IT2005 System Analysis & Design

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Presentation transcript:

IT2005 System Analysis & Design Week 9 -Feasibility Study

Feasibility study The measure of how beneficial an information system will be to an organization. Categories of feasibility tests, Operational Feasibility Cultural / Political Feasibility Technical Feasibility Schedule Feasibility Economic Feasibility Legal Feasibility

Operational Feasibility It is a measure of how well a solution meets the identified system requirements to solve the problem.

Cultural (or Political) Feasibility Cultural feasibility deals with how the end users feel about the proposed system. Cultural feasibility also asks, Will the solution fulfill the users’ requirements? How will the solution change the users’ work environment? How do users feel about such a solution?

Technical Feasibility It is a measure of the practicality of a technical solution availability of technical recourses and expertise ýÔæßõÚ ÑúÀÚù<$

Technical Feasibility…….. Technical feasibility addresses three major issues: Is the proposed technology or solution practical? Do we currently possess the necessary technology (Hardware/Personnel) ? Do we possess the necessary technical expertise?

Schedule Feasibility   A measure of how reasonable a project time table is. Schedule feasibility also asks, can the solution be designed and implemented within an acceptable time period? how much time is available to build the new system? when can it be built ?

Economic Feasibility   It is a measure of the cost-effectiveness of a project. Is the solution cost-effective? How profitable the solution is?

Cost-benefit analysis Cost-benefit analysis is always included both tangible and intangible items. Tangible items are those to which direct values can be attached Equipment costs for the new system Personnel cost Material costs Conversion cost Other costs(consultant’s cost)

Intangible items, are those whose values cannot be exactly determined How much is saved by completing a project earlier or providing new information to decision makers?

Determining whether a project is worthwhile There are two ways to do this: Payback method Payback method defines the time required to recover the money spent on a project. Present value method That method is determine how much money it is worthwhile investing now in order to receive a given return in some year’s time.

Payback method Q1:Payback Period Example The investment The initial cost of the investment The net of cash inflows and outflows for each year The sum of all cash inflows and outflows

Payback Period = Y + ( A / B ) where Y = The number of years before final payback year. In the example, Y = 3.0 years.  A = Total remaining to be paid back at the start of the payback year, to bring cumulative cash flow to 0. In the example, A = $50. B = Total (net) paid back in the entire payback year. In the example, B = 300. For the example, Payback Period = 3+ (50) / (300) Payback Period = 3 + 1/6 = 3.17 Years payback may occur any time in year 4

Charting the Payback Period

Payback method Q2: The initial investment in a pollution prevention project is $10,000. The projected savings is $4,000 for the first year, $4,000 for the second year, $2,500 for the third year, $2,000 in the fourth year, and $2,000 for the fifth year. The payback would be at 2.8 years

year cash inflow cash outflows net of cash cumulative cash -10000 1 -10000 1 4000 -6000 2 -2000 3 2500 500 4 2000 5 4500 samuchitha =The number of years before final payback year.+(Total remaining to be paid back at the start of the payback year, to bring cumulative cash flow to 0)/(B = Total (net) paid back in the entire payback year) =2+(0-(-2000))/(500-(-2000)) =2+2000/2500=2.8

Q3 : The following company invests $10,000 initially into a corner store investment. The cash flows from Years 1-6 are provided in the table. What is the Payback Period?   Cash Flows Year 1 1500 Year 2 2500 Year 3 4000 Year 4 3000 Year 5 Year 6

Payback Period = 3 years + $2000 / $3000 = 3.67 Years Cash Flows Cumulative Cash Flows Initial Investment -$10,000 $-10,000 Year 1 1500 -8500 Year 2 2500 -6000 Year 3 4000 -2000 Year 4 3000 +1000 Year 5 +4000 Year 6 +7000 Payback Period = 3 years + $2000 / $3000 = 3.67 Years

Limitations & Disadvantages of using the Payback Period Rule The Payback Period does not take into account time value of money. Since we are just adding up the future cash flows e.g $2500 in Year 2, $3000 in Year 3, etc, we are not discounting these payments and adjusting them for time value of money.

company wants to invest in a project costing Rs company wants to invest in a project costing Rs.10,000 and expects to generate cash flows of Rs.5,000 in year 1, Rs.4,000 in year 2, and Rs.3,000 in year 3. The weighted average cost of capital is 10%.

