JANUARY 2016 Brazil’s Challenging Outlook 2016 BRAZIL INSTITUTE/ WILSON CENTER.

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Presentation transcript:

JANUARY 2016 Brazil’s Challenging Outlook 2016 BRAZIL INSTITUTE/ WILSON CENTER

How about Brazil and Dilma 2016 ?

THE SURVEY NUMBER ONE PERIOD: DECEMBER 20TH TO 27TH, INTERVIEWS 132 CITIES IN BRAZIL TELEPHONE SURVEY (IVR PHONE) 1.15% TOTAL SAMPLE: COVERAGE: METHODOLOGY: ESTIMATED MARGIN OF ERROR:

P1) Do you believe that the year 2016 will be better, worst or the same for Brazil as a country compared to 2015? SAMPLE: FROM 132 CITIES

P2) Talking about the Brazilian economy, do you believe the year 2016 will be better, worst or the same compared to 2015 ? SAMPLE: FROM 132 CITIES

P3) Talking about the Brazilian politics, do you believe the year 2016 will be better, worst or the same compared to 2015 ? ? SAMPLE: FROM 132 CITIES

P4) In your personal opinion, President Dilma Rousseff government will be able to make your life better in 2016 compared to 2015? SAMPLE: FROM 132 CITIES

P5) Regarding your personal life, 2016 will be better, worst or the same compared to 2015? SAMPLE: FROM 132 CITIES

THE SURVEY NUMBER TWO PERIOD: JANUARY 3RD TO JANUARY 6TH, INTERVIEWS 128 CITIES IN BRAZIL TELEPHONE SURVEY (IVR PHONE) 1.15% TOTAL SAMPLE: COVERAGE: METHODOLOGY: ESTIMATED MARGIN OF ERROR:

P1) Based on your personal knowledge, who is the current Brazilian Minister of Finance? SAMPLE: FROM 128 CITIES

P2) (only those who know), do you think that the Brazilian economy will be better off, worst off or the same with Nelson Barbosa as Minister of Finance ? SAMPLE: FROM 128 CITIES

P3)Regarding the following sentence: “The Lava Jato investigation does jeopardize the Brazilain economic recovery”. Do you agree, disagree or nor agree neither disagree?

P4) Would you support the Lava Jato investigations suspension if that could improve the Brazilian economic situation ? Sample: FROM 128 CITIES

P5) Do you think that Brazil will need IMF support in 2016 ?

P6) (only for those who think Brazil will need IMF support). After the IMF support, the Brazil economy will better off, worst off or the same ? Sample:9.003 FROM 128 CITIES

“CPMF is the only way to balance the budget.”

Poll with the House and the Senate – Nov 2015

WHATSAPP POLL METHODOLOGY POLL BY CELULAR PHONE (BY WHATSAPP) SAMPLE PERIOD: 188 HOUSE MEMBERS AND 25 REPUBLICAN SENATORS NOVEMBER 12TH AND 24TH 2015

Do you believe that the House/Senate will approve the (re)-creation of the CPMF in 2016 ? SAMPLE: 188 A THE HOUSE AND 25 AT THE SENATE

Do you believe that the House/Senate will vote and approve the minimum retirement age in 2016 ? SAMPLE: 188 A THE HOUSE AND 25 AT THE SENATE

Do you believe that the House/Senate will vote and approve the minimum wage de-indexation in 2016? SAMPLE: 188 A THE HOUSE AND 25 AT THE SENATE

Do you believe that the House/Senate will vote and approve a more flexible Labor Law system in 2016 ? SAMPLE: 188 A THE HOUSE AND 25 AT THE SENATE

Do you believe that President Dilma Rousseff will finish her term in office? SAMPLE: 188 A THE HOUSE AND 25 AT THE SENATE

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