The Australian Energy Regulator Economic benchmarking DNSP outputs and environmental factors.

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Presentation transcript:

The Australian Energy Regulator Economic benchmarking DNSP outputs and environmental factors

Agenda TimeItem 9:00Introduction by Chris Pattas 9:15Model specification 10:05Break 10:20Outputs data requirements 11:25Break 11:35Environmental factors data requirements 12:25Next steps

How does this fit into the broader consultation? This is the 4 th workshop on economic benchmarking techniques – three more to come Draft explanatory guidelines in August Final by 29 November

Economic benchmarking workshops DateSubject 13 MarchDNSP outputs and environmental factors 14 MarchTNSP outputs and environmental variables 20 MarchNSP inputs 30 AprilMeasurement – DNSP outputs and environmental variables 2 MayMeasurement – TNSP outputs and environmental variables 7 MayMeasurement - NSP inputs 22 MayPrescription in the EFA guideline & potential application techniques 30 MayExpenditure setting process

Context for this workshop First phase of economic benchmarking workshops on inputs, outputs and environmental factors completed Now we will consider data and definitions for economic benchmarking Final workshops will outline the application of economic benchmarking and the expenditure framework as a whole

Objective of this workshop To explain and discuss technical issues on how to incorporate outputs into modelling Weighting of outputs against each other Incorporating reliability Whether to use peak demand or capacity To discuss data requirements for outputs & environmental factors Is the data list comprehensive? Are the preliminary definitions suitable?

Structure of this workshop This workshop has been split into three parts 1. Consideration of the model specification (with a presentation from Economic Insights) 2. Discussion of data required to measure outputs 3. Discussion of data to measure environmental factors

Why focus on data collection? The AER must publish annual benchmarking reports Economic benchmarking will be incorporated into the benchmarking report The EFA guideline must set out data requirements

Why collect a broad range of data? Multiple perspectives on model specification Sensitivity analysis Data requirements for the mechanics of economic benchmarking – ie weighting inputs and outputs

Overlap with category analysis There is overlap between the data required for economic benchmarking and category analysis We aim to collect data that is consistent and can be used for both We will release consolidated draft data requirements with our draft guideline

Briefing note responses A number of matters were raised in response to the briefing note: Specification of how economic benchmarking techniques will be applied in expenditure assessments How to incorporate environmental variables? How to test the appropriateness of weighting variables? Application of economic benchmarking to be covered in workshop on 22 May We will discuss the weightings today

Economic Insights presentation

Discussion: Model specification issues Discussion topics Incorporating reliability How to weight outputs The use of peak demand, network capacity or neither

Outputs data requirements Ideally one data request that will be the main source of information for category analysis and economic benchmarking Data for primary model specification Data for sensitivity analysis, which requiring a broader data set Question: is all the relevant data collected? Question: are the definitions suitable?

Revenue DUOS revenue can be used to calculate output weights however a functional outputs approach is preferred. ◦ Revenue data by component will be used for sensitivity analysis and may provide useful information in forming functional output weights Revenue by chargeable quantity eg. fixed customer charges, on-peak energy delivery charges Revenue by customer type eg. domestic customers, commercial customers

System Demand System demand characteristics ◦ Non-coincident and coincident peak demand Demand supplied ◦ Maximum demand for customers charged on this basis

System Capacity Distribution system capacities variables Product of total line and cable circuit length (unadjusted for capacity) and transformer capacity at the last or distribution transformer level only.

Customer Numbers By customer type Domestic, commercial, industrial etc.. By location CBD, Urban, short rural, long rural

Reliability SAIDI and SAIFI Unplanned without any removal of excluded events and MEDs Disaggregated to reflect network type Energy not supplied Total, planned and unplanned

Energy Delivered Total energy delivered Energy delivery by chargeable quantity Energy received from TNSP by time of receipt Customer type or class Delivery time period definitions

System losses Line losses as a percent of purchases

Environmental factors Data not just sought from DNSPs- data may also be collected from other agencies Many differing environmental factors, however it may be that only a few can be incorporated. Hence there is a need to select the most material

Economic Insights presentation

Operating Environment Factors Density factors Customer (NSPs) Energy(NSPs) Demand (NSPs) Weather factors Extreme heat days (BoM) Extreme cold days (BoM) Extreme wind days (BoM)

Operating Environment Factors Terrain factors ◦ Bushfire risk (BoM & fire authorities) ◦ Rural proportion (DNSPs) ◦ Vegetation encroachment (DNSPs) Service area factors ◦ Line length (DNSPs)