Evaluating Safety Performance of Bridges on Major Highways in Alabama Jing Li, Post-doc Researcher Gaurav Mehta, PhD Candidate Steven Jones, Associate.

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Presentation transcript:

Evaluating Safety Performance of Bridges on Major Highways in Alabama Jing Li, Post-doc Researcher Gaurav Mehta, PhD Candidate Steven Jones, Associate Professor Department of Civil, Construction and Environmental Engineering The University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, Alabama 2014 UTC Conference for the Southeastern Region March 25 th, 2014

Outline  Background  Data Description  Modeling Methodology  Modeling Results  Conclusion

Background Bridges are integral infrastructure components that are usually the subject of structural performance research. How bridges affect traffic safety when serving as parts of road facilities? Bridge in Tuscaloosa Photograph by William Woodward from Photo by Dan Henry from

Background Photograph from Railings that keep vehicles from running off the road Abutments that may constitute a roadside safety hazard Piers as fixed objects may pose hazards to traffic safety Photograph by disneymike on Flickr In this study, we focus on traffic safety ON bridges…

Background  Objective of Study  Develop safety performance functions (SPFs) for crashes occurring on bridges.  Understand how bridge characteristics affect crash occurrences.  Applications in practice  Estimating the expected number of crashes on bridges.  Help transportation officials in prioritizing safety-related projects.

Data Description  Bridges of interests: Alabama highway bridges Bridges in Alabama Bridges carrying state or interstate highways NBI (National Bridge Inventory) database Alabama DOT bridge inventory database 1,122 bridges in the final list for this study Additional efforts needed: Original bridge points Bridge vectors

Data Description  Crashes of interests: crashes occurred on the 1,122 Alabama highway bridges 865 single vehicle bridge-rail related crashes ( ) Associate crashes with bridges 9,958 overall bridge crashes ( )

Modeling Methodology  Data Analysis  Crashes are rare and random events  Discrete count models  Observed crash counts as over-dispersed data  Negative Binomial model (NB2 formulation)  Best Model Identification (goodness of fit)  Log-likelihood value  Akaike information Criterion (AIC)  Model Validation  Validation date set  Model validity measures

Modeling Results Crash data set Training setValidation set Candidate Negative Binomial regression models (NB2 formulation) NLOGIT4.0 Potential best model(s) Log-likelihood value & AIC Best model Validity measures

Modeling Results  SPF for overall vehicle crashes VariablesBest model Comparable model Intercept (0.2541) (0.2106) AADT (0.0297) (0.0228) Bridge Length (0.0191) (0.1769) Transition (0.1646) - Approach (0.0869) - Railing (0.1691) - Percentage Truck (0.0048) (0.0042) Shoulder Width (0.0904) - Dispersion Parameter Log-Likelihood AIC

Modeling Results  SPF for single vehicle bridge rail-related crashes VariablesBest model Intercept (0.8541) AADT (0.0897) Bridge Length (0.2930) Transition - Approach - Railing - Percentage Truck (0.0080) Shoulder Width - Dispersion Parameter Log-Likelihood AIC

Conclusion  Developed the safety performance function (SPF) for the bridge segments on roadway facilities.  SPF for overall vehicle crashes  SPF for single vehicle bridge rail-related crashes  The models are based on Alabama data  Alabama-specific bridge SPFs may not apply in other states  Test using calibration factor or develop new SPFs

Thanks! Questions / Comments?