Kerr-Tar Regional Economic Development, North Carolina Target Industry Cluster Analysis

Overview Target Industry Cluster 03 Table of contents Industry Cluster Analysis

01 overview Kerr-Tar Region, NC

4 Overview section 01 Kerr-Tar Region The Kerr-Tar Region is comprised of three North Carolina counties. Interstate I-85 passes through the central part of the region connecting to I-40 to the south.  Franklin  Granville  Person  Vance  Warren

02 industry cluster analysis Kerr-Tar Region, NC

6 How to interpret cluster data results The graph’s four quadrants tell a different story for each cluster. Industry cluster analysis section 02 ​ Modified from: Emerging Bottom right (weak but advancing) Stars Top right (strong and advancing) Mature Top left (strong but declining) Transforming Bottom left (weak and declining) Contains clusters that are more concentrated in the region and are growing. These clusters are strengths that help a community stand out from the competition. Small, high-growth clusters can be expected to become more dominant over time. Contains clusters that are more concentrated in the region but are declining (negative growth). These clusters typically fall into the lower quadrant as job losses cause a decline in concentration. Contains clusters that are under-represented in the region but are growing, often quickly. If growth trends continue, these clusters will eventually move into the top right quadrant. Clusters in this quadrant are considered emerging strengths for the region. Contains clusters that are under-represented in the region (low concentration) and are also losing jobs. Clusters in this region may indicate a gap in the workforce pipeline if local industries anticipate a future need. In general, clusters in this quadrant show a lack of competitiveness.

7 Industry and occupation ​ Note: Label includes cluster name, LQ 2014, and Employment 2014; NAICS 2012 definitions Industry cluster bubble chart ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). Mature Star Transforming Emerging Note: Mining cluster has too few jobs section 02

8 Mature Transforming Industry and occupation ​ Note: Label includes cluster name, LQ 2014, and Employment 2014; NAICS 2012 definition Manufacturing sub-cluster bubble chart ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). Star Emerging Note: Electrical Equipment, Appliance & Component Manufacturing cluster has too few jobs section 02

9 Industry cluster analysis section 02 Percent Growth in Specialization Level of Specialization Mature Clusters Chemicals/Chemical-based Products (3.81; 3,800) Forest & Wood Products (2.11; 2,488) Apparel & Textiles (1.84; 1,116) NOTE: The first number after each cluster represents its location quotient while the second number represents the number of total jobs (full and part time jobs by place of work) in that cluster in the region. The clusters are sorted in decreasing order by location quotient. Star Clusters Glass & Ceramics (4.38; 617) Advanced Materials (1.66; 4,065) Agribusiness, Food Processing & Tech (1.37; 3,339) Transportation Equipment Mfg. (1.25; 904) Machinery Manufacturing (1.08; 587) Emerging Clusters Manufacturing Supercluster (0.96; 2,669) Fabricated Metal Product Mfg. (0.94; 631) Transportation & Logistics (0.93; 2,426) Energy(Fossil & Renewable) (0.88; 3,928) Information Technology & Telecom. (0.65; 2,119) Defense & Security (0.61; 2,141) Primary Metal Manufacturing (0.61; 114) Business & Financial Services (0.56; 6,169) Education & Knowledge Creation (0.48; 924) Arts, Ent, Recreation. & Visitor Industries (0.47; 1,601) Transforming Clusters Biomed/Biotechnical (Life Science) (0.91; 5,843) Computer & Electronic Product Mfg. (0.82; 401) Printing & Publishing (0.39; 552) Mining (0.28; 70) Electrical Equipment, App & Comp Mfg. (0.18; 32) * Numbers in parenthesis include location quotient and employment in Note: Electrical Equipment, Appliance & Component Manufacturing and Mining clusters have too few jobs

