Clive Coetzee General Manager: Infrastructure Management and Economic Services KZN Provincial Treasury.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Hans Timmer and Richard Newfarmer World Bank December, 2006 Global Economic Prospects, 2007 Managing the Next of Globalization.
Advertisements

Global Development Finance 2006 The Development Potential of Surging Capital Flows By Mr. Hans Timmer June 2006.
Manufacturing Bulletin Q Presentation for : Manufacturing Circle 15 July 2011 By Dr Iraj Abedian Pan-African Investment & Research Services(Pty)
Five Years After GFC Economic Outlook and Policy Challenges Markus Rodlauer Deputy Director, China Mission Chief IMF, Asia and Pacific Department December.
Storybook 01: South Africa’s Economic Output STANLIB Economics.
Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION DE COOPÉRATION ET DE DEVELOPMENT ÉCONOMIQUES.
WESP Update per Mid-2012 Darkening skies over the world economy New York, 7 June 2012 WESP Update per Mid-2012 Darkening skies over the world economy New.
The Environment of Global Trade capital movements (not trade) are driving forces of the world economy production is ‘uncoupled’ from employment e.g security.
Economic Goal 4: External Stability Exchange Rate.
2005 and Real GDP Growth in the past 10 years Average 3.3% 1.0% 8.4% 3.1%
Standing Committee on Finance Sector Analysis 02 July 2014 Esther Mohube 1.
Economic Dynamicism in KZN – The Year 2015 Clive Coetzee.
Commodity Price Outlook How long can the high prices be sustained?
Industrials Sector Jason Kraynak and Wade Guzdanski.
What questions would you like to ask?
BALANCE OF PAYMENT PROBLEMS. Current Account Deficit  Two broad ways in which a current account is covered – loans from abroad and investments from abroad.
The G20 Agenda – Speculation Demand and Global Economics Alan S Alexandroff Director Online Research & Director of Strategic Partnerships Digital20, Munk.
A Business and Political Perspective on Growth in Brazil and the United States Brazil Risk: Why and How to invest in the USA. May 7th, 2014 Dr. Zelia Cardoso.
Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 1 ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION DE COOPÉRATION ET DE DEVELOPMENT.
The International Economy. Content The Pattern of Trade Between the UK and the Rest of the World Trade with developing economies The principal of comparative.
Delegation Members:  Barbie Bell Director-General Latin American Affairs China Brazil Bilateral Meeting Report  Brenda Caldwell Director-General Policy.
Global Imbalances and Global Financial Turmoils Dr. Sompop Manarungsan Faculty of Economics and Chinese Studies Center Chulalongkorn University Bangkok.
Jac Laubscher Chief Economist Comments on the Annual Report of the South African Reserve Bank Parliamentary Committee on Finance 28 September 2001.
CHAPTER 2CHAPTER 2 Understanding the United States Business System.
1 Regional Economic Outlook Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan Masood Ahmed Director, Middle East and Central Asia Department International.
Fundamental Analysis Approach to Fundamental Analysis: –Domestic and global economic analysis –Industry analysis –Company analysis Why use the top-down.
Causes and costs of globalisation
Macro overview The end of an era? Jon Hille-Walle,
Economic and Social Update April 2008 William E. Wallace, Lead Economist World Bank, Indonesia April 1, 2008.
Very high rate of change of many of the above indices most of the trajectory implied by course reading seem to hold true in more.
Managing the Growth Shock Warwick J. McKibbin Director, ANU Research School of Economics Presentation to the 2011 Economic & Social Outlook Conference,
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK & CHALLENGES FOR ASEAN MOHAMED ARIFF.
Parliamentary Budget Office | 19 th February Pre-Budget Briefing.
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, The South African Institute of Chartered Accountants.
Exchange Rates Terminology & impact on trade. The ‘Exchange Rate’  Measures the value of one currency in terms of how much of another currency it can.
23 April 2009 UNECA Léonce Ndikumana Director, Research Department African Development Bank Africa and the global crisis: will growth hold? Africa Forum,
Risks of New Global Downturn: Impact on Asia and Response  Lim Mah Hui (Michael)  State of the Global Economy, and Reflections on Recent Multilateral.
Monetary policy update April The Swedish economy remains strong.
Rebooting the EU's Economy Valdis Dombrovskis European Commission Vice President for Euro and Social Dialogue Riga, 2016.
COUNTRY RISK ASSESSMENT China & Japan Eliza Bogucka Magdalena Mirek Dominika Dunin - Szpotańska.
Recovery from the Global Crisis: Implications for SADC and Development Finance Keith Jefferis May 2010.
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries 1 Abdalla Salem El-Badri OPEC Secretary General The Current Oil Market Paris, France 3rd May
Global economic forecast November 16th The recovery is softening, with the weakness of private-sector jobs creation giving particular cause for.
Global economic forecast December 14th The recovery is softening, with the weakness of private-sector jobs creation giving particular cause for.
Global economic forecast November 1st The housing market has stabilised recently but a sustained recovery is unlikely until 2011 Factors putting.
DEVELOPMENT Chapter 10. How Do You Define and Measure Development? Gross National Product (GNP) Measure of the total value of the officially recorded.
International Monetary Fund, Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa, June Time for a Policy Reset Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan.
EXTERNAL INFLUENCES These are factors that the business can not control (External constraints) PESTEL Analysis is a part of the external analysis that.
Overview What is development? Measures of development Models of development Policy Issues Economic Geography: Concepts of Development.
Assessment of a Country as a Market or Production Location
Indonesia's Economy and Trade Development in 2016 EU HoMS Meeting 14 March 2017.
Update of some of the charts from EOI 2007 in March 2008
Economic Growth and Development in Zambia
Economic and Financial Market Outlook: Low for Longer…For Even Longer
One World? Julia Karmanova EBM2-62
Asian Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Monetary Policy Report February 2011
Economic Factors Related to International Business
Walled In: China’s Great Dilemma
International Economics
Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis
Theme: 4 Employment and Economic Growth Department of Labour
Walled In: China’s Great Dilemma
Global Economic Prospects, 2007
NS4540 Winter Term 2016 Latin America: Recovery 2016
The Global Markets Continued...
Environmental Trends Population Shifts Stable or Declining
How emerging markets are shaping the world
Global economic growth
Presentation transcript:

Clive Coetzee General Manager: Infrastructure Management and Economic Services KZN Provincial Treasury

World Currency = Index USD

Political Polarization Economic Ideological Differences Geo Spatial Differences Policy Uncertainty

Global Volatility Sovereign Debt Markets Energy Market Global Warming

Rising Economic Powers China Slowing Down Brazil Still Powering South Africa Internal Struggles

Fundamental Economic Change Technological Advancement Decrease Communication and Transport Costs Increase in World Supply of Labour Reduction of Trade Barriers

The primary-products economy has come "uncoupled" from the industrial economy. In the industrial economy itself, production has come "uncoupled" from employment. Capital movements rather than trade (in both goods and services) have become the driving force of the world economy. The two have not quite come uncoupled, but the link has become loose, and worse, unpredictable.

Africa as a new frontier Commodity prices cycles Sharp depreciation of local currency Disruptions to productive activity Monetary policy space Deteriorating World rankings City economic concentration levels Urbanization Rates

In SA we have the situation of TWIN Headwinds: Global Economic Slowdown Domestic Uncertainty and Unrest Outlook does not look good – but.....

“Good” Economic Policies An “attractive” Destination Implementation and Service Orientated Ethic Focus on Cities Social Partnership for development