With the support of the European Commission 1 Competitiveness of the SME’s in Albania A review of the business conditions with a focus on financing conditions.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
LEASING IN ALBANIA, A GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES Etis Jorgji, Doriana Dervishi, Valbona Karapici June, 2008.
Advertisements

Movies Josh Finkelstein John Hottinger Jenny Yaillen Xiang Huang Edward Han Rory MacDonald Tyronne Martin.
COINTEGRATION 1 The next topic is cointegration. Suppose that you have two nonstationary series X and Y and you hypothesize that Y is a linear function.
============================================================ Dependent Variable: LGHOUS Method: Least Squares Sample: Included observations:
AUTOCORRELATION 1 The third Gauss-Markov condition is that the values of the disturbance term in the observations in the sample be generated independently.
Welcome to Econ 420 Applied Regression Analysis Study Guide Week Three Ending Tuesday, September 11 (Note: You must go over these slides and complete every.
Chapter 4 Using Regression to Estimate Trends Trend Models zLinear trend, zQuadratic trend zCubic trend zExponential trend.
1 The Turkish Currency Crisis -A Balance Sheet Effect Framework- Place of the Turkish Crisis within the currency crisis framework Introduce a third generation.
Dubai SMEs Issues & Challenges Essa Al Zaabi, Senior Vice President Dubai Chamber 21 May 2014.
LOGO Analysis of Unemployment Qi Li Trung Le David Petit Brian Weinberg Dwaraka Polakam Doug Skipper-Dotta Team #4.
NBA Statistical Analysis Econ 240A. Intro. to Econometrics. Fall Group 3 Lu Mao Ying Fan Matthew Koson Ryan Knefel Eric Johnson Tyler Nelson Grop.
Angela Sordello Christopher Friedberg Can Shen Hui Lai Hui Wang Fang Guo.
4 th BIENNIAL INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS BANKING AND FINANCE CONFERENCE.
Factors Determining the Price Of Used Mid- Compact Size Vehicles Team 4.
1 Lecture Twelve. 2 Outline Failure Time Analysis Linear Probability Model Poisson Distribution.
TAKE HOME PROJECT 2 Group C: Robert Matarazzo, Michael Stromberg, Yuxing Zhang, Yin Chu, Leslie Wei, and Kurtis Hollar.
1 Econ 240 C Lecture White noise inputoutput 1/(1 – z) White noise input output Random walkSynthesis 1/(1 – bz) White noise input output.
Is There a Difference?. How Should You Vote? Is “Big Government” better?Is “Big Government” better? –Republicans want less government involvement. –Democrats.
Global Warming: Is It True? Peter Fuller Odeliah Greene Amanda Smith May Zin.
1 Econ 240 C Lecture Time Series Concepts Analysis and Synthesis.
Determents of Housing Prices. What & WHY Our goal was to discover the determents of rising home prices and to identify any anomies in historic housing.
Car Sales Analysis of monthly sales of light weight vehicles. Laura Pomella Karen Chang Heidi Braunger David Parker Derek Shum Mike Hu.
1 Econ 240 C Lecture 3. 2 Time Series Concepts Analysis and Synthesis.
Why Can’t I Afford a Home? By: Philippe Bonnan Emelia Bragadottir Troy Dewitt Anders Graham S. Matthew Scott Lingli Tang.
1 Econ 240A Power 7. 2 This Week, So Far §Normal Distribution §Lab Three: Sampling Distributions §Interval Estimation and HypothesisTesting.
Determining what factors have an impact on the burglary rate in the United States Team 7 : Adam Fletcher, Branko Djapic, Ivan Montiel, Chayaporn Lertarattanapaiboon,
Violent Crime in America ECON 240A Group 4 Thursday 3 December 2009.
Lecture Week 3 Topics in Regression Analysis. Overview Multiple regression Dummy variables Tests of restrictions 2 nd hour: some issues in cost of capital.
Alcohol Consumption Allyson Cady Dave Klotz Brandon DeMille Chris Ross.
California Expenditure VS. Immigration By: Daniel Jiang, Keith Cochran, Justin Adams, Hung Lam, Steven Carlson, Gregory Wiefel Fall 2003.
1 Lecture One Econ 240C. 2 Outline Pooling Time Series and Cross- Section Review: Analysis of Variance –one-way ANOVA –two-way ANOVA Pooling Examples.
GDP Published by: Bureau of Economic Analysis Frequency: Quarterly Period Covered: prior quarter Volatility: Moderate Market significance: very high Web.
MLB STATS Group SIX Astrid AmsallemJoel De Martini Naiwen ChangQi He Wenjie HuangWesley Thibault.
1 Lecture One Econ 240C. 2 Einstein’s blackboard, Theory of relativity, Oxford, 1931.
1 Power Fifteen Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). 2 Analysis of Variance w One-Way ANOVA Tabular Regression w Two-Way ANOVA Tabular Regression.
1 Econ 240A Power 7. 2 Last Week §Normal Distribution §Lab Three: Sampling Distributions §Interval Estimation and HypothesisTesting.
Zhen Tian Jeff Lee Visut Hemithi Huan Zhang Diana Aguilar Yuli Yan A Deep Analysis of A Random Walk.
1 Power Fifteen Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). 2 Analysis of Variance w One-Way ANOVA Tabular Regression w Two-Way ANOVA Tabular Regression.
Forecasting Fed Funds Rate Group 4 Neelima Akkannapragada Chayaporn Lertrattanapaiboon Anthony Mak Joseph Singh Corinna Traumueller Hyo Joon You.
U.S. Tax Revenues and Policy Implications A Time Series Approach Group C: Liu He Guizi Li Chien-ju Lin Lyle Kaplan-Reinig Matthew Routh Eduardo Velasquez.
Matt Mullens Gulsah Gunenc Alex Keyfes Gaoyuan Tian Andrew Booth.
EC220 - Introduction to econometrics (chapter 12)
DURBIN–WATSON TEST FOR AR(1) AUTOCORRELATION
Aid for Trade Needs Assessment – Georgia United Nations Development Programme.
Predicting volatility: a comparative analysis between GARCH Models and Neural Network Models MCs Student: Miruna State Supervisor: Professor Moisa Altar.
Job Creation After the Crisis The role of SME and Entrepreneurship Peter Vikström, PhD Director Entrepreneurship and Enterprise Washington 30 october 2009.
What decides the price of used cars? Group 1 Jessica Aguirre Keith Cody Rui Feng Jennifer Griffeth Joonhee Lee Hans-Jakob Lothe Teng Wang.
A N E MPIRICAL A NALYSIS OF P ASS -T HROUGH OF O IL P RICES TO I NFLATION : E VIDENCE FROM N IGERIA. * AUWAL, Umar Department of Economics, Ahmadu Bello.
Contagious Currency Crises - Dissertation Paper- Student: Dumitru Delia Supervisor: Prof. Moisã Altãr The Academy of Economic Studies Doctoral School of.
Electric Utility Cost Data for Electricity Generation by Nerlove and Christensen-Greene Data is similar to Electric Utility data described in McGuigan.
The Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest Doctoral School of Banking and Finance DISSERTATION PAPER CENTRAL BANK REACTION FUNCTION MSc. Student: ANDRA.
1 Economics 240A Power Eight. 2 Outline n Maximum Likelihood Estimation n The UC Budget Again n Regression Models n The Income Generating Process for.
RT 4 Investing across borders: The way forward for agriculture and rural development in the Balkan countries Moderator: Kaj Mortensen.
NONPARAMETRIC MODELING OF THE CROSS- MARKET FEEDBACK EFFECT.
SPURIOUS REGRESSIONS 1 In a famous Monte Carlo experiment, Granger and Newbold fitted the model Y t =  1 +  2 X t + u t where Y t and X t were independently-generated.
Welcome to Econ 420 Applied Regression Analysis Study Guide Week Four Ending Wednesday, September 19 (Assignment 4 which is included in this study guide.
Analysing the impact of globalisation on entrepreneurship and SMEs Mariarosa Lunati Paris, November st Meeting of the Wiesbaden Group on.
AUTOCORRELATION 1 Assumption C.5 states that the values of the disturbance term in the observations in the sample are generated independently of each other.
2010, ECON Hypothesis Testing 1: Single Coefficient Review of hypothesis testing Testing single coefficient Interval estimation Objectives.
FUNCTIONAL FORMS OF REGRESSION MODELS Application 5.
Air pollution is the introduction of chemicals and biological materials into the atmosphere that causes damage to the natural environment. We focused.
EC208 – Introductory Econometrics. Topic: Spurious/Nonsense Regressions (as part of chapter on Dynamic Models)
Eastern Europe and Central Asia: Economic Outlook and Challenges Ahead ISTANBUL CHAMBER OF INDUSTRY - 6th INDUSTY CONGRESS November , 2007 Klaus.
Partial Equilibrium Framework Empirical Evidence for Argentina ( )
Page 0 Modelling Effective Office Rents by Matt Hall DTZ, 125 Old Broad Street, London, EC2N 2BQ Tel: +44 (0)
T HE SAT S CORES TELL A STORY OF THE U.S. D EMOGRAPHIC ECON 240A.
Financing Social Protections: Fiscal Space Analysis Somchai Jitsuchon Thailand Development Research Institute.
المبادلة بين العائد و المخاطرة دراسة قياسية السنة الدراســــــــية:
Table 4. Regression Statistics for the Model
Presentation transcript:

