Decadal Survey Tier 1 Missions Road to Mission Concept review Mary DiJoseph ESM Program Deputy Technical

Outline Introduction Decadal Survey Tier 1 mission status Road to Mission Concept Review (MCR) and Key Decision Point (KDP) A Study guidelines NPR 7123 requirements for Mission Concept Review (MCR) NPR requirements for KDP-A Mission Concept Study Report content

Tier 1 Mission Status NASA’s goal for the Tier 1 missions is to have all missions in or ready for Phase A by October 2009 –Must complete Mission Concept Review SMAP completed Mission Concept Review in July 2008 and KDP-A (a presentation to the Science Mission Directorate Program Management Council) on September 12, SMAP is officially in Phase A. ICESAT II is on track to conduct MCR in February CLARREO and DESDyni both plan to conduct MCR in September/October 2009

MilestoneDuration BarProgress/Status Bar Completed MilestoneStudy Phase Earth Science Projects Division Decadal Survey Master Schedule SMAP (Soil Moisture And Precipitation) ICESAT II (Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite) LRD 03/13 01/13 As of 10/14/2008 CLARREO (Climate Absolute Radiance and Refractivity Observatory) MCR 06/08 KDP-A 09/08 CDR 12/10 SIR 10/11 KDP-B 04/09 PDR 12/09 KDP-C 02/10 MDR 02/09 09/14 KDP-D 12/11 PER 04/12 PSR MCR 02/09 KDP-A 04/09 NET LRD 11/14 PSR PER 08/13 SIR 05/13 KDP-D 07/13 CDR 09/11 PDR 11/10 KDP-C 01/11 KDP-B 01/10 MDR 11/09 MCR 09/09 Pre-Phase A Mission Trade Studies Launch Readiness Window DESDynI (Deformation, Ecosystem Structure and Dynamics of Ice) MCR 09/09 Pre-Phase A Mission Trade Studies Launch Readiness Window SWOT (Surface Water Ocean Topography) ASCENDS (Active Sensing of CO2 Emissions over Nights, Days, and Seasons) ACE ( Aerosol - Cloud – Ecosystems) GEO-CAPE (Geostationary Coastal and Air Pollution Events) HyspIRI (Hyperspectral Infrared Imager) NLT LRD 03/16 Launch Readiness Window International Hydrology Work Workshop 10/21 – 10/23 Imaging Spectrometer and Infrared Imager - Science Workshop 10/21 – 10/23 ACE Science Working Group Meeting 11/06/2008 GEO-CAPE U of North Carolina 08/18 – 08/20 ASCENDS U of Michigan 07/23 – 07/25

Associate Director/ Earth Systematic Missions Program Manager Gilberto Colon Program Integration Manager Paul Brandinger Secretary Donna Mudd Earth Science Projects Division And Earth Systematic Missions Program Office ESM Flight Deputy Director/Program Manager David Mitchell ESM Operations & Data Systems Deputy Program Manager Gilberto Colon (Acting) Advanced Studies & Strategic Capability Deputy Associate Director/ Technical Mary DiJoseph DPM-Resources, DS Missions Kathy Shifflett Systems Engineer/590 Norman Rioux Program Instrument Systems Mgr Bernie Graf Program Business Office Program Business Manager Jonathan Bryson Deputy Program Business Manager Tracy Felton (Acting) Program Support Manager Katy Mikkelsen –LDCM –GPM –Glory –NPP –ESMO –ESDIS – Ground Systems Capability PAO Sarah Dewitt ESM Performing Centers ARC: TBD GSFC: Laurie Leshin LaRC: Leila Vann JPL: Diane Evans __________________________ Signature /date Draft- 10/15/08 Procurement Manager Steven Kramer NOAA Projects Marty Davis – NOAA N’ – GOES N-P – NPOESS IPO – SMAP (JPL) – ICESat II (GSFC) – CLARREO – DesDynI – Decadal Survey studies Systems Safety & Mission Assurance/300 Program Systems Manager (ITA)/500 Nick Speciale Senior Scientist Vacant Instrument Technology & Development Deputy Associate Director Mary DiJoseph (Acting) – TSIS (NOAA) – CERES FM6 (NOAA) – Instrument Studies

Role of the Earth Systematic Missions Program Office in Decadal Survey All Decadal Survey Missions are directed missions and will be managed by the Earth Systematic Missions (ESM) Program office, housed at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC). –This is former EOS Program Office renamed and re-envigorated for the Decadal Survey Directed missions are managed by the implementing Center (LaRC for CLARREO) with oversight and assistance as needed or requested from ESM-PO EMS-PO develops performance standards and provides independent assessments for all Decadal Survey missions While housed at GSFC the ESM incorporates expertise from across NASA –In particular including science and instrument expertise from LaRC and JPL

