North Pacific Gyre Oscillation synchronizes climate fluctuations in the eastern and western North Pacific Lina I. Ceballos1, Emanuele Di Lorenzo1, Niklas.

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Presentation transcript:

North Pacific Gyre Oscillation synchronizes climate fluctuations in the eastern and western North Pacific Lina I. Ceballos1, Emanuele Di Lorenzo1, Niklas Schneider2, and Carlos D. Hoyos1 1 School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology 2 International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting, Cairns, Australia, 29 July - 1 August, 2008

North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) SLPa EOF2 Atmosphere North Pacific Oscillation NPO

North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) SLPa EOF2 Atmosphere North Pacific Oscillation NPO Ocean North Pacific Gyre Oscillation NPGO Di Lorenzo et al., 2008

North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) SSHa response to NPO Ocean North Pacific Gyre Oscillation NPGO Di Lorenzo et al., 2008 SSHa from Earth Simulator ocean model (OFES) NPGO Index

North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) SSHa response to NPO Ocean North Pacific Gyre Oscillation NPGO Di Lorenzo et al., 2008 SSHa from Earth Simulator ocean model (OFES) NPGO Index

North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) California Current CalCOFI observations North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) SSHa response to NPO SSHa from Earth Simulator ocean model (OFES) Di Lorenzo et al., 2008

North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) California Current CalCOFI observations North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) SSHa response to NPO SSHa from Earth Simulator ocean model (OFES) Di Lorenzo et al., 2008

North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) SSHa response to NPO Is NPGO also linked to changes in the KOE? SSHa from Earth Simulator ocean model (OFES)

North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) SSHa response to NPO Is NPGO also linked to changes in the KOE? SSHa from Earth Simulator ocean model (OFES)

North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) SSHa response to NPO Is NPGO also linked to changes in the KOE? SSHa from Earth Simulator ocean model (OFES) Taguchi et al., 2007

Are NPGO and KOE related?

Are NPGO and KOE related? Taguchi et al., 2007

Are NPGO and KOE related? Taguchi et al., 2007 Di Lorenzo et al., 2008c

Are NPGO and KOE related? NPGO leads KOE by 3 yrs Taguchi et al., 2007 Di Lorenzo et al., 2008

Are NPGO and KOE related? Correlation NPGO-KOE mode 2 NPGO leads KOE by 3 yrs Taguchi et al., 2007 Di Lorenzo et al., 2008

Are NPGO and KOE related? transect Correlation NPGO-KOE mode 2 35.25°N NPGO leads KOE by 3 yrs Taguchi et al., 2007 Di Lorenzo et al., 2008

Are NPGO and KOE related? transect 35.25°N Western Boundary Eastern Boundary Lagged correlation KOE mode 2 vs. SSHa

Are NPGO and KOE related? transect 35.25°N Western Boundary Eastern Boundary Lagged correlation KOE mode 2 vs. SSHa

What dynamics control the westward propagation? Western Boundary Eastern Boundary Lagged correlation KOE mode 2 vs. SSHa

What dynamics control the westward propagation? Rossby wave model (Qiu, 2003) What dynamics control the westward propagation?

Rossby wave model (Qiu, 2003) Sea surface height anomaly Ekman pumping

NCEP/NCAR monthly wind stress Rossby wave model Section 32°-38°N (Qiu, 2003) NCEP/NCAR monthly wind stress

NCEP/NCAR monthly wind stress Rossby wave model Section 32°-38°N (Qiu, 2003) NCEP/NCAR monthly wind stress

NCEP/NCAR monthly wind stress Rossby wave model Section 32°-38°N (Qiu, 2003) NCEP/NCAR monthly wind stress

Rossby wave model What is the role of NPO in driving SSHa in the KOE? Section 32°-38°N (Qiu, 2003) NCEP/NCAR monthly wind stress What is the role of NPO in driving SSHa in the KOE?

Modes of atmospheric variability Forcing of the NPGO (Di Lorenzo et al., 2008; Chhak et al.,2008) North Pacific Oscillation

Modes of atmospheric variability Aleutian mode Forcing of the NPGO (Di Lorenzo et al., 2008; Chhak et al.,2008) North Pacific Oscillation

Modes of atmospheric variability Method of analysis: We decompose the wind stress field into the AL and NPO mode to drive Rossby Wave model Aleutian mode North Pacific Oscillation

Modes of atmospheric variability Aleutian mode North Pacific Oscillation

Modes of atmospheric variability Aleutian mode North Pacific Oscillation

Summary

Summary

Summary

Summary

Summary

Are NPGO and KOE related? NPGO: strength of the central/eastern branch of subtropical gyre KOEmode 2: strength of the Kuroshio Jet 3 year lag

Are NPGO and KOE related? transect 35.25°N NPGO: strength of the central/eastern branch of subtropical gyre KOEmode 2: strength of the Kuroshio Jet 3 year lag we perform a Lagged correlation KOE mode 2 vs. SSHa