10 Bubble chart interpretation Industry and occupation section 02 Mature Industries Three industry clusters in the Kerr-Tar Region are in the Maturing stage: Chemicals/Chemical-based Products, Forest & Wood Products, and Apparel & Textiles. These industries are relatively concentrated, but their growth is trending downward. It is worth noting, however, that the Kerr-Tar Region may find it worthwhile to invest in efforts to shore up the concentration of these industries. Transforming Industries Transforming clusters capture the mix of industries that are experiencing relative decline and limited export capability. In the Kerr-Tar Region, Biomed/Biotechnical (Life Science), Computer & Electronic Product Mfg., Printing & Publishing, Mining, and Electrical Equipment, App & Comp Manufacturing, are all Transforming clusters. Any amount of growth in these industries would require relatively large investments. Star Industries Star industry clusters are highly concentrated, exporting and still experiencing growth in the region. The most highly concentrated of the Star industry clusters in the Kerr-Tar Region is Glass & Ceramics. Its location quotient is 4.38, indicating that the cluster is 4 times more concentrated in the region compared to the U.S. The other strong clusters in the region are Advanced Materials, Agribusiness, Food Processing & Technology, Transportation Equipment Manufacturing, and Machinery Manufacturing. Emerging Industries Industry clusters that may be poised for future growth are classified as “Emerging.” There are ten Emerging clusters in the Kerr-Tar Region. Top three that have the highest LQ are Manufacturing Supercluster, Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing, and Transportation & Logistics. ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors).

03 target industry cluster Agribusiness, Food Processing and Technology Advanced Materials Manufacturing Supercluster

12 Industries Jobs 2014 National Trend, Industry Trend, Cumulative Expected Growth Actual Job Growth, Regional Performance, ABC=A+BDD-C Crop Production1, Animal Production Farm Labor Contractors and Crew Leaders Dog and Cat Food Manufacturing Tobacco Manufacturing Farm Supplies Merchant Wholesalers Other Farm Product Raw Material Merchant Wholesalers Farm and Garden Machinery and Equipment Merchant Wholesalers Rendering and Meat Byproduct Processing45000 Roasted Nuts and Peanut Butter Manufacturing Flour Milling Soil Preparation, Planting, and Cultivating Wineries Farm Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing Farm Management Services section 03 ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). Agribusiness, Food Processing and Technology Cluster Shift-Share Analysis by Top Industry Sectors: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Note: Upward arrow ( ) indicates regional competitiveness.

13 Industries Estimated Input ($ Millions), 2013 % In-Region% Out of Region Crop Production$ %84% Animal Production and Aquaculture$27.134%96% Corporate, Subsidiary, and Regional Managing Offices$14.016%94% Animal (except Poultry) Slaughtering *$10.870%100% Meat Processed from Carcasses$9.8012%88% Metal Can Manufacturing **$9.760%100% Other Animal Food Manufacturing *$9.673%97% Tobacco Manufacturing$8.3096%4% Wholesale Trade Agents and Brokers$6.1512%88% Other Metal Container Manufacturing$5.4247%53% Wet Corn Milling **$4.950%100% Farm Labor Contractors and Crew Leaders$4.8933%67% Pesticide and Other Agricultural Chemical Manufacturing **$4.780%100% Rail transportation$4.417%93% Lessors of Residential Buildings and Dwellings$4.4024%76% Top 15 Inputs by Dollars: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Note: * industry sector has less than 10 jobs as calculated by EMSI; ** industry sector is not present in the region. Agribusiness, Food Processing and Technology Cluster ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). section 03

14 Top 15 Inputs by Dollars: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Agribusiness, Food Processing and Technology Cluster ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). section 03 Note: ** industry sector is not present in the region