First, discount the cash flows back to the present or to their present value. Here are the calculations: Year 0: -Rs.10,000/(1+.10)^0 = Rs.10,000 Year 1: Rs.5000/(1+.10)^1= Rs.4,545.45 Year 2: Rs.4000/(1+.10)^2= Rs.3,305.79 Year 3: Rs.3000/(1+.10)^3= Rs.2,253.94

Step 2 is to calculate the cumulative discounted cash flows: Year 0: -Rs.10,000 Year 1: -Rs. 5,454.55 Year 2: -Rs. 2,148.76 Year 3: Rs. 105.18 DPP = 2 + Rs.2,148.76/Rs.2,253.94 = 2.95 years

Discounted Pay-back period method: Example: A project with initial investment of $20,000 and cash inflows of $5,000 for 10 years, if discounted at 15%, the discounted pay-back period would be?

Using Q3 Year Cash Flows PV of Cash Flows Cumulative Cash Flows -$10,000 $-10,000 1 1500 1389 -8611 2 2500 2143 -6468 3 4000 3175 -3293 4 3000 2205 -1088 5 2042 +954 6 1891 +2845 Discounted Payback Period = 4 Years + (1088 / 2042) = 4.53 Years

Present value method  What is the Present Value of $100 we will receive in 5 Years, using a 5% discount rate? PV5  = $100 / (1.0 +0.05)5      = $100 / (1.276)  = $75.13

Net Present Value for the stream is the sum of PVs for each FV:

Consider two competing investments in computer equipment. Each calls for an initial cash outlay of $100, and each returns a total a $200 over the next 5 years making net gain of $100. But the timing of the returns is different, as shown in the table. Using a 10% discount  rate again

the higher NPV is the better investment.

Net Present Value Example Note that totals are equal, but NPVs not. Uses Excel’s npv function

Example: Project to create ecommerce website to sell your products online may provide the following cash flow Current Year: Expected to spend $10,000 to develop the website.(One year time-frame – not a capital project) Year-1: After website is deployed, it is expected to generate $4,000 in the first year. Year-2: Expected to generate $5,000 in the second year. Year-3: Expected to generate $5,000 in the third year Year-4: Expected to generate $2,000 in the fourth year. Year-5: Expected to generate $2,000 in the fifth year. If a bank would give you a 10% interest on the investment. Find the net present value for this investment

Legal Feasibility   It is a measure of how well a solution can be implemented within existing legal and contractual obligations. copyright law (licensed agreements should not be violated) non-disclosure clauses code ownership (if developed with outside assistance) labour laws foreign trade, and labour regulations Financial & Accounting standards

Activities in problem definition and feasibility analysis Problems and ideas Problem definition System deficiencies Identify system deficiencies Mission Develop project goals Selected alternative User needs Possible revision Feasibility study System deficiencies goals Generate broad alternative solutions Problems boundaries Evaluate feasibility Alternatives Constraints

Feasibility Analysis of candidate systems Use two alternatives to compare and contrast candidate system solutions Candidate System Matrix Feasibility Analysis Matrix

Candidate System Matrix Identify how the system will interact with people, and other systems How data stores be implemented, inputs will be captured, outputs will be generate How computer processes will be implemented Identify how processed and data will be distributed Canditate1 Stakeholders Knowledge Processes Communication

Feasibility Analysis Matrix Weighting Candidate 1 Candidate 2 Candidate 3 Description Operational Feasibility Cultural Feasibility Technical Feasibility Economic Feasibility Legal Feasibility Weighted Score

The System Proposal A report/ presentation of a recommended solution. Usually a formal written report or oral presentation. Intended for system owners and users.

During this phase Identifies candidate system solutions Analyses the solution for feasibility present the system proposal Report and oral presentation