Understanding government accountability measures November 2015

Contents 1) Introduction to main concepts Attainment Achievement Progress/Value Added 2) Headline Measures 3) Changes and Progress 8

Attainment How high up the mountain you finish Achievement How far you get from your basecamp

What is Value Added Value added is a measure of progress against starting points Student BStudent A

What is Value Added Given that both of these students had the same APS which student did better? Student B Student A Estimated How might different start points affect our perception of progress?

National Expectations Key Stage 2-4 Progress

National Expectations – the actuals Key Stage 2-4 Progress GCSE statistics 2014 Actuals

National Expectations – the actuals Level 3

Headline Measures A*CEM BEST 8 EBACC 5A*G EN APS MA APS Post 16 A*B A*E Facilitating subjects L3VA 2016 Attainment 8 Progress 8 Expected Progress EN Expected Progress MA EBACC Post 16 A*B A*E Facilitating subjects L3VA Level 2 in MA and EN

Headline Measures Why no green in 2014?

95% Confidence Intervals Where the true VA measure would be Data point Upper limit Lower limit

Scores, scores, scores Score per pupil per subject

Scores, scores, scores Students aggregated per subject

Scores, scores, scores Subjects aggregated for School

What is this picture saying?

Subject Level

The Bucket list

policy/Pages/progress-8-explained.aspx

Weighted Total = 63 Attainment 8 = 63/10 = 6.3 Progress 8 Measure = 6.3 – “avg for similar student”

1-9 Grades