DRAFT ONLY YouMarriage Early Marriage AlternativesConsequences Patrick F. Fagan, Ph.D. Georgetown University April 2013.

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Presentation transcript:

DRAFT ONLY YouMarriage Early Marriage AlternativesConsequences Patrick F. Fagan, Ph.D. Georgetown University April 2013

DRAFT ONLY

For many: Marriage is not in their future Charts from “Knot Now”, by Hymowitz, Carroll, Wilcox and Kaye, 2013

DRAFT ONLY WHY GET MARRIED? But First: Which Marriage? There is a marriage to fear: Need-Love Marriage There is a marriage to trust: Gift-Love Marriage The Difference between the two

DRAFT ONLY Beautiful Insanity Romance Falling in Love Blindness Clear Lens Woman (or man) promises what only God can deliver St Augustine

DRAFT ONLY Need Love Falling in Love Blindness = Need Love The greater the deficit the greater the Need Love >> The greater the disappointment The greater the disillusionment Aside on priests and religious (young vs older)

DRAFT ONLY Broken family background Unmet needs Time with child in first two years

DRAFT ONLY Importance of marriage : Why it makes a difference

DRAFT ONLY

$100 $27 $ Comparative Income % Average Unmarried MalePremiumAverage Married Male Marriage Premium in Male Income Source Antovics, K. & Town, R. Am Econ Review V 94, (2004) pp =

DRAFT ONLY

Of All Black Children (100%): % in Poverty or Not by Married or Unmarried Parents Married Not in Poverty Married In Poverty Not Married Not in Poverty Source: Bureau of the Census, Current Population Survey, Not Married In Poverty MARRIED NOT-MARRIED IN POVERTY NOT IN POVERTY

DRAFT ONLY 3.93 Million Children 3.17 Million Children 0.75 Million Children Unmarried Parents Same Parents If Married Source R Rector (Heritage Fdn) : Analysis of CPS 2001 Children in Poverty In Poverty Out of Poverty

DRAFT ONLY

Retreat from Marriage: Black Men (25-54) by Education Level

DRAFT ONLY Retreat from Marriage: Black Men (25-54) Unemployment Differentials Marriage (pink) and non-Marriage (blue)

DRAFT ONLY Average GPA Enligsh/Math Combined INTACTSTEPCOHABIT (BOTH NATURAL) COHABIT (ONE NATURAL) DIVORCEDNEVER MARRIED GPA English/Math by Family Structure Source: Adolescent Health Survey, Wave I. Adolescents grade 7-12.

DRAFT ONLY Combined English-Math Score WeeklyWeekly<MonthlyMonthly<YearlyNever Frequency of Religious Attendance GPA Score Combined English/ Math Source Ad Health Survey Waves

DRAFT ONLY GPA

DRAFT ONLY Source: C. Harper and S. McLanahan, “Father Absence and Youth Incarceration,” ASA Annual Meeting, San Francisco, August Data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. Family Structure: Comparative Rates Of Youth Incarceration Raised in Intact Married Parent Family Raised in Mother-Only FamilyRaised in a Mother and Stepfather Family Raised in a Stepmother Family Comparative Rates of Incarceration

DRAFT ONLY Relative Rates of Physical Abuse by Family Structure Source NIS-4, Always Intact Married Family Step Married Family Intact Cohabiting Family Step Cohabiting Family Single Parent Family Not living with either parent

DRAFT ONLY Relative Rates of Sexual Abuse by Family Structure Source NIS-4, Always Intact Married Family Step Married Family Intact Cohabiting Family Step Cohabiting Family Single Parent Family Not living with either parent

DRAFT ONLY U.S: Partner / Spouse Violence Against Mothers Over 20 With Children under 12 Source DOJ Nat Crime Victimization Survey MarriedWidowedMarried+Div+Sep Combined Never Married Rate Per 1,000

DRAFT ONLY U.S: Partner / Spouse Violence Against Mothers Over 20 With Children under 12 Source DOJ Nat Crime Victimization Survey MarriedWidowedMarried+Div+Sep Combined Never Married Rate Per 1,000

DRAFT ONLY Putting it off til successful Individual vs Couple Entwined vs Free Standing Looking Seeking / Dating Courtship / Friendship Marriage Beginning

