WESTAR Regional Haze 2018 SIP Planning Karin Landsberg Alaska DEC, Air Quality November 2013

Assignment Prepare a comprehensive project plan for 2018 regional haze SIPs Identify – Steps – Timeline – Resources 2

Background Next round of Regional Haze SIPs are due in 2018 Workgroup meeting every 2 weeks since August – Identify the regional technical work and associated policy issues Work products – Overview flow chart (completed) – Excel Timeline (completed) – Narrative plan (in progress) 3

Technical Work o Reevaluate/recalculate natural conditions Reasonable progress analysis similar to 5-year progress reports Sector emission inventories for baseline, 2018, 2028 – Need consistency between states and years to compare o Special emission inventory studies o Oil and Gas o Canada and Mexico o Marine/Offshore/Global o Dust o Wildfire average o Ammonia Regional modeling analyses – Meteorological, emission, dispersion and chemistry Four-factor analysis for source categories 4  Must haves,  Nice to haves

Timeline Overview 5 *General guidance from EPA to cover Developing how to develop long-term strategy “post-BART” Integrating NAAQS planning with RH planning Clarification about controllable/non-controllable sources, e.g., fire

Core Issues 1.Simplify Progress Report Requirements – not as SIP revision 2.Natural Conditions and Reasonable Progress Goals 3.Long-term Strategies after BART – 4-Factor Analysis 4.Integrate Planning – relationship with NAAQS planning 5.Consideration of visitation 6

Funding WRAP funding = $23.1 M WRAP expenditures – 80% technical and related policy work – 20% for staff, travel, meetings, calls, overhead Expect can do it for much less this time – Not yet sure exactly how much is needed – May need to evaluate what can be done with given funding levels

Funding 8 Major Work AreasBasic *Value-added IMPROVE Monitoring Data Analysis Revised 2064 Natural Conditions targets Analysis of Baseline Emissions Year (2008 or 2011), 2018 controls on-the-books, 2028 projections Emissions control analysis projects (4-factor, others) Regional modeling using EPA projection guidance for 2028 reasonable progress targets for SIPs Improvements to Technical Support System to support State Plans Staff + Project Management (travel, meetings, etc.) Total *Minimum Regional Costs to Develop 2018 Haze Plans

Policy and Funding Issues Uncertainty of EPA actions – what and when – Rule revisions and/or guidance – Responses to Core Issues presented in August Funding? – How will budget affect work plan 9

Next Steps For timeline workgroup – Complete plan in next few months – Review funding available and revise plan as needed For regional analysis work – Decide if region will reconsider natural conditions – Immediately start emission inventories and special studies – In absence of EPA guidance, develop approach for 4- factor analysis “beyond BART,” and NAAQS integration Propose several small work groups to address specific issues – Natural conditions – 4-factor analysis post-BART – NAAQS integration 10

Thank you! Al Newman (WA) Anya Caudill (WA) Bob Lebens (WESTAR) Brian Finneran (OR) Clint Bowman (WA) Colleen Delaney (UT) Curt Taipale (CO) Jeni Cederle (WY) Lisa Tomczak (AZ) Mark Berger (UT) Tina Suarez-Murias (CA) Tom Moore (WRAP) Patrick Barickman (UT) Rick Boddicker (SD) Ryan Templeton (AZ) And anyone I may have forgotten 11

Contact Info Karin Landsberg Non-Point Section Manager Air Quality Division Department of Environmental Conservation