15 OccupationsJobs 2014 % Change, Median Hourly Earnings, 2014 Entry Level Education Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers1,592 -6%$10.9High school diploma or equivalent Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse 45912%$9.2Less than high school Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 6722%$10.9Less than high school Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 570%$22.2High school diploma or equivalent Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers5216%$16.3Postsecondary non-degree award Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders 4757%$13.7High school diploma or equivalent Agricultural Equipment Operators4621%$8.9Less than high school Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators3754%$12.1Less than high school Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals 369%$15.8Less than high school Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks34 -3%$14.9High school diploma or equivalent Mixing and Blending Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 3332%$12.7High school diploma or equivalent Packers and Packagers, Hand3228%$10.5Less than high school Slaughterers and Meat Packers28 -33%$12.5Less than high school General and Operations Managers2827%$46.3Bachelor's degree Separating, Filtering, Clarifying, Precipitating, and Still Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 2793%$23.4High school diploma or equivalent Top Occupations: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Note: SOC (Standard Occupation Classification) 5-digit occupations are included by jobs in Agribusiness, Food Processing and Technology Cluster ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). section 03

16 ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). Advanced Materials Cluster Shift-Share Analysis by Top Industry Sectors: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Note: Upward arrow ( ) indicates regional competitiveness. section 03 Industries Jobs 2014 National Trend, Industry Trend, Cumulative Expected Growth Actual Job Growth, Regional Performance, ABC=A+BDD-C Toilet Preparation Manufacturing1, All Other Basic Organic Chemical Mfg Sheet Metal Work Manufacturing Surgical and Medical Instrument Mfg Pottery, Ceramics, and Plumbing Fixture Manufacturing Bare Printed Circuit Board Manufacturing Other Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing Plate Work Manufacturing Unlaminated Plastics Film and Sheet (except Packaging) Manufacturing All Other Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Polystyrene Foam Product Manufacturing Other Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing Surgical Appliance and Supplies Mfg Machine Shops Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Biotechnology)

17 Industries Estimated Input ($ Millions), 2013 % In-Region% Out of Region Petrochemical Manufacturing *$ %99% All Other Basic Organic Chemical Manufacturing$ %38% Corporate, Subsidiary, and Regional Managing Offices$ %98% Crop Production$ %88% Plastics Material and Resin Manufacturing$34.632%98% Rail transportation$28.014%96% Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing$27.698%92% Ethyl Alcohol Manufacturing$ %80% Wholesale Trade Agents and Brokers$ %88% Other Basic Inorganic Chemical Manufacturing$20.223%97% All Other Plastics Product Manufacturing$16.322%98% Fats and Oils Refining and Blending **$15.680%100% Natural Gas Distribution$14.146%94% Machine Shops$12.683%97% Toilet Preparation Manufacturing$ %6% Top 15 Inputs by Dollars: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Advanced Materials Cluster ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). Note: * industry sector has less than 10 jobs as calculated by EMSI; ** industry sector is not present in the region. section 03

18 Top 15 Inputs by Dollars: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Advanced Materials Cluster ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). section 03 Note: ** industry sector is not present in the region

19 OccupationsJobs 2014 % Change, Median Hourly Earnings, 2014 Entry Level Education Team Assemblers2140%$12.0High school diploma or equivalent Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders %$13.7High school diploma or equivalent Mixing and Blending Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders %$12.7High school diploma or equivalent First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 1659%$24.0Postsecondary non-degree award Helpers--Production Workers14014%$10.7Less than high school Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers134 -3%$15.7High school diploma or equivalent Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 1128%$10.9Less than high school Maintenance and Repair Workers, General978%$17.2High school diploma or equivalent Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 8417%$22.2High school diploma or equivalent Shipping, Receiving, and Traffic Clerks820%$13.6High school diploma or equivalent Machinists8121%$16.8High school diploma or equivalent Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators805%$12.1Less than high school Chemical Equipment Operators and Tenders79 -2%$22.2High school diploma or equivalent Packers and Packagers, Hand770%$10.5Less than high school Industrial Machinery Mechanics7311%$20.2High school diploma or equivalent Top Occupations: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Note: SOC (Standard Occupation Classification) 5-digit occupations are included by jobs in Advanced Materials Cluster ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). section 03

