ENROLLMENT STUDY Presented October 19, 2015. Methodology Multiple sources of data  Live birth data and its correlation to kindergarten and 1 st grade.

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Presentation transcript:

ENROLLMENT STUDY Presented October 19, 2015

Methodology Multiple sources of data  Live birth data and its correlation to kindergarten and 1 st grade enrollment five and six years later  Individual school by year and grade enrollment patterns/ES-MS- HS feeder patterns  Attendance zone changes/history  Census tract population data by age group  Single- and multi-family building permit history  New house sales and existing house re-sales  Mortgage data  Subdivision additions and economic development

Enrollment History Source: CCSD & Ga. Department of Education

Current Enrollment Distribution Source: DCSS & Ga. Department of Education

Population Data Projected Source: Ga. Department of Public Health

Population Data Source: Ga. Department of Public Health

Population Data Source: Ga. Department of Public Health

Population Data – Census Tracts By High School Source: Ga. Department of Public Health

Age Distribution by Census Tracts Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Economic Indicators – Building Permits Source: U.S. Census Bureau Economic downturn

Economic Indicators – Building Permits Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Economic Indicators – House Sales Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Economic Indicators – House Sales Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Economic Indicators – “Underwater” Mortgages Source: Zillow

Projection Summary

Elementary School Projection Summary

Middle School Projection Summary

High School Projection Summary

ENROLLMENT STUDY Presented October 19, 2015

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