Independent Events The occurrence (or non- occurrence) of one event does not change the probability that the other event will occur.

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Presentation transcript:

Independent Events The occurrence (or non- occurrence) of one event does not change the probability that the other event will occur.

If events A and B are independent, P(A and B) = P(A) P(B)

Conditional Probability If events are dependent, the occurrence of one event changes the probability of the other. The notation P(A|B) is read “the probability of A, given B.” P(A, given B) equals the probability that event A occurs, assuming that B has already occurred.

For Dependent Events: P(A and B) = P(A) P(B, given A) P(A and B) = P(B) P(A, given B)

The Multiplication Rules: For independent events: P(A and B) = P(A) P(B) For dependent events: P(A and B) = P(A) P(B, given A) P(A and B) = P(B) P(A, given B)

For independent events: P(A and B) = P(A) P(B) When choosing two cards from two separate decks of cards, find the probability of getting two fives. P(two fives) = P(5 from first deck and 5 from second) =

For dependent events: P(A and B) = P(A) P(B, given A) When choosing two cards from a deck without replacement, find the probability of getting two fives. P(two fives) = P(5 on first draw and 5 on second) =

“And” versus “or” And means both events occur together. Or means that at least one of the events occur.

For any events A and B, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)

When choosing a card from an ordinary deck, the probability of getting a five or a red card: P(5 ) + P(red) – P(5 and red) =

When choosing a card from an ordinary deck, the probability of getting a five or a six: P(5 ) + P(6) – P(5 and 6) =

For any mutually exclusive events A and B, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

When rolling an ordinary die: P(4 or 6) =

Survey results: P(male and college grad) = ?

Survey results: P(male and college grad) =

Survey results: P(male or college grad) = ?

Survey results: P(male or college grad) =

Survey results: P(male, given college grad) = ?

Survey results: P(male, given college grad) =