Analysis Michael J. Levin Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies

Preparation for Analysis Update and prepare tables from previous censuses for trends analysis Update and prepare tables from previous censuses for trends analysis Prepare definitions and changes in items (e.g. educational attainment from grades to degrees) Prepare definitions and changes in items (e.g. educational attainment from grades to degrees) Move previous data set into CSPro or other current package Move previous data set into CSPro or other current package

Analysis flow First release shortly after census, with short text First release shortly after census, with short text Release of Major Civil Division data on flow basis using analysis template Release of Major Civil Division data on flow basis using analysis template Release of major items data – age and sex with analysis Release of major items data – age and sex with analysis Release of other items in first analytical report Release of other items in first analytical report Development of full analytical reports Development of full analytical reports “Popular” and subsidiary reports “Popular” and subsidiary reports

Kenya 1999 Analytical Reports 1. Population Dynamics 2. Fertility 3. Mortality 4. Migration 5. Estimates and Projections 6. Education 7. Economic Activity 8. Gender 9. Housing 10. “Popular report”

1. Population dynamics First look geography First look geography Age and Sex Age and Sex Median age Median age Dependency ratios Dependency ratios [Trends analysis – throughout] [Trends analysis – throughout]

2. Fertility and nuptiality Lifetime fertility – children ever born Lifetime fertility – children ever born Recent fertility – children born in last year, or date of birth of last child Recent fertility – children born in last year, or date of birth of last child Reproductive period – age at first birth, age at last birth Reproductive period – age at first birth, age at last birth Survival rates – Children born and surviving Survival rates – Children born and surviving Own children estimates Own children estimates Marital status Marital status SMAM SMAM

3. Mortality Age and sex specific mortality rates Age and sex specific mortality rates Orphanhood Orphanhood Infant and child mortality Infant and child mortality Life tables (incl CEB and CS) Life tables (incl CEB and CS) Cause specific mortality (HIV/AIDS estimation) Cause specific mortality (HIV/AIDS estimation) Maternal mortality – counts and ratios Maternal mortality – counts and ratios

4. Migration – items Urban and rural – definitions and movements Urban and rural – definitions and movements Single-point migration – birthplace, previous residence, residence at a certain point in the past Single-point migration – birthplace, previous residence, residence at a certain point in the past Two-point migration – birthplace to current, previous to current, point in the past to current Two-point migration – birthplace to current, previous to current, point in the past to current Three-point migration – birthplace to point in the past to current Three-point migration – birthplace to point in the past to current

4. Migration – counts & characteristics Counts of stayers, leavers, flows Counts of stayers, leavers, flows Age and sex, median age Age and sex, median age Fertility Fertility Education – pushes and pulls Education – pushes and pulls Economic activity Economic activity Housing Housing Wealth Wealth And others And others

5. Estimates and projections Must complete fertility, mortality, and migration analysis before starting this one Must complete fertility, mortality, and migration analysis before starting this one Must describe assumptions being used Must describe assumptions being used Must determine package most appropriate to the task Must determine package most appropriate to the task Must provide analysis in simple, straight- forward way Must provide analysis in simple, straight- forward way

6. Education School attendance School attendance Current grade – by age Current grade – by age Educational attainment – note changes over time Educational attainment – note changes over time Field of study Field of study Education and employment, etc Education and employment, etc

7. Economic activity Short term (last week) and long term (last 12 months) Short term (last week) and long term (last 12 months) Employment and unemployment Employment and unemployment Reasons not working Reasons not working Occupation Occupation Industry Industry Employment status – public & private sectors Employment status – public & private sectors

8. Gender Crosses all other volumes, even housing Crosses all other volumes, even housing Elucidates differences between males and females Elucidates differences between males and females Married and unmarried, with and without children Married and unmarried, with and without children Trend analysis important Trend analysis important

9. Housing Various sets of characteristics, usually grouped: Various sets of characteristics, usually grouped: Structure Structure Plumbing and kitchen Plumbing and kitchen Utilities Utilities Amenities Amenities Wealth index and quintiles Wealth index and quintiles

10. “Popular Report” Summarizing each of above topics, usually item by item for a LAY AUDIENCE Summarizing each of above topics, usually item by item for a LAY AUDIENCE Needs more attention to definitions, like medians, means, ues of percents Needs more attention to definitions, like medians, means, ues of percents Likely to be the most used report, so attention should be paid! Likely to be the most used report, so attention should be paid!

Tribes and Religion Tables made for religion and tribes leading to analysis Tables made for religion and tribes leading to analysis Analysis cross-cuts all topics above Analysis cross-cuts all topics above Special emphasis on particular religions or tribes – or groups – or sub-tribes Special emphasis on particular religions or tribes – or groups – or sub-tribes

Other analysis Analysis of lower level geography Analysis of lower level geography Analysis of small groups Analysis of small groups Partnering with Universities and others on special reports Partnering with Universities and others on special reports Preparation for surveys Preparation for surveys Preparation for next census Preparation for next census