Statistical Analysis: Influence of Sea Surface Temperature on Precipitation and Temperature in San Francisco By Gavin Gratson.

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Presentation transcript:

Statistical Analysis: Influence of Sea Surface Temperature on Precipitation and Temperature in San Francisco By Gavin Gratson

West-Coast Drought Glacial Change:

Cumulative Distribution Function El-Nino SST Max: 2 Mean: 1.2 Still trending up

El Nino vs All SST Data

Histogram El-Nino SST

Average El-Nino SST vs average for most recent El-Nino P= %>5% Cannot reject H 0, not significantly higher SST for most recent El-Nino inconclusive because most recent isn’t finished yet, average should increase Max SST average vs Max SST for most recent El-Nino P=13.35% 13.35%>5% Cannot reject H 0, not significantly higher SST for most recent El-Nino inconclusive because most recent isn’t finished yet, max SST could increase t-test

Autocorrelation El-Nino/non El-Nino P 11 =89.33% r 1 =.8591

Simple Linear Regression: SST vs Temp R 2 very low minimal correlation

Simple Linear Regression: SST vs Precipitation R 2 very low minimal correlation

Multiple Linear Regression Average Temperature is the best predictor SST values actually the worst Predictor:R 2 : SST Precipitation Temperature

Principal Component Analysis: All Three Confirms findings from Linear regressions

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