By Ayub Shaka Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe 1 DISSEMINATION OF CLIMATE INFORMATION TO USERS : KENYAN SITUATION.

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Presentation transcript:

By Ayub Shaka Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe 1 DISSEMINATION OF CLIMATE INFORMATION TO USERS : KENYAN SITUATION

Introduction Meteorological services - the provision of past information, current information, Advisory information Research findings, Future wx conditions- ( forecasts and warnings) Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe2

Future wx conditions- Forecasts and warnings Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe3

Severe Weather Phenomena in Kenya Floods- Tana and Nzoia River basins Droughts – Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs) Strong Gusty winds – Associated with thunderstorms Lightning Strikes – Associated with thunderstorms Landslides – steep slopes in the highlands Hailstorms – associated with thunderstorms Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe4

5 On 2 Aug 2008 Hailstorm hit Gikingi Village Nyahururu

Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe6

7 1100z 1200z 1300z 1400z

Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe8 Flash floods in Biashara Street, Kilifi on 16 th May 2012

GENERATION OF FORECASTS Model products analyzed by forecasters and discussed in details in a conference A forecast arrived at in a consensus This forecast is past over to PWS to write in a dissemination language and disseminated to users through, s and posted on website. FM Radio Stations broadcasts and interviews Rarely Faxed these days Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe9

Warnings and Dissemination Based on Forecast issued- severe weather areas are identified and zoned Details of severity of phenomena are noted and included in warning However for floods- details of severity are forwarded to OP for dissemination to affected areas and response strategy Occasionally in case of rainfall heavy rainfall warnings – press statements are released Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe10

Kenya: Impacts on Road Transport Networks A section of the road network expected to have problems OND Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe KENYA HIGHWAYS AUTHORITY

Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe12 Districts with excess rainfall during November 2004 Risk areas: flooding,, disease and pest outbreaks, disruption of transportation systems and infrastructure, loss of lives FLOOD RISK AREAS (IN PURPLE) Forecast Products Prepared and Issued by KMD

Avenues of weather dissemination - Press Conferences - Live TV Wx presentations - Radio broadcasts - s to subscribers - Websites Additional Avenues Radio and TV Interviews Curricula for schools and Universities Open Days 13Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

VISIT REMOTE AREAS- Gafarsa, Isiolo OND2012 Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe14

Merti, Isiolo County-OND2012 Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe15

Experience and Impacts Using many tools made available to confirm a phenomena has increased our confidence levels There is still a challenge on where exactly that phenomena will occur in an area – point forecast The more we try to give information and details, the users demand Probability / certainty still a challenge to users to understand Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe16

THANK YOU Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe17