Draft for discussion1 Daily Outlook Gas Day : Wednesday, 15/01/06 Todays Opening Linepack296mcm Predicted Closing Linepack (PCLP1)293mcm Change in Linepack-3mcm.

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Presentation transcript:

Draft for discussion1 Daily Outlook Gas Day : Wednesday, 15/01/06 Todays Opening Linepack296mcm Predicted Closing Linepack (PCLP1)293mcm Change in Linepack-3mcm DEMAND FLOWS INTO NTS LINE PACK Likelihood toNTSSpec.Med2 areas Interrupt forLDZNSLHigh3 Zones 15/02/06LDZNon NSLMed6 Zones TRANSPORTER INTERRUPTION 14/1/06 GWh 15/01/06 GWh Safety Monitor GWh Max rate (GWh/day) Days left Ave rate (GWh/day) Days left Short (57%)275 (10%) Medium (43%)340 (10%) Long (24%)450 (10%) STORAGE SYSTEM ALERTS Click here for storage monitor spreadsheet Click here for Likelihood of interruption details Click here for full system status report (NB92) Click here for forecast aggregate flows report (NTSAFF) Click here for forecast aggregate flows report (NTSAPF) Click here for forecast demand report (SISR03) UPCOMING ISSUES ANS WARNINGS 15/02/06 14:09 15/02/06 10:09 15/02/06 13:09 15/02/06 14:09 15/02/06 14:09 15/02/06 14:09 15/02/06 14:09 14/02/06 18:12 15/02/06 10:02 Demand (mcm) SND (mcm) Variance (mcm) 14/01/06Actual Demand /01/06Forecast Demand /01/06Forecast Demand Definitions Linepack Graph Click here for system alert history Definitions Todays Forecast Flows into the NTS414mcm Todays Physical Flows into the NTS417mcm Interruption Graph NOTES Demand / Weather Graphs Storage Graphs

Draft for discussion2 Daily Outlook Gas Day : Wednesday, 15/01/06 DEMAND CURVE Entry Source (data in mcm) 14/01/06 Daily Flow Max Flow since 01/10/05 Min Flow since 01/10/05 Average 7 day Flow Beach and IOG IUK Storage SUPPLY SUMMARY PRICE SAP 14/01/06 SMP BuySMP Sell7 day average Price (p/KWh) Click here for NORD01 price report Supply Graphs Price Graph Click here for link to met office web site Click here for link to NTS Entry EOD report COMPOSITE WEATHER VARIABLE (CWV) CURVE Definitions

Draft for discussion3 Daily Outlook Gas Day : Wednesday, 15/01/06 LONG RANGE STORAGE MEDIUM RANGE STORAGE Definitions SHORT RANGE STORAGE Definitions

Draft for discussion4 Daily Outlook Gas Day : Wednesday, 15/01/06 BEACH and IOG STORAGE INTERCONNECTOR Definitions Click here for link to IUK website

Draft for discussion5 Daily Outlook Gas Day : Wednesday, 15/01/06 PRICE LINEPACK Definitions TRANSPORTER INTERRUPTION Definitions