NASA’s Project Lifecycle CLARREO is here Need to be here by October 2009

Road to MCR and KDP-A: The Mission Study Process Conduct studies and analyses to derive the Level 1 requirements (Science, engineering, cost and schedule) Complete an analysis of alternatives resulting in a conceptual design, and conduct Mission Concept Review Prepare for approval all documents required in NPR D (NASA Space Flight Program and Project Management Requirements) 8

Study Guidelines: the study process Pre-Phase A is an iterative process. Crucial to conducting a successful study is agreement on a set of realistic mission objectives and their flowdown to science and measurement requirements that are documented in the mission’s Level 1 Requirements.

Study Goals & Objectives Establish performance metrics, develop and document the mission science requirements (Level 1 requirements), explore the full range of implementation options, define an affordable project concept to meet requirements specified in the Level 1’s, identify needed technologies, and begin preliminary development of the Project Plan. Define the best mission that fits within the allocated resources and bring the mission to Phase A maturity. Mission Study Teams should explore the optimum range of cost, schedule, and capability that will maximize the science/cost ratio across the entire Decadal Survey flight program.

Study Guidelines: activities Investigate: –Potential Partnerships with non-NASA organizations –Instrument and mission design and development options, including make/buy decisions and alternative mission operations approaches Conduct trades: –Science requirements, trying to identify the significant cost vs. performance parameters –Mission risk (looking for cost vs. reliability drivers) –Technology –Acquisition Strategy –Mission operations approach –Data Processing and distribution approach –Access to space (launch vehicle selection; co manifest; etc)

Study Guidelines: study schedule should include these activities Detailed mission concept definition Sensitivity analyses (science measurement requirements and instrument performance parameters) Cost estimates Risk assessments System impacts of new technology infusion Concept validation Mission trade space modeling Study reports and archived models Level 1 requirement definition –Temporal and spatial resolution requirements. –Measurement accuracy requirement as a function of spatial resolution. –Effect of orbit selection on mission performance. –Mission lifetime. –Other science requirements achievable by potential instrument combinations that could extend the mission applicability to other science questions. –Measurement(s) to be made –Science rationale (How measurements contribute to science question(s)) –Related measurements of complementary value –Define roles for international partners Define a baseline instrument concept, including the rationale and key instrument performance parameters Identify alternative instrument concepts Define a spacecraft concept, including key spacecraft performance parameters Identify launch requirements Identify Supporting R&A investments Identify Specific cal/val requirements Generate a detail cost estimate for instrument, Ground System, MO& DA, Science, Project Management, Systems Engineering, and Flight Assurance. Parametric estimate for spacecraft. Develop a detailed mission schedule (at least WBS Level 3 for instrument)

NPR 7123 requirements for MCR Mission Concept Review Entrance CriteriaSuccess Criteria 1.Mission goals and objectives. 2.Analysis of alternative concepts to show at least one is feasible. 3.Concept of operations. 4.Preliminary mission descope options. 5.Preliminary risk assessment, including technologies and associated risk management/mitigation strategies and options. 6.Conceptual test and evaluation strategy. 7.Preliminary technical plans to achieve next phase. 8.Defined MOEs and MOPs. 9.Conceptual life-cycle support strategies (logistics, manufacturing, and operation). 1.Mission objectives are clearly defined and stated and are unambiguous and internally consistent. 2.The preliminary set of requirements satisfactorily provides a system that will meet the mission objectives. 3.The mission is feasible. A solution has been identified that is technically feasible. A rough cost estimate is within an acceptable cost range. 4.The concept evaluation criteria to be used in candidate systems evaluation have been identified and prioritized. 5.The need for the mission has been clearly identified. 6.The cost and schedule estimates are credible. 7.An updated technical search was done to identify existing assets or products that could satisfy the mission or parts of the mission. 8.Technical planning is sufficient to proceed to the next phase. 9.Risk and mitigation strategies have been identified and are acceptable based on technical risk assessments.

NPR Requirements Deliver the following products –Draft Level 1 requirements document –Preliminary Formulation Authorization Document –Mission Concept report –Preliminary Integrated Baseline

Mission Concept Study Report content 1.Mission Architecture and System Concept 2.Technology Maturity, Risk Assessment and Risk Mitigation 3.Mission Acquisition Approach 4.Cost and Schedule