© Suzanne Scotchmer 2007 from Innovation and Incentives MIT Press 2004 The (Public Goods) Nature of Knowledge & Information Goods Longitude Example: What.

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© Suzanne Scotchmer 2007 from Innovation and Incentives MIT Press 2004 The (Public Goods) Nature of Knowledge & Information Goods Longitude Example: What is the lesson? What do these have in common: Knowledge that “DNA is a double helix” software digital music Public Goods: Nonrivalness: High cost to create; zero cost to distribute or use. What is the efficiency conclusion? Nonexcludability: If the good is nonexcludable, IP will not work!!

© Suzanne Scotchmer 2007 from Innovation and Incentives MIT Press p Clocks Demand curve Marginal cost Private Goods: The competitive market is efficient price = marginal cost: Why is that efficient? What if a template must be developed?

© Suzanne Scotchmer 2007 from Innovation and Incentives MIT Press 2004 Information Goods: the market doesn’t work (What is the price with free entry?) (What is the price with intellectual property?) (Isn’t public funding better? Why or why not?) mv p m dv software users vv Idea (v,c)

© Suzanne Scotchmer 2007 from Innovation and Incentives MIT Press 2004 What does IP do? First, IP creates (as a legal matter) excludability. –Does this “solve” the public goods problem? –What about nonrivalness? Second, IP provides at least a weak efficiency test as to whether the value of investment exceeds cost Third, IP does a bad job of delegation –It does not privilege the more efficient firms –It does not regulate entry and duplication Fourth, IP leads to deadweight loss Fifth, concentrates costs among the users

© Suzanne Scotchmer 2007 from Innovation and Incentives MIT Press 2004 Intellectual Property: Compared to what? Public Sponsorship? 1840’s, photography: A patent buy-out. 1960’s and 1970’s Super Sonic Transport Public support for private enterprise. 1700’s and 1800’s Lyons’ weavers Prizes in a guild Napoleon: Food preservation Invention for the public good NIH, NSF: Researcher-initiated projects NASA: Targeted government objectives

© Suzanne Scotchmer 2007 from Innovation and Incentives MIT Press 2004 Prizes Targeted objectives versus scarce ideas Lyons (scarce ideas, leading to blue-sky prizes) Napoleon’s food-preservation (targeted) Scarce ideas: A single inventor has an idea. He must decide whether to invest in it. An idea is a pair (v,c) where c is the cost of making the idea an innovation and v is per-period profit. (Review the market diagram above, where v is the area under the demand curve.) Investment is efficient if v > c.

Prizes Targeted versus blue-sky research Lyons (blue-sky) Napoleon’s food-preservation (targeted) Should the prize depend on cost? (for example, prize=cost?) Problem 1: what is cost? There is no incentive for an inventor to step aside for a more efficient inventor. Problem 2: What if cost exceeds value, v < c? Inventors have no incentive to leave out inefficient innovations. Should the prize depend on social value? (for example, prize=v?) Seems fine when a single inventor has an idea, but couldn’t it also lead to a cost-duplicated race? Which rule do patents follow? Is the patent linked to the cost of invention? (no) To the value of the invention? (yes) Patent buy-outs: Photography, Hyatt and celluoid The patent becomes a prize and deadweight loss disappears! How does this ensure that the value of the prize is linked to the social value of the invention? (Because that is true of patents.) (c) S Scotchmer 2011 Use with attribution

Prizes: Bottom line If the value of the invention (or the size of the new market) is known to the prize giver, then a prize is better than a patent because it can avoid deadweight loss. This advantage of prizes over patents is tempered by the problem that a prize may impose costs on non-users. However there are many ways to make sure that the prize depends on the social value of the invention. (1)Lyon textiles: Link the prize to adoption rate. (2)Allow patents, and let the public authority buy the patent. Buy-out price is at least the value of the patent. (3)Ask the users! There are many clever ways to do this. A problem shared by both patents and prizes: The money is given after the money is needed, so the innovator must often find a backer. (c) S Scotchmer 2011 Use with attribution

© Suzanne Scotchmer 2007 from Innovation and Incentives MIT Press 2004 Targeted objectives: another problem for prizes What if there is more than one idea to solve HIV? Firms 1,2 have ideas (v 1,c 1 ), (v 2,c 2 ): Invest in idea-1 if (v 1 -c 1 ) > (v 2 -c 2 ) Problem: we cannot observe the cost or value! The best idea is not necessarily the lower-cost idea. c 2 v 2 c 1 v 1 Suppose we auction the right to invest in this market, much like taking bids for a contract to build a house. Outcome? This will get us the lower-cost inventor, not the better investment. The auction would work if the the bidders would collect the entire value v-c. Is this possible?

© Suzanne Scotchmer 2007 from Innovation and Incentives MIT Press 2004 Choosing among Ideas: Prototype contests In this situation, the innovation czar (think Pentagon and fighter jets) cares about quality as much as about cost. There is no easy way to ascertain the net value v-c before seeing the innovation, hence, a prototype contest. Prototype Contest: firms develop prototypes; sponsor chooses. Second best solution! The Pentagon pays for two prototypes Why might the prototype contest not work? If each firm knows it might be “voted off the island” after the prototypes are inspected, it might not invest. Solution: The Pentagon can commit in advance to a large prize for the winning prototype. Then it is worthwhile to build the prototype even if the builder might lose the contest. Nuance: the firms might be asked to “bid” for these prizes, contingent on winning, because the bids contain information.

© Suzanne Scotchmer 2007 from Innovation and Incentives MIT Press 2004 Vickrey Auction (mainly for econ fans) Reminder: Vickrey (2nd-price) auction to auction an item. Valuations v 1,v 2,... (Notice that v means something different.) Want to make sure that the agent with the highest valuation gets the object. How does a second-price auction do this? Application to “ideas”: Assume that v 1,v 2 are observable, but not cost. Rules: Agents report s 1,s 2 where s 1 = (v 1 /r)-c 1 (surplus) Firm 1 wins if s 1 >s 2 (otherwise firm 2 wins) Firm 1 then pays the auctioneer s 2 (the other guy’s surplus) Firm 1 is paid v 1 when it delivers the innovation. Prove: Neither firm wants to lie about its surplus s 1 or s 2 The winner makes nonnegative profit.