Animal Agriculture Economic Analysis: The National Overview United Soybean Board June 2014

Objectives Gather information on and analyze the following: Animal agriculture production, by state and by product Usage of soybean meal in animal agriculture Quantify the economic impact of animal agriculture at the state and national levels 2

Animal Agriculture Database Sources  National Agriculture Statistics Service (NASS)  Census of Agriculture  Bureau of Economic Analysis, Dept. of Commerce Content of Excel files  Quantity and value of production, animal numbers  Soybean meal use  Economic impact: output, earnings, jobs, taxes 3

Most US Animal Agriculture Expanded Between 2003 and 2013 Production in most categories is up over the past decade, despite the extended recession and recent drought. Cattle production is down 2.6% over the period. Pork production is up 24.8%. Broiler production is up 15.2%. Turkey production is down 2.8%. Egg production is up 8.8%. Milk production grew by 18.1% 4

US Cattle & Calf Production, Cattle production is slowly declining.

US Cattle & Calf Production Shifts,

US Hog & Pig Production, Hog and pig output is advancing.

US Hogs & Pigs Production Shifts,

US Broiler Production, Broiler production is still growing.

US Broiler Production Shifts, * 10

US Turkey Production, Turkey output is down slightly.

Shifts in Turkey Production,

US Egg Production, Eggs have experienced slow, steady growth.

Shifts in Egg Production,

US Milk Production, Milk production has shown steady growth.

Shifts in Milk Production,

US Output Index, Cattle, Hogs, & Milk 17 All sectors, except cattle, experienced growth in volume.

US Output Index, Broilers, Turkeys, & Eggs 18

Animal Agriculture Can Boost State Economies Animal agriculture plays a major role in the economy of several states and is important for nearly all states. The impacts are many:  States benefit from the direct investment and jobs, both at the farm level and at the slaughter, processing, and manufacturing levels  They also benefit from multiplier effects on other sectors Animal agriculture is also the leading source of demand for soybean meal. Growth in output is usually concentrated in a small number of states for each species. 19

Multipliers Estimate Broader Economic Impact Regional Industrial Multiplier System from the Department of Commerce  Output and earnings multipliers = $ of total output and household earnings created by $1 of production in an industry  Employment multiplier = # of jobs per $1 million Four animal agriculture industries are  Beef cattle  Dairy cattle  Poultry and egg  Hogs and pigs/ other 20

Economic Impact of 2013 Animal Agriculture 21 * States in blue contain estimates.

Economic Impact, Continued 22 * States in blue contain estimates.

Impact of Changes in Animal Output, * States in blue contain estimates.

Impact of Changes, Continued 24 * States in blue contain estimates.

Change in Economic Impact,

Change in Wage Earnings,

Change in Number of Jobs,

Change in Income Tax Revenue,

State SBM Use By Segment, 1,000 tons, 2012/13 29 * States in blue contain estimates. States in green are withheld.

State SBM Use, Continued 30 * States in blue contain estimates. States in green are withheld.

Share of National SBM Use By State 31

Pennsylvania 32

Animal Agriculture is Important to Pennsylvania Milk is the most valuable farm product in the state. Pennsylvania ranks 5 th in the nation in cash receipts from milk production. Pennsylvania ranks 3 rd in egg production. Pennsylvania ranks 14 th and 15 th in turkey and broiler production. 33

Economic Multipliers for Pennsylvania, Every million dollars of livestock product output in Pennsylvania results in $ million in total economic output in the state, Generates $310,000-$440,000 in family income, And is responsible for additional jobs.

Economic Impacts in Pennsylvania 35 Animal agriculture in Pennsylvania represents $9.5 billion in economic output, $1.7 billion in household income, about 63,600 jobs, and yielded an estimated $401 million in income taxes.

Pennsylvania Output Index, Cattle and milk production has been stable. Hogs were down in 2008 and 2009 but have recovered. Broilers are up 38%. Turkeys are down 21%. Eggs are up 9%. 36

Pennsylvania Value of Production, 2013 ($1,000) 37

Pennsylvania Cattle & Calf Production 38

39 Pennsylvania Hog & Pig Production

Pennsylvania Broiler Production 40

Pennsylvania Egg Production 41

Pennsylvania Turkey Production 42

Pennsylvania Milk Production 43

Pennsylvania: Soybean Meal Use by Segment, 2012/13 44

Pennsylvania: Soybean Meal Use for Feed in