Indian Merchants’ Chamber Panel discussion on: Monsoon 2014 and Effective Policy Response Mumbai. June 26, 2014. Theme Address / Opening Remarks G. Chandrashekhar.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

The Asian Monsoon Season

Advertisements

Eastern Great Basin May, June, July/August Monthly/Seasonal Outlook Shelby Law EGBCC Predictive Services Meteorologist.

Current Status 0f Monsoon th June, ONSET AND ADVANCE OF MONSOON 2009.

Long Range Forecast Update for the 2009 Southwest Monsoon Rainfall India Meteorological Department Presents.

El Niño and El Niña's Impact on Globalization

GISP Meeting November 2003,Khon Kaen Thailand Country Report Climate and Flood Pattern in Lao P.D.R By Khanmany KhounPhonh Head of Technical Division.

Climate Prediction Center / NCEP

COOL DRY WARMWET June, July & August El Nino Effects Cooler trends in the center of the nation are particularly evident in August, June and July can be.

MECHANISM Normal Condition Ocean Profile Wind Flow Pattern.

Eastern Great Basin July – October, 2014 Fire Potential Outlook Shelby Law EGBCC Predictive Services Meteorologist.

How Blows the Wind? Charlsie Allen, NBCT OKAGE Teaching Consultant.

Thought of the Day Yesterday, we talked about the Assyrian Empire and the Persian Empire. What are some reasons why people would want to fight over lands.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP November 22,

Sub : geographySTD : vIII A o.in.

1. Explain the characteristics of each weather element; 2. Know the instruments used for measuring the weather elements; 3. Describe measuring of weather.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP August 9, 2010.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 31 August 2009.

Climate Monitoring Branch. Global (Jan-Oct) Land ranked 6 th warmest. Anom.: +0.75˚C (+1.35˚F) WYR: 2007 (+1.02˚C/+1.84˚F) Ocean ranked 10 th warmest.

Northern Hemisphere: Weather & Climate over Major Crops Areas Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 7 October 2009 For Real-time information:

DisclaimerDisclaimer The material contained in this PPT is a raw model output and research product. This is meant for scientific use. For any clarification/interpretation,

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP May 27, 2014.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP September 14,

Northern Hemisphere: Weather & Climate over Major Crops Areas Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 30 September 2009 For Real-time information:

 Abnormally high surface ocean temperatures off the coast of South America  Causes unusual weather patterns across the globe El Nino.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP May 16, 2011.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP February 27,

PLANETARY WIND SYSTEMS. Heating of the earth by sun is not uniform-equatorial region- more heat Heat is transported from the equator to the poles –heat.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP August 16, 2010.

IMC-ERTF Rabi Crop ) Prospects and Food Inflation Outlook Mumbai. January 11, 2016 Opening Remarks G. Chandrashekhar Economic Advisor, IMC and.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP June 09, 2014.

By D. Jordan MONSOONS.  A seasonal prevailing wind in the region of South and Southeast Asia, blowing from the southwest between May and September and.

Monsoons. Does “Monsoon” mean really heavy rainfall?

Northern Hemisphere: Weather & Climate over Major Crop Areas Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 1 February 2010 For Real-time information:

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 2 November 2009.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP September 26,

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP July 12, 2010.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP June 14, 2010.

SA Economic Indicators Report updated:April 2016 Next update:May 2016.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 27 July 2009.

Monsoon 2015 Foreshadow 102% OF LPA (+/-4%) NORMAL JUNE THROUGH SEPTEMBER (LPA = 887mm)

Seasonal Outlook for 2010 Southwest Monsoon Rainfall D. S. Pai Director, Long Range Forecasting South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF -1) April.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP September 16,

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 20 July 2009.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP January 11,

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 12 October 2009.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP October 7, 2013.

El Niño-Southern Oscillation and regional rainfall of Vietnam Ramasamy Suppiah 10 December 2012.

Theme address G. Chandrashekhar

LONG RANGE FORECAST SW MONSOON

Asish Sen Director Meteorological Centre, Patna

Forecast Outlook for the

LONG RANGE FORECAST SW MONSOON

Theme Address G. Chandrashekhar / Rajini Panicker

LONG RANGE FORECAST SW MONSOON

Global & Regional Climate Change

JUNE THROUGH SEPTEMBER LPA (Long Period Average)

Climate- Abiotic factor

for the 2017 NE Monsoon Season

Preliminary Consensus Forecast for the 2017 NE Monsoon Season

Economic Advisor, IMC and

Kharif Crops Outlook G. Chandrashekhar

Seasonal prediction of South Asian summer monsoon 2010: Met Office

IMC-ERTF and Agribusiness & Food Processing Committee jointly present a panel discussion on Kharif 2017 Crops and Inflation Outlook Opening Remarks and.

Review of the winter SASCOFs

Revised Monsoon 2015 Forecast

India’s Summer and Winter Monsoon Seasons

Saraju K. Baidya Department of Hydrology and Meteorology Nepal

Climate Expert Australia.

Southern Company Summer 2019 Outlook & Winter Review

Presentation transcript:

Indian Merchants’ Chamber Panel discussion on: Monsoon 2014 and Effective Policy Response Mumbai. June 26, Theme Address / Opening Remarks G. Chandrashekhar Chairman, IMC Committee for Agribusiness, Food Processing and Commodities

Background IMD has forecast below-normal Southwest monsoon 2014 Southwest monsoon in 2014 for whole country (June- September) likely to be below normal (90-96% of LPA) Quantitatively, monsoon season rainfall for the country as a whole is likely to be 93% of LPA with model error of ±4% Region-wise, season rainfall likely to be 85% of LPA over North-West India, 94% of LPA over Central India, 93% of LPA over South Peninsula and 99% of LPA over North-East India, all with a model error of ± 8 % Monthly rainfall over the country as whole likely to be 93% of its LPA during July and 96% of LPA during August, both with a model error of ± 9 %.

Looming threat of El Nino Indications of developing El Nino – dry conditions across South Asia and Southeast Asia El Nino likely to strike in H2 2014; but timing and intensity uncertain When El Nino hits Asia, North America usually enjoys good spring crops (grains, oilseeds)

INDIA: what’s in store? As of June 26, monsoon onset delayed and weak; movement stalled near southeast coast; central and western parts are dry; June accounts for 15% of total rains; yet, delay has set off alarm bells; crop plantings lagging markedly;

INDIA: What’s in store? Effect on crop harvests, people, policies, politics..... Agri: 15% of GDP shared by 53% of workforce; where’s the equity? Instruments of policy response: Fiscal, Monetary, Trade, Tariff, Administrative; Any +ve role private enterprise can play?