wind, humidity, … Soil properties, vegetation index, human factors, … Disaster Potential, Information for Decision making, … Physical Parameters to Information for People Web Interface/Effective Warning etc. PUBLIC Forecast Atmospheric Numerical Model River discharge, soil moisture, ground water recharge, …. Multi- Model Real time “PUB” - the Future! Multi- Forcing

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