THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.

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THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.

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THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

Introduction Hawktrade goals Market performance recap Future upcoming events Where is market going?

 New Leadership  Weekly Meeting Room  Membership Dues  T-shirts  Website

 Overall Learning Environment  Membership retention  Hawktrade portfolio  Discussion atmosphere, member involvement  Volunteering efforts  Continuing pursuit of success

 Overall, markets up near all time highs, but some questions as to how “real” this market is.  Low trading volume, high unemployment remain.  Housing still flat  Bond prices at historic lows.

 Presidential Election  Unemployment, tax code, general direction of economy.  U.S. Fiscal Cliff  Will Bush tax cuts run out?  Fed QE3?  Europe Debt Crisis  Will Eurozone fall apart  China hard landing?

Nonfarm Payrolls - M/M change 163, , ,000 70,000 to 177,000 96,000 Unemployment Rate - Level 8.3 % 8.2 % to 8.4 %8.1 % Average Hourly Earnings - M/M change 0.1 % 0.2 %0.1 % to 0.3 %0.0 % Av Workweek - All Employees 34.5 hrs34.4 hrs34.5 hrs34.5 hrs to 34.5 hrs34.4 hrs Private Payrolls - M/M change 172, , ,000 80,000 to 177, ,000 Prior Prior Revised Consensus Consensus Range Actual

 Bush tax cuts expire  Automatic, across the board spending cuts of 1 trillion dollars.  Set to take effect Jan 1 st  CBO projects unemployment will jump to 9% and GDP will slow.5%

 Monetary policy used by Central Bank (Fed) to help stimulate the economy

BERNANKE SPEAKS AT JACKSON HOLE FRIDAY Initial decline from Bernanke indecision Markets rally after he indicates QE3 could be on the way

-2.20% +0.51%

Still many Economic “shoes” to Drop  Sept 12 th - FOMC meeting- Is QE3 starting?  Further ECB Bond Buying New  China Details

Bullish  FAS (3X fin.)  ULG (2x Gold)  UST ( 7-10 yr bonds)  UPRO ( S&P 500 2X) Bearish  FAZ (3x Fin.)  GLL (2x Gold)  TYO ( 7-10 yr. bonds)  SPXU (S&P 500 3X)