With the support of the European Commission 1 Competitiveness of the SME’s in Albania A review of the business conditions with a focus on financing conditions With the support of the European Commission

2 Growth of the micro enterprises and SME As the end of 2003, micro and SME’s registered and operating in the Albanian economy are about 35,694 firms, which make up to 99% of total firms operating during this year. In particular, micro enterprises dominate with 91% of total firms operating in the country. Micro and SME’s have provided employment for 56% of total employment, 65% of total turnover of the economy and 45% of total investment generated by private non agriculture sector.

With the support of the European Commission 3 Sectoral distribution of micro and SME’s

With the support of the European Commission 4 Structure of enterprises by regions Average Lowland and costal area Central Albania Highlands and mountainous areas Capital (Tirana)

With the support of the European Commission 5 Structure and performance of firms

With the support of the European Commission 6 A strong spirit of entrepreneurship has taken root across the region

With the support of the European Commission 7 Competitiveness of the region economies

With the support of the European Commission 8 Technology index

With the support of the European Commission 9 Public institutions index

With the support of the European Commission 10 Macroeconomic environment index

With the support of the European Commission 11 Growth and business competitiveness rankings

With the support of the European Commission 12 Second generation reforms of transition

With the support of the European Commission 13 The most problematic factors of doing business in Albania

With the support of the European Commission 14 Barriers to investment in SEE

With the support of the European Commission 15 Financing SME’s

With the support of the European Commission 16 Financial depth

With the support of the European Commission 17 Financial intermediation

With the support of the European Commission 18 Banking and economic development To what extent economic growth is related to bank lending and banking reform? Is there any crowding out of private investment due to high gov’t deficits?

With the support of the European Commission 19 How is the private sector credit related with growth (35 observations: 1995:Q1-2003:Q3) VariableCoefficientStd. Errort-StatisticProb. C LOG(GDP(-1)) LOG(CGD) LOG(DP) AR(1) MA(1) R-squared Mean dependent var Adjusted R-squared S.D. dependent var S.E. of regression Akaike info criterion Sum squared resid Schwarz criterion Log likelihood F-statistic Durbin-Watson stat Prob(F-statistic)0

With the support of the European Commission 20 Statistical significance of the regression

With the support of the European Commission 21 Findings: Despite low levels of private credits, there is a positive relationship between output growth and expansion of bank lending; No significant relationship with the government deficit; inconsistent with the crowding out argument. The investment opportunities and enterprise reforms seems to drive the credit performance;

With the support of the European Commission 22 The road ahead: Tackle the informal sector; Enhance access to finance; Work with business on investment climate measures; Enhance trade and cross border cooperation