Castleton Poll September 2015. Presidential Politics in Vermont 80 percent of Vermonters say that they’ve given some thought to whom they favor in the.

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Presentation transcript:

Castleton Poll September 2015

Presidential Politics in Vermont 80 percent of Vermonters say that they’ve given some thought to whom they favor in the 2016 Presidential Election 48 percent of Vermonters with an opinion (39 percent overall) hope to see Senator Bernie Sanders elected president in 2016 However, the vast majority do not believe that Sanders will be the Democratic nominee

Hope to see win in 2016

Whom Democrats and those who lean Democrat hope to see win in 2016

Whom Republicans and those who lean Republican hope to see win in 2016

Whom Vermonters expect to be the major party nominees RepublicanDemocrat

Sander’s Support Higher among women (57%) than among men (39%) Higher among Vermonters < 45 years old (53%) than among Seniors (43%) Strongest in Central VT (Addison, Washington, and Orange counties) – 55% Weakest in the Northern counties (all counties above Central except Chittenden) – 44%

Poll Details Surveyed 617 Vermont adults via landline (n=424, 69%) and cell phone (n=193, 31%) Margin of error for entire sample is +/-4% -- MoE increases for subpopulation comparisons Data collected from August 24 th to September 14 th, 2015 Data are weighted by county, gender, and age to adjust for response differentials