MJO Breakout Group. MJO Breakout Group Agenda Jim Benedict - Structure of the MJO in MMF Bo-wen Shen - Comparison of CSU & NASA Goddard MMFs Mitch Moncrieff.

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Presentation transcript:

MJO Breakout Group

MJO Breakout Group Agenda Jim Benedict - Structure of the MJO in MMF Bo-wen Shen - Comparison of CSU & NASA Goddard MMFs Mitch Moncrieff & Duane Waliser - Year of Tropical Convection (YOTC) Duane Waliser - CLIVAR MJO Diagnostics Working Group and the plenary talk …. Bill Rossow - Testing the realism of MMF: Representation of MJO Discussion leaders/items Judith Berner - Stochastic backscatter Marat Khairoutdinov - Conventional parameterization Hiroaki Muira - MISMO- related (MJO initiation) global simulations Mitch Moncrieff - Predictability of the MJO (ensemble approach)

The MJO: A comprehensive modeling/prediction/validation problem Weather and Climate models (parameterized convection) Probabilistic (ensemble) models (parameterized convection) High-resolution NWP models (hybrid convective parameterization) Superparameterized models (explicit convection) Regional and global CRMs (explicit convection) Theoretical insights … comprehensive models call for comprehensive validation MJO : A CHALLENGE FOR WEATHER & CLIMATE MODELS, A PROBLEM OF MULTISCALE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION (WHICH IS NOT REPRESENTED BY CONTEMPORARY PARAMETERIZATIONS

Priority activities Representation of the MJO in CMMAP MMF, and comparison with other MMFs Nature of convective organization in CMMAP MMF MJOs (e.g., initiation, lifecycle, thermodynamic & dynamical structure, propagation, etc.) Evaluation of CMMAP MJOs against observations e.g., satellite data Parameterization