Living With A Star Space Weather Dr. Art Poland/NASA GSFC 8/18/02.

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Presentation transcript:

Living With A Star Space Weather Dr. Art Poland/NASA GSFC 8/18/02

The sphere of the human environment continues to expand beyond our planet –Dependence on space-based systems –Permanent presence of humans in Earth orbit and beyond –Exploring the galaxy for life and habitability of planets Current technology limitations impede our progress in achieving affordable advances. There is a lot to be done in the future Why Study the Sun/Earth System

The Visible Sun

Structure of Sun Core Where the energy is created. Nuclear reactions burn every second about 700 million tons of hydrogen into helium. 158gm/cm 3 Radiation Zone Where energy is transported by radiation. Although the photons travel at the speed of light, they bounce so many times through the dense material that they use about a million years to escape the Sun. Convection Zone Energy transported by convection (just like boiling soup) where heat is transported to the photosphere.

SOHOSOHO

HelioseismologyHelioseismology

HelioseismologyHelioseismology

EIT HeII CME

QuickTime™ and a Cinepak decompressor are needed to se this picture. EIT Corona Movie

CDS Multi Spectral

CDS Multi-temperature Images

CDS Intensity/Velocity Images

Flux Tubes Conceptual

Conservation Equations Conservation of Mass Force Balance Conservation of Energy

MagnetogramMagnetogram

CometComet

LASCO CME

LASCO CME Movie

AuroraAurora

Solar Wind Animation

Geospace Model

Sun-Earth System -- Driven by 11 Year Solar Cycle

Year Solar Flares Geomagnetic Storms Sun-Earth System -- Driven by 11 Year Solar Cycle Solar Maximum: Increased flares, solar mass ejections, radiation belt enhancements. 100 Times Brighter X-ray Emissions 0.1% Brighter in Visible Increased heating of Earth’s upper atmosphere; solar event induced ionospheric effects. Declining Phase, Solar Minimum: High speed solar wind streams, solar mass ejections cause geomagnetic storms.

EIT Solar Min-Max

Solar Variability Can Affect Terrestrial Climate Given the massive economic impact of small changes in climate, we should fully understand both natural and anthropogenic causes of global change. During the Little Ice Age, London’s Thames River froze in winter, something that no longer happens. This 19th century engraving depicts the annual Frost Fair held on the ice-bound river, this one during the winter of

Why do we care about the heliosphere?

Why Do Science? For Utility For Understanding YesNo Yes No PasteurBohr Edison From Donald Stokes (Woodrow Wilson School for Public and International Affairs, Princeton University) The Sun-Earth Connection -- Science in the Pasteur Mode How a star works How it affects humanity’s home How to live with a star Dilbert

Man In Space

Space Operation Market Trend Commercial Space Operations Military & Civilian Space Operations Proposed MEO Comsat Orbits GEO Comsats Solar Variability Can Affect Space Systems How? Spacecraft charging. Solar cell damage. SEU’s & damage to electronics. Atmospheric drag. So What? Space Industry yearly revenues will be $100B by year Society’s dependence on space assets is increasing. Prudence demands that we understand the space environment affecting space systems. Why Now? Expanding use of space.

Solar Variability Can Affect Where We Live Electric grid disruption and power transformer damage. GPS signals, high frequency (HF and VHF) radio communications, and long range radar. Microelectronics and humans in high altitude aircraft. Telecommunication cables. High precision electronic chip fabrication. Terrestrial climate. “The Sun’s fingerprints are showing up all over the climate records. The 11- and 22-year sunspot cycles have turned up in other analyses of ocean temperatures and in ice cores....” Science, March 8, 1996 Curves based on Wigley et al. calculations (1997) Calculated Warming/Cooling of Greenhouse Gases, Aerosols, & Solar Input GHG GHG + Aerosols GHG + Aerosols +Solar Observed

Living With A Star Research Network Solar Polar Orbiter L 3 Solar Sentinel Solar Dynamics Observatory Pole Sitter Radiation Belt Mappers Ionospheric Mappers L 1 Solar Sentinel L 5 Solar Sentinel L2L2 Distributed network of spacecraft providing continuous observations of Sun-Earth system Solar Dynamics Network observing Sun & tracking disturbances from Sun to Earth. Geospace Dynamics Nework with constellations of smallsats in key regions of geospace.

Radiation Belt Mappers Understand origin and dynamics of the radiation belts. Determine time & space-dependent evolution of penetrating radiation during magnetic storms. First Element: multiple spacecraft in 3 petal equatorial orbits; in-situ measurements. Second Element: Add higher latitude coverage.

SOHO Home Page sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov lws.gsfc.nasa.gov

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