20 ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). Manufacturing Supercluster Shift-Share Analysis by Top Industry Sectors: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Note: Upward arrow ( ) indicates regional competitiveness. section 03 Industries Jobs 2014 National Trend, Industry Trend, Cumulative Expected Growth Actual Job Growth, Regional Performance, ABC=A+BDD-C Motor Vehicle Transmission and Power Train Parts Manufacturing Construction Machinery Manufacturing Sheet Metal Work Manufacturing Analytical Laboratory Instrument Mfg Bare Printed Circuit Board Manufacturing Motor Vehicle Metal Stamping Other Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing Plate Work Manufacturing All Other Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Industrial and Commercial Fan and Blower and Air Purification Equipment Mfg Other Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing Machine Shops Other Metal Container Manufacturing Aluminum Sheet, Plate, and Foil Mfg57000 Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Mfg

21 Industries Estimated Input ($ Millions), 2013 % In-Region% Out of Region Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing$52.395%95% Corporate, Subsidiary, and Regional Managing Offices$44.314%96% Machine Shops$17.683%97% Custom Roll Forming **$14.760%100% Motor Vehicle Metal Stamping$11.344%96% Wholesale Trade Agents and Brokers$9.168%92% Iron Foundries **$9.050%100% Nonferrous Metal Die-Casting Foundries **$7.100%100% Other Aluminum Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding **$7.040%100% Bolt, Nut, Screw, Rivet, and Washer Manufacturing **$5.930%100% Aluminum Sheet, Plate, and Foil Manufacturing$5.6758%42% Secondary Smelting and Alloying of Aluminum **$5.400%100% Lessors of Nonfinancial Intangible Assets (except Copyrighted Works) * $5.380%100% Precision Turned Product Manufacturing **$5.310%100% Other Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing$5.2628%72% Top 15 Inputs by Dollars: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Manufacturing Supercluster ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). Note: * industry sector has less than 10 jobs as calculated by EMSI; ** industry sector is not present in the region. section 03

22 Top 15 Inputs by Dollars: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Manufacturing Supercluster ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). section 03 Note: ** industry sector is not present in the region.

23 OccupationsJobs 2014 % Change, Median Hourly Earnings, $ 2014 Entry Level Education Team Assemblers30914%$12.0High school diploma or equivalent Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic 1139%$10.1High school diploma or equivalent Machinists10830%$16.8High school diploma or equivalent First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 9916%$24.0Postsecondary non-degree award Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers959%$15.7High school diploma or equivalent Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers778%$15.0High school diploma or equivalent Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers69 -26%$12.2High school diploma or equivalent Helpers--Production Workers6622%$10.7Less than high school Computer-Controlled Machine Tool Operators, Metal and Plastic 6127%$16.1High school diploma or equivalent Welding, Soldering, and Brazing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 5644%$15.6High school diploma or equivalent Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 5525%$10.9Less than high school Industrial Engineers534%$35.1Bachelor's degree Shipping, Receiving, and Traffic Clerks4917%$13.6High school diploma or equivalent Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 4724%$22.2High school diploma or equivalent Maintenance and Repair Workers, General4525%$17.2High school diploma or equivalent Top Occupations: Kerr-Tar Region, NC Note: SOC (Standard Occupation Classification) 5-digit occupations are included by jobs in Manufacturing Supercluster ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors). section 03

24 Report Contributors This report was prepared by the Purdue Center for Regional Development, in partnership with the Southern Rural Development Center and USDA Rural Development, in support of the Stronger Economies Together program. Data Analysis Ayoung Kim Francisco Scott Report Authors Bo Beaulieu, PhD Indraneel Kumar, PhD Andrey Zhalnin, PhD Report Design Tyler Wright This report was supported, in part, by grant from the USDA Rural Development through the auspices of the Southern Rural Development Center. It was produced in support of the Stronger Economies Together (SET) program.

For more information, ​ please contact: ​ Dr. Bo Beaulieu, ​ PCRD Director: ​ ​ Or ​ The Purdue Center for Regional Development (PCRD) seeks to pioneer new ideas and strategies that contribute to regional collaboration, innovation and prosperity. September 2015