DRAFT ONLY Young Marrieds Beginning Fist year First child First Blush Fading Rose Blossoming Thorns Deep Friendship / Companion / Unity Goal

DRAFT ONLY For year olds: What to do in matters sexual »Friendship »Chastity »Good times

DRAFT ONLY How NOW affects marriage down the road Sexuality (deeply us) Freud, JPII Dissipation of energy / resources Friendship capacity To give Research on giving “Who Really Cares” Arthur Brooks Unhappy ? Find someone in real need

DRAFT ONLY THE INDIVIDUAL AND PORNOGRAPHY Pornography is addictive, and neuroscientists are beginning to map the biological substrate of this addiction. Desensitized to their type of pornography Higher tolerance for abnormal sexuality, including rape, sexual aggression, and sexual promiscuity. Produces stronger notions of women as commodities or as "sex objects." Greater sexual permissiveness, out-of-wedlock births and STDs. Child-sex offenders are more likely to view pornography regularly or to be involved in its distribution.

DRAFT ONLY Porn-culture epidemic THE FAMILY AND PORNOGRAPHY Married men feel less satisfied and less emotionally attached to their wives. Wives notice and are deeply upset by the difference. Pornography use is a pathway to infidelity and divorce. Among couples affected by one spouse's addiction, two-thirds experience a loss of interest in sexual intercourse. Both spouses perceive pornography viewing as tantamount to infidelity. Pornography viewing leads to a loss of interest in good family relations.

DRAFT ONLY Number of Non-Marital Sexual Partners Versus Percent in a Stable Marriage Source NSFG 1995

Age of First Intercourse Versus Number of Sexual Partners Source: NSFG 1995

The More Sexual Partners the More Likely to Abort Source NSFG NUMBER OF NON MARITAL SEXUAL PARTNERS IN LIFETIME Percent who have abortions later

Non-Marital Sexual Partners and Out-of-Wedlock Births Source: CDC, National Center for Health Statistics, National Survey of Family Growth, % 16.29% 32.89% 40.02% 44.02% 42.66% 49.45% 49.99% 47.55% 55.21% 49.89% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Virgin at Time of First Marriage Had Pre- Marital Sex with First Husband Number of Lifetime Voluntary Non-Marital Sexual Partners Percent of Sexually Active Women Aged with Children

Non-Marital Sexual Partners And Single Motherhood Source: CDC, National Center for Health Statistics, National Survey of Family Growth, % 30.21% 36.48% 38.81% 44.16% 53.07% 48.13% 47.03% 50.30% 56.98% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Number of Lifetime Non-Marital Sexual Partners Percent of Sexually Active women Aged with Children

DRAFT ONLY Annual Rejection Ratio: For Every 100 Children Born Sources: CDC/ NCHS report series Divorce OWB

DRAFT ONLY Charts from “Knot Now”, by Hymowitz, Carroll, Wilcox and Kaye, 2013

DRAFT ONLY Charts from “Knot Now”, by Hymowitz, Carroll, Wilcox and Kaye, 2013

DRAFT ONLY

Other Religious and non Religious Groups: Natural Law, Transcendentals, Religion.

DRAFT ONLY The Five Basic Institutions Five Basic Tasks Church Family School Government Market InstrumentalRelational

DRAFT ONLY Fundamental Capacities Reflection Sexuality Intelligence Force / Benevolence Work

DRAFT ONLY Fundamental Tasks Of the Individual Church Family School Gov Market

DRAFT ONLY Fundamental Tasks Of the Couple Church Family School Gov Market Church Family School Gov Market

DRAFT ONLY Fundamental Tasks Of the Family Church Family School Gov Market Church Family School Gov Market Church Family School Gov Market

DRAFT ONLY Fundamental Tasks Of Society Church Family School GovMarket Church Family School Gov Market Church Family School GovMarket Church Family School Gov Market Couple Family

DRAFT ONLY Fundamental Needs Of Society Goodness & Meaning To Mate & Produce the Next Generation To Know Safety & Justice Material Goods

DRAFT ONLY Belonging: Male + Female Family Child / Adult FatherMother Society At Large

DRAFT ONLY

Society’s Foundational Relationship

DRAFT ONLY The Non-Thriving Marriage / Child Relationship

DRAFT ONLY Society’s Foundational Relationship

DRAFT ONLY Free To Choose Not Free to Choose The Consequences

DRAFT ONLY Contact