NPRR 617 Overview and Justifications. Overview Current protocols place restrictions on Day-Ahead Three-Part Supply Offers – Part 1 (Startup Offer) – capped.

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Presentation transcript:

NPRR 617 Overview and Justifications

Overview Current protocols place restrictions on Day-Ahead Three-Part Supply Offers – Part 1 (Startup Offer) – capped at generic or verifiable costs – Part 2 (Minimum Energy Offer) – capped at generic or verifiable costs – Part 3 (Offer Curve) – only limited by SWOC Separately, generators are eligible for Day-Ahead and RUC make-whole payments, which are capped at generic or verified minimum energy values NPRR 617 would eliminate the caps on Part 1 (Startup) and Part 2 (Minimum Energy), but keep in place the make-whole payments that are tied to generic or verifiable costs 2

Acute Gas Supply Issues Acute gas supply issues that increase fuel costs substantially above the index 3 DescriptionBaselineActual Raw Average Fuel Consumption Rate per Start (MMBtu) - Cold 6000 Raw Verifiable Operation and Maintenance Expense per Start ($)- Cold 6400 Raw Verifiable Operation and Maintenance Expense at LSL ($/MWh) 4.00 Raw Verified Fuel Consumption Rate at LSL (MMBtu/MWh) 9.00 Assumed Gas Index Total Verified Start Cost 36,40051,400 Total Verified Minimum Energy

Invalid Index pricing Day-over-day gas swings in HSC (as seen this past winter), or non-HSC pricing that varies wildly from the index (as seen this past winter) 4 DescriptionBaselineActual Raw Average Fuel Consumption Rate per Start (MMBtu) - Cold 6000 Raw Verifiable Operation and Maintenance Expense per Start ($)- Cold 6400 Raw Verifiable Operation and Maintenance Expense at LSL ($/MWh) 4.00 Raw Verified Fuel Consumption Rate at LSL (MMBtu/MWh) 9.00 Assumed Gas Index Total Verified Start Cost 36,400159,000 Total Verified Minimum Energy

Acute Operational Issues Acute operational/maintenance issues that increase the operational efficiency or reliability of generation 5 DescriptionBaselineActual Raw Average Fuel Consumption Rate per Start (MMBtu) - Cold 6000 Raw Verifiable Operation and Maintenance Expense per Start ($)- Cold 6400 Raw Verifiable Operation and Maintenance Expense at LSL ($/MWh) 4.00 Raw Verified Fuel Consumption Rate at LSL (MMBtu/MWh) Assumed Gas Index 4.50 Total Verified Start Cost 36,400 Total Verified Minimum Energy

Risk Associated with DAM commitments During scarcity conditions, a generator could be willing to offer into the DAM only if there is a sufficient premium in the DAM to account for the risk of the financial commitment 6

No Work-Arounds There are no viable “work-arounds” for the problem – Raising just one “part” of the offer (i.e., the offer curve) could result in a unit still being committed to run, but at LSL all day – Submitting an “Energy-Only Offer” in lieu of a three-part supply offer will (i) preclude the DAM engine from optimizing generation assets, and (ii) ignore operational constraints of units (min off-line time, min run-time, etc.) Generators are faced with option of either offering into the DAM at a price below what they should, or avoiding the DAM altogether. This tends to decrease generator participation in the DAM 7

Protections for Load NPRR 617 does not change the make-whole structure, as generators are only made whole to their generic or verified costs There are already strong market-based incentives for Generators to make offers that do not significantly exceed true costs – IMM oversight – Economically-efficient offers Loads are not required to purchase MW in the DAM, so if the price offered by generators exceeds what loads want to pay, they are free to not purchase the load in